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Explanations and TRADES

Nickpeloso17

By Nickpeloso17
in NFL Mock Draft

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Nickpeloso17

Nickpeloso17

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1. Cleveland Browns: Sam Darnold, QB USC
The Browns have been searching for their future QB for years, but haven’t picked one in the top half of the draft since 1999, where the selected infamous draft bust Tim Couch. After striking out on recent high draft picks like Brandon Weeden, Johnny Manziel, and Deshone Kizer, John Dorsey’s squad finally takes their signal caller of the future. Darnold is the consensus #1 QB in this draft for good reason. Darnold should sit behind newly acquired Tyrod Taylor for most of his rookie season, and take over full time in 2019. Adding Landry, Hyde, and Darnold to one of the league's worst offenses means good things for the future of this Browns team.

2. *Buffalo Bills: Josh Rosen, QB UCLA
Buffalo trades the 12th, 22nd, and 53rd picks, as well as a 2019 1st Round pick
For all you draft nerds like me that care about the compensation aspect of pretend trades, the Giants pick is worth 2,600 points, and the Bills’ picks from just this year alone equal 2,350. The lowest value for any 1st rounder is valued at 590 points, making this more than enough. Buffalo pulled a page out of the Eagles book when they made the trade up from 21, (remember the Eagles traded Alonso and Maxwell to Miami a few years back), and they’re not done there. I’m sure the Bills would love to make a swap with the Browns at 4, Broncos at 5, or Colts at 6 because the price would be much cheaper, but in today’s NFL, if you want a QB, you have to go get it. Rosen is the most pro-ready QB this years class has to offer, and he’ll likely have to start by week 6 or 7, assuming McCarron underperforms as expected.

3. New York Jets: Josh Allen, QB Wyoming
I get the talk about Allen and how he has a lot of learning to do, but that’s exactly why the Jets are the perfect landing spot for him. Behind Josh McCown (and Teddy Bridgewater), New York can take the proper approach to this by having him sit out his rookie year and competing with Teddy next offseason for the starting job (which Allen will win). He has as much potential as any QB in this class, and has the big arm the Jets are looking for after struggling with flops like Bryce Petty and Christian Hackenberg recently. And no, they didn’t give up three 2nd rounders to trade up for Bradley Chubb or Saquon Barkley, sorry.

4. Cleveland Browns: Bradley Chubb, DE NC State
Every day football fans might scratch their heads at this pick, but Cleveland does a good job selecting potential stars at some of the most important positions in football- somebody to play QB, and someone to get after the QB. Barkley might be tempting here, but pairing Chubb with last years 1st overall pick Myles Garrett is a move a well run team would make. Emmanuel Ogbah can move inside to DT or can be used in different packages for Cleveland.

5. Denver Broncos: Quenton Nelson, OG Notre Dame
Baker Mayfield sure is looking interesting at this pick, but after John Elway has failed with drafting QB’s recently (Lynch, Osweiler, Dysert) I think he stays put with Keenum as the starter for at least two seasons. Nelson is the safest pick in this draft. He’s a day one starter for all 32 teams in the NFL is a future All-Pro. Sucks for him that he plays Guard, because a player of his caliber should be the #1 overall pick any year. Denver is doing a good job rebuilding this line with Nelson, and last years additions in Bolles and Leary.

6. Indianapolis Colts: Saquon Barkley, RB Penn State
This one has to sting for Indy. They knew trading down was a risk, because it’s unlikely Chubb makes it past Cleveland and Denver, and Denver chooses their backup option in Nelson a pick before. They’ll field some calls, but ultimately stay put. Barkley is regarded as the best RB prospect to come out in years, and has already been put in the same sentence as Ezekiel Elliott and Leonard Fournette, two top 10 picks from previous drafts. Barkley could easily go as high as #2 or #4, but the Colts pick the Penn State product to “replace” Frank Gore and take some pressure off of Andrew Luck.

7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Derwin James, S Florida State
Much like the Colts, Tampa Bay stays put and sees two great options go right before them. However, Derwin James is probably the best consolation prize they’ve gotten in years. Chris Conte has been okay at best at strong safety, and the Buccaneers have reportedly been very interested in James throughout the pre-draft process. Pairing him with last years second rounder Justin Evans gives the Bucs two solid building blocks in the secondary, much like the Jets have done recently.

*8. Arizona Cardinals: Baker Mayfield, QB Oklahoma
Arizona trades the 15th and 79th picks, as well as a 2019 2nd Round pick
The Cardinals see Mayfield fall into a reasonable range to trade up to, so they give Chicago the 3rd round pick they lost, and a 2nd rounder next year to pick their future QB. Arizona’s draft value is at least 1,515 points, and Chicago (adds their second 4th rounder in the deal) has 1,464 points valued with their picks. Even after adding veterans Sam Bradford and Mike Glennon, the Cardinals are still searching for a QB to lead them past this season. Mayfield is relatively pro ready himself, so when the inevitable Sam Bradford injury arises, Mayfield will take over.


9. San Francisco 49ers: Harold Landry, EDGE Boston College
The first of many “surprise” picks this 1st round has to offer, as the 49ers pass on talented defenders Tremaine Edmunds, Minkah Fitzpatrick, and Roquan Smith. Landry is one of the best edge rushers in the draft, and after him the talent really falls off. San Francisco is in dire need of an edge rusher to make this improving defense even scarier. John Lynch is building a dangerous defense in the Bay, a year after adding Solomon Thomas and Reuben Foster (?) to the group.

10. Oakland Raiders: Vita Vea, DT Washington
Oakland made a concerted effort to add pieces to a weak unit this off season. While Fitzpatrick is tempting here as well, they added Gilchrist and brought back Reggie Nelson. Denzel Ward is also considered, but that can be fixed in the second round. Vea is by far the best DT available, and he can rush the passer as well as stop the run. The Raiders have apparently shown a lot of interest in Vea, and pounce on the opportunity to pick him here.

11. Miami Dolphins: Minkah Fitzpatrick, DB Alabama
Arizona jumped them for the opportunity to pick Baker Mayfield, but the unexpected fall of Minkah Fitzpatrick is perfect for them at 11. The main problem is that teams don’t know the true position for him in the NFL, but he proved he can do it all in college. He’ll likely start out at corner and move to safety when needed. Think Jalen Ramsey or Byron Jones, someone that has the potential to make an impact at either position.

12. New York Giants (from Buffalo): Marcus Davenport, DE UTSA
Davenport has kind of become the basic, boring pick here, but it makes sense. The Giants opted to trade down instead of taking Chubb at #2, and the Jason Pierre-Paul trade created a huge gap at DE. Davenport is a fast riser and I wouldn’t be surprised if he goes even higher to a team like the Raiders, who have shown interest. While he still has a lot of grooming to do, Davenport has the potential to make a JPP type impact early.

13. Washington Redskins: Tremaine Edmunds, ILB Virginia Tech
Edmunds is an athletic freak who falls further than he should, mostly due to the fact that more QB’s go in the top ten than usual. Linebacker isn’t a screaming need for Washington, but this type of value is too good to pass up at 13. Putting Edmunds in the same front seven as Ryan Kerrigan, Zach Brown, and Preston Smith makes for a pretty scary defense that has to stop Ezekiel Elliott twice a year.

14. Green Bay Packers: Denzel Ward, CB Ohio State
The Packers are in a great place here with stars like Ward and Roquan Smith still available. They usually like to go bigger at corner, but Ward is quick and has all the skills needed to be a franchise cornerback. The additions of Muhammad Wilkerson and Tramon Williams were a good start for a Packers defense that has been below average for so many years.

15. Chicago Bears (from Arizona): Roquan Smith, ILB Georgia
This is a big win for the Bears, who trade down from 8 (where the considered Smith) and still get him at 15. Smith looked to be a top 10 pick earlier, and still might be, but his recent injury concerns are enough to scare off teams like Oakland, San Francisco, and Green Bay. Smith had a very successful career at Georgia, and Chicago he can come in right away and start alongside fellow Georgia allum Leonard Floyd.

16. Baltimore Ravens: Calvin Ridley, WR Alabama
The Ravens picking an Alabama start in the first round? Where have we seen this before? Ozzie Newsome loves himself some Alabama players, finding recent success in CJ Mosley and Marlon Humphrey. Baltimore made sure to help the receiver room in free agency by signing Michael Crabtree and John Brown, but Crabtree is better suited as a WR2 and Brown works well in the slot. Ridley is the consensus #1 WR in this draft and will be a heavily used to target in the Ravens offense that’s looking for a spark this season.

17. Los Angeles Chargers: Leighton Vander Esch, ILB Boise State
No player has seen a bigger rise in their draft stock this offseason than Boise State’s Leighton Vander Esch. This pick comes down to LVE, Rashaan Evans, and Da’Ron Payne, but LVE has all the qualities you look for a in a do it all inside backer. The Chargers were atrocious against the run a season ago, and that just happens to be Vander Esch’s specialty.

18. *Cleveland Browns: Joshua Jackson, CB Iowa
Cleveland trades the 33rd and 35th overall picks to Seattle
What would an NFL draft be without the Browns making a first round trade? New GM John Dorsey has stated multiple times that this team needs actual NFL blue chip talent if they are serious about winning. Sure, they can stay at 33 and hope someone like Alexander or Oliver falls to them and take an OT at 35, but Jackson is a legit CB1 with lockdown potential. This trade works well for both teams, as the Browns fill their biggest remaining need, (and also have pick 64 to work with in round 2), and Seattle gets multiple picks, because they don’t pick again until 120 in the 4th round. Jackson had 8 interceptions in 2017 for Iowa, and the free agency pickups of EJ Gaines and TJ Carrie show the Browns are committed to making a change.

19. Dallas Cowboys: Da’Ron Payne, DT Alabama
Dallas needs help at linebacker badly after losing Anthony Hitchens to the Chiefs, but the Cowboys thing to do would be to piss me off and pass on the player I want (Rashaan Evans) for someone I don’t think will make a huge impact. With that said, Payne didn’t have the best numbers in college, but he still has the potential to be a starter in Dallas from the start, assuming David Irving plays more at DE this season. If Dallas get Randy Gregory back this season, this young defense could be one to look out for.

20. *Tennessee Titans: Rashaan Evans, ILB Alabama
Tennessee trades the 25th and 89th overall picks to Detroit
One team without many holes is the Titans, who really only need a starter at ILB after losing Avery Williamson in free agency. Why the trade up? Evans is unlikely to make it passed the Bengals (21), Giants (22), or Rams (23), and the Steelers are also in the same boat as them. Evans is arguably the best ILB in this class, and after him the talent drops severely. Not too much risk involved here, and Detroit only has six draft picks to work with. Two rookie head coaches work out a deal here.

21. Cincinnati Bengals: Billy Price, C Ohio State
The Bengals were wise to trade down and pick up their future LT earlier this offseason, but they still have work to do. Holes at C, G, and RT must be filled, and Price can play at center or guard. The partially torn bicep he suffered at the combine won’t affect his stock too badly, as he’s still seen as a safe first round pick by multiple teams. They have to keep Andy Dalton safe if the truly believe he’s their franchise QB.

22. New York Giants (from Buffalo): Will Hernandez, OG UTEP
Fixing the trenches is the best way for teams to go if they don’t have any glaring needs. Hernandez is a future pro bowler to me, and the Giants have no problem picking up the second best interior lineman in this draft. Jonathan Stewart and Wayne Gallman need lanes to run through, and Hernandez is a people mover. Adding him and Nate Solder are great moves.

23. Los Angeles Rams: Christian Kirk, WR Texas A&M
Los Angeles dipped their hat into the Odell Beckham Jr. trade pool, but ultimately decide the asking price and future price tag are too much. With the best ILB’s gone and any potential problems in the secondary solved, the Rams find their Sammy Watkins replacement. Kirk is my #1 rated WR this year, and he can form a dangerous young receiving core with Cooper Kupp and Gerald Everett.

24. Carolina Panthers: Ronnie Harrison, S Alabama
The recent addition of Da’Norris Searcy was a good start, but a younger option will be needed for the long run. Harrison is one of the most talented DB’s in this draft and can make an impact week one.

25. Detroit Lions (from Titans): Sam Hubbard, DE Ohio State
Matt Patricia starts out with Lions career with a very Patriot-like move by trading down and picking a player many think should go a round lower. The Lions need pass rushers badly, and Hubbard can team up with franchise player Ezekiel Ansah to take on the improving NFC North.

26. Atlanta Falcons: Taven Bryan, DT Florida
It’s no secret that the Falcons need interior lineman on both sides of the ball, and losing Dontari Poe to a division rival and Adrian Clayborn to the Patriots makes this one of the weaker units in football. Taven Bryan can play all along the defensive line and do his job well.

27. New Orleans Saints: Lamar Jackson, QB Louisville
It’ll be a surprise on draft day when Jackson falls this far, but questions about his accuracy and pocket presence drop him to the Saints, who gladly pick him up to take over for Brees in a couple seasons. Teams like the Chargers or Bengals could take him and the Jaguars could be tempted to trade up as well.

28. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jaire Alexander, CB Louisville
The Steelers don’t give up the picks to move up for Vander Esch or Evans, so they stay here and take a corner to put with Haden and Burns. Alexander is the best corner available and the Steelers still need help there.

29. Jacksonville Jaguars: DJ Moore, WR Maryland
Jacksonville is a team with almost no huge needs, so they can make a luxury pick like the Saints did a pick before. Losing Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns hurts, so Moore rounds out a receiver group that’s bringing back Marqise Lee and Keenan Cole.

30. Vikings: Connor Williams, OT Texas
Another player that falls further than expected is former projected top 10 pick Connor Williams. After suffering an injury that ended his 2017 season early, teams might be scared off. The Vikings can take a chance, and Williams can play at tackle or guard, wherever he’s needed.

31. New England Patriots: Lorenzo Carter, OLB Georgia
Common sense would tell you Mike McGlinchey or Kolton Miller would be the pick here, but the Patriots have proven they don’t care what the experts think. Instead, they take the best edge rusher left on their board and work on the defensive side of the ball.

32. *San Francisco 49ers: Courtland Sutton, WR SMU
San Francisco trades the 59th and 70th overall picks to Philadelphia
John Lynch has shown his willingness to makes trades on draft night, moving down for Solomon Thomas, up for Reuben Foster, and back down (allowing the Saints to pick Alvin Kamara). This time, they move back up from the 2nd round to pick up some help for Jimmy G that they’ve shown plenty of interest in. The Eagles don’t currently have any 2nd or 3rd round picks and have no immediate needs on their roster, so this makes sense for both sides.

Feedback is appreciated, but help me out with the accuracy aspect of it, not “i want ____ instead of ____” because teams don’t listen to us

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NudeTayne

NudeTayne

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Also, I believe Josh Jackson is going to fall a little bit in the draft, likely to at least 25 or so. Don't get me wrong. I am a big Josh Jackson fan; however, he ran slow at the combine, he apparently looked terrible in drills and couldn't even backpedal well. Add to that that he is somewhat of a one-year wonder, even though that was an amazing year. I don't want to give up picks 33 and 35 to move up that high when there are several potential #1 corners this year (Ward, Jackson, Oliver, Alexander, Hughes, Davis). I don't think six go first round. 

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Smhx2519

Smhx2519

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4 hours ago, Nickpeloso17 said:

8. Arizona Cardinals: Baker Mayfield, QB Oklahoma
Arizona trades the 15th and 79th picks, as well as a 2019 2nd Round pick
The Cardinals see Mayfield fall into a reasonable range to trade up to, so they give Chicago the 3rd round pick they lost, and a 2nd rounder next year to pick their future QB. Arizona’s draft value is at least 1,515 points, and Chicago (adds their second 4th rounder in the deal) has 1,464 points valued with their picks. Even after adding veterans Sam Bradford and Mike Glennon, the Cardinals are still searching for a QB to lead them past this season. Mayfield is relatively pro ready himself, so when the inevitable Sam Bradford injury arises, Mayfield will take over.

Although I see your point of view, based on what I’ve seen and read the Cardinals are hoping Bradford will be their new Kurt Warner/ Carson Palmer. So I don’t see them making the big move in this draft, especially for Mayfield. If Allen or Darnold were to fall to 8 that might change. I see Arizona going BPA adding talent to help Bradford succeed. 

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FalconFan13

FalconFan13

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26. Atlanta Falcons: Taven Bryan, DT Florida
It’s no secret that the Falcons need interior lineman on both sides of the ball, and losing Dontari Poe to a division rival and Adrian Clayborn to the Patriots makes this one of the weaker units in football. Taven Bryan can play all along the defensive line and do his job well.

Good pick for the Falcons as we for sure need some Dt help and a 2nd one in the form of a NT at some point in the draft as well maybe even 2nd or 3rd round .  Although i don't know if i would call our D-line exactly that weak.   Brook Reed, Jack Crawford, Derrick Shelby,  Vic Beasley, and Grady Jarrett are nothing to sneeze at talent wise and depth wise.   We can add 2 Dt's in the draft and be a very strong unit.  We could also still bring back Ahtya Rubin and Coutney Upshaw for some solid depth if need be.

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