aceinthehouse Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 After the early bit of info on our new QB Alex Smith & his career numbers, I thought it might be fun to forecast our record for next season. For those that don't know, he has a 51-27-1 record @home & a 39-40 record on the road throughout his career. To some it up, he wins about 65% of the time at home & 50% on the road by average. He's also 21-9 in the last 5 yrs in K.C inside his division. That's 70% success or at least a 4-2 record. Here is our Schedule for 2018 @Home Cowboys, Giants, Eagles, Falcons, Panthers, Packers, Texans & Colts. @Away Cowboys, Giants, Eagles, Cardinals, Jaguars, Saints, Bucs, Titans. So going by our 2018 schedule & Alex Smith career average by history, this is what I believe we can expect at minimum. @Home W Cowboys, W Giants, W Eagles, W Falcons, L Panthers, L Packers, W Texans & W Colts. @Away L Cowboys, W Giants, L Eagles, W Cardinals, L Jaguars, L Saints, W Bucs, W Titans. That's a 10-6 record 4-2 in division 6-6 conference record 3-1 non-conference record You could swap some L's & W's for certain teams, but I believe this about what to expect going by Alex. We could be 1 game worse as a 9-7 team, but that's a worst case scenario. Best case scenario is probably 11-5. At least for now & depending on how we do in the draft. Either way, you can expect a Playoff birth now, with Alex at the Helm. He knows how to get it done! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lavar703 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 The way the team is currently constructed we still can't run the ball nor can we stop it. Our receivers are also very suspect as I'm not a believer in Paul Richardson. We lost most of our pass rushing depth and I don't think Alex Smith will come in right away and play great. I honestly see the team taking a step back without much help from free agency and not having much fire power in the draft. I'm expecting between 5-11 to 7-9. This off-season has not impressed me much and I just don't see how we've improved... I think this will be the last season of Allen and Gruden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aceinthehouse Posted March 31, 2018 Author Share Posted March 31, 2018 8 minutes ago, lavar703 said: The way the team is currently constructed we still can't run the ball nor can we stop it. Our receivers are also very suspect as I'm not a believer in Paul Richardson. We lost most of our pass rushing depth and I don't think Alex Smith will come in right away and play great. I honestly see the team taking a step back without much help from free agency and not having much fire power in the draft. I'm expecting between 5-11 to 7-9. This off-season has not impressed me much and I just don't see how we've improved... I think this will be the last season of Allen and Gruden. You could be right. Anything is certainly possible. But remember, Alex took over a 3-13 Chiefs team with Andy Reid and immediately made an impact for them. So its not unreasonable to think, that he can't come here & bring a 7-9 football team devastated with injuries @#1 in the NFL the year before & get them an extra 2 or 3 wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Draper Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 At this point I’m highly confident his career win percentage on the road and within the division will take a negative hit. Not ready for total season prediction yet it would be interesting to see his win percentage with above average coaches Harbaugh and Reid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
taylor made Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Wins: Giants @Home, Cardinals@Away, Bucs@Away , Colts@Home That's a Brutal Schedule - especially home schedule. Wow, 4-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thaiphoon Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Waiting to see which games are at Night or on National TV before I give my final guess, but right now it looks like 4-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MKnight82 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 4-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeezy Fanatic Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 2-14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigdog44 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 2-14. Let the Drew Lock debates begin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slappy Mc Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Optimism abound. At least the people that say the bar for Alex Smith to be a success see us being 4-12 or worse. In my opinion, we sweep Giants and Cowboys and get swept by the Eagles. I’d say we pick up wins against TB, Indy, Tenn and Cardinals bringing us to 8-8 with potential for a few more with close wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
e16bball Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 I’m not normally a gambling man — but for those who are saying 2-14 or 4-12, I will happily give you an over/under of 5.5 wins and bet any amount you want on the over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aceinthehouse Posted April 1, 2018 Author Share Posted April 1, 2018 20 minutes ago, e16bball said: I’m not normally a gambling man — but for those who are saying 2-14 or 4-12, I will happily give you an over/under of 5.5 wins and bet any amount you want on the over. Totally agree with ya, Eball. I think we could win at least 4 games with Colt Mccoy...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HTTRDynasty Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 I’ll wait until after the draft, but it’s looking like another 8-8 (or close) season, which is the goal of Snyder/Allen anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Draper Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 13 hours ago, Thaiphoon said: Waiting to see which games are at Night or on National TV before I give my final guess, but right now it looks like 4-12 I’m waiting to see which games will be in a dome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mar29020 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 4-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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