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Leisher's post-Thanksgiving Packers mock draft. 11/29/24


jleisher

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I hope you all had a Happy Thanksgiving and enjoyed the Packers victory.

 

Packers GM Brian Gutekunst Says Team Is Open To Trading Draft Picks For ...

Gutekunst gets busy.  Making two surprising free agent signings to help both sides of the ball.

NFL News: Zack Martin, Dallas Cowboys' Star Guard Reflects on Potential ...

Zack Martin G Cowboys (Brings a veteran presents to the OL.)

2023 Jets Country Player Profile: CB D.J. Reed (4) - Sports Illustrated ...

DJ Reed CB Jets (Reed is Stokes replacement in the CB position.)

 

Mock Draft:

 

#27.  Trade down with pick #128 to KC for picks #31 and #69. (KC selected Nick Emmanwori S.)

#31.  Packers select:

2025 NFL Draft Summer scouting: Wyatt Milum, OT, West Virginia

Wyatt Milum OL W. Virginia

Pass Blocking:
 
95%
Run Blocking:
 
90%

 

  • Elite pass protector with exceptional technique, allowing zero sacks or QB hits in 2023 and only nine pressures across 305 pass-blocking snaps.
  • Versatile lineman with experience at both tackle positions and willingness to learn center, enhancing his NFL stock.
  • Exceptional durability - started 31 consecutive games and logged over 2,200 offensive snaps.
  • Strong run blocker who helped lead West Virginia to the top rushing attack among Power 5 schools in 2023.
  • High football IQ and overall technical proficiency
  • Impressive athleticism for his size, demonstrated by his 92nd percentile 40-yard dash time of 5.00 seconds.
  • Proven track record of improvement each season, suggesting continued development potential at the next level.
  • High-character player with strong academic performance - multiple Academic All-Big 12 First Team selections.
 
 
 

 

#59.  Packers select:

Texas A&M DL Nic Scourton named as a Lombardi Award Semifinalist

Nic Scourton DE Texas A&M

Tackling:
 
72%
Pass Rush:
 
85%
Run Defense:
 
84%

 

  • Possesses violent hands and long arms, effectively warding off blockers and playing with a good pad level.
  • Demonstrates excellent straight-line speed and the ability to win with power as a bull rusher.
  • Shows a high motor and stamina, performing consistently into the fourth quarter.
  • Converts speed to power effectively and can bend and corner, a rare trait for a 280-pound EDGE.
  • Comfortable dropping into coverage, showcasing agility and hip fluidity uncommon for his build.
  • Sets the edge well as a run defender, consistently getting off blocks and making plays.
  • Has the ability to finish plays with closing speed and length, making tackles outside his frame.
  • Displays a versatile pass-rush plan, using a mix of moves including a quick spin move.

 

#69.  Packers select:

Goodnews: Another East Carolina Top Star turned down six-figure ...

Shavon Revel Jr. CB E. Carolina (Falls due to medical)

QB Rating When targeted: 55.1
Tackling:
 
77%
Run Defense:
 
77%
Coverage:
 
89%
Zone:
 
84%
Man/Press:
 
87%

 

  • Exceptional length and frame at 6'3" allow him to disrupt passing lanes and match up with bigger receivers
  • Elite straight-line speed (4.40 40-yard dash) to carry vertical routes and recover when beaten
  • Fluid hips and change of direction skills to mirror receivers in man coverage
  • High-level ball skills, as evidenced by his 12 pass breakups in 2023
  • Versatile defender capable of playing press-man, off-man, and zone coverage schemes
  • Strong tackler who isn't afraid to support the run, tallying 54 tackles in 2023
  • Special teams ace with ability to impact the game as a gunner and kick blocker
  • Rapid development curve suggests his best football is still ahead of him

 

#91.  Trade down with Jets for picks #96 and #144.  Jets selected Josaiah Stewart Edge.)

#96.  Packers select:

Deone Walker is giving Kentucky some needed DL playmaking - On3

Deone Walker DT Kentucky

Tackling:
 
67%
Pass Rush:
 
84%
Run Defense:
 
81%

 

  • Massive size and length, standing at 6'6" and 348 pounds, makes him a formidable presence on the defensive line.
  • Exceptional power allows him to dominate offensive linemen, often requiring double teams to contain him.
  • Remarkable foot quickness for his size, enabling him to navigate through blockers and pressure the quarterback effectively.
  • Positional versatility, comfortable playing across the defensive line and even dropping into coverage when needed.
  • Strong tackling ability, ensuring that once he gets a hold of a ball carrier, the play is stopped.
  • High motor and work ethic, consistently playing with intensity and determination on every snap.
  • Excellent in run defense - has the ability to plug lanes and disrupt running plays.
  • Strong leadership qualities, serving as a team captain and being recognized for his impact on and off the field.

 

#144.  Trade down with pick #255 to Washington for picks #148 and ##198. 

#148.  Packers select:

Ohio State: Mapping out career path of each Buckeyes CB so far

Jordan Hancock DB Ohio St.

QB Rating When targeted: 57.9
Tackling:
 
75%
Run Defense:
 
76%
Coverage:
 
83%
Zone:
 
81%
Man/Press:
 
80%

 

  • Exceptional fluidity and change of direction skills allow him to mirror receivers effectively in man coverage
  • Demonstrates strong route recognition and anticipation, particularly adept at jumping underneath routes
  • Versatile defender capable of excelling in press-man, off-man, and zone coverage schemes
  • Possesses the short-area quickness and closing speed to recover and make plays on the ball
  • Displays good football IQ, able to quickly diagnose plays and communicate adjustments in the secondary
  • Effective blitzer from the slot, using his burst to penetrate gaps and disrupt backfield plays
  • Shows willingness and technique to support the run, not shy about engaging blockers
  • Exhibits playmaking ability with a knack for creating turnovers, both interceptions and forced fumbles

 

#163.  Packers select:

65 days until Texas Football: Jake Majors is Texas' man in the middle ...

Jake Majors C Texas

Pass Blocking:
 
96%
Run Blocking:
 
77%

 

  • Stone wall in pass protection, neutralizing interior rushers with exceptional technique and consistent leverage
  • Devastating initial punch with surgical hand placement, stuns defenders and maintains control through the whistle
  • Road grader in the run game, consistently displaces defenders and opens lanes for backs to exploit
  • Cerebral player who diagnoses defensive fronts pre-snap and communicates adjustments effectively to linemates
  • Nimble feet and natural knee bend allow for quick lateral movements and sustained blocks in space
  • Iron man durability, answering the bell for 39 straight starts and anchoring the line through adversity
  • Big game performer who elevates his play when the lights shine brightest, unfazed by pressure situations
  • Scheme-versatile blocker equally adept at executing zone concepts and drive blocking in power schemes

 

#198.  Packers select:

TCU 2024 spring roster player preview: Jack Bech

Jake Bech WR TCU

QB Rating When targeted: 125.9
Hands:
 
89%
Short Receiving:
 
86%
Intermediate Routes:
 
91%
Deep Threat:
 
91%
Blocking:
 
79%

 

  • Plus-sized frame with functional play strength to box out defenders and win in traffic
  • Soft hands and natural ball skills, excelling in contested catch situations
  • Savvy route runner who understands how to set up defenders and find soft spots in zone coverage
  • Demonstrates body control and spatial awareness to work the sidelines and end zone
  • Reliable chain-mover with a knack for moving the sticks on crucial downs
  • Versatile enough to align both outside and in the slot, offering scheme flexibility
  • Shows willingness as a blocker in the run game, using his frame effectively
  • Productive against top-tier competition, indicating potential to contribute early at the next level

 

#203.  Packers select:

Oregon LB Jeffrey Bassa announces decision to return to Ducks for 2024 ...

Jeffrey Bassa LB Oregon

Tackling:
 
78%
Pass Rush:
 
74%
Run Defense:
 
72%
Coverage:
 
76%

 

  • Natural defensive quarterback who processes pre-snap alignments and communicates adjustments with veteran savvy
  • Former safety background translates to plus-coverage skills, showing quick trigger and burst jumping underneath routes
  • Twitched-up blitzer who consistently disrupts protection schemes, evidenced by elite pressure production from multiple gap alignments
  • Exhibits quick-twitch lateral movement and closing burst when working in space against outside zone concepts
  • Advanced route recognition from zone drops, maintaining leverage while reading quarterback's eyes through progression
  • Shows natural feel for timing and angles as a delayed blitzer, consistently pressing gaps to affect quarterback launch point
  • Stack-and-flow ability against zone runs allows him to maintain gap integrity while working to the football
  • Four-phase special teams value with gunner experience and kick coverage production

 

#241.  Packers select:

How Hunter Wohler became Wisconsin football’s breakout star, making up ...

Hunter Wohler DB Wisconsin

QB Rating When targeted: 98.6
Tackling:
 
79%
Run Defense:
 
79%
Coverage:
 
79%
Zone:
 
80%
Man/Press:
 
76%

 

  • Exceptional tackler with a knack for open-field takedowns, demonstrated by leading all DBs nationally with 74 solo tackles
  • Versatile defender capable of playing multiple positions in the secondary, from deep safety to nickel corner
  • Instinctive run defender who excels at diagnosing plays and triggering quickly to make stops near the line of scrimmage
  • Possesses NFL-caliber size and build, allowing him to match up effectively against tight ends and bigger receivers
  • Displays good zone coverage skills, particularly in two-high safety looks and as a spot dropper in zone schemes
  • Effective blitzer from the secondary, showcasing ability to disrupt running lanes and pressure the quarterback
  • Productive player who consistently finds himself around the ball, as shown by his 120 total tackles in 2023

 

UDFA's:

Dorian Strong Virginia Tech Thumbnail - NFLDraftBUZZ.com Dorian Strong CB Virginia

Donovan Edwards Michigan Thumbnail - NFLDraftBUZZ.com Donovan Edwards RB Michigan

Luke Lachey Iowa Thumbnail - NFLDraftBUZZ.com Luke Lachey TE Iowa

Elijah Simmons Tennessee Thumbnail - NFLDraftBUZZ.com Elijah Simmons NT/DT Tennesse

Paris Shand LSU Thumbnail - NFLDraftBUZZ.com Paris Shand DE LSU

Jack Kiser Notre Dame Thumbnail - NFLDraftBUZZ.com Jack Kiser LB Notre Dame

J.C. Davis Illinois Thumbnail - NFLDraftBUZZ.com J.C. Davis T Illinois

Jalen Travis Iowa State Thumbnail - NFLDraftBUZZ.com Jalen Travis T Iowa St.

Savion Williams TCU Thumbnail - NFLDraftBUZZ.comSavion Williams WR TCU

 
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35 minutes ago, jleisher said:

#27.  Trade down with pick #128 to KC for picks #31 and #69

#27 and #128 = 724 points (on the JJ trade value chart).

#31 and #69 are worth = 845.

So, 121 points difference in the value of the picks. Even if you didn't use the JJ chart, no chart will make this a viable-to-both-teams trade.

There really isn't a good reason to give up this much. If you intend to make many more draft scenario posts (and you will because you always have) I suggest roughly even trades in the future - even if you are not using the JJ chart.

 

 

Edited by OneTwoSixFive
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