The Orca

I'm town and there is no changing that. Don't care if I'm wrong at all. Don't care if I'm a lynch target at all. I'll be fine and so will town

We only lost 1 town D/N1 and Nacho is hard pounding a setup that doesn't make sense imo. We can see if he indeed is a GF and then ignore everything he has said and don't lose town. If he is town we lose town but still learn info on his sincerity on the setup theory Cons, if he is scum...none imo. He would either die or live as a GF and we know If he town well we lose a town which hurts but now is the time to test it Nacho has ignored his own logic if he really believed his setup theory imo, which is a huge red flag If you want purely reads MD4L and Mwil imo

Why do I need an excuse?

I dont. Do you believe a GF that can't die until the end works in a 14 person game?

How is it foolish? It gives info on the setup without losing town

The only way Counselor would be scum would be a fake claim of watcher right?

We got Nacho and Md4L, lets tighten the noose folks

Town af crew unite!!!

I like this Josh

Catch me up, what claims have been made?

its also a Saturday night

I think that's where our conceptual thinking didnt connect. I'm thinking betting you are talking individual events. Im saying it's equivalent to the alien example, you for some reason do not because you are broadstroking the scenario to include other events that imo should not be included

Obtuse lol You are trying to move the goal posts to fit your narrative. We are looking at the odds, betting if you will, that a game has a fake win con. Im betting on against right after we first saw it. Like the alien example

It was the first to be fake. According to the opening post my win con was completed on D1 if there is no bad guy. Game over...unless the wincon isn't correct

Keep ignoring me Ask Nacho. I said what you did. D0 bad guy died good guys congratulations, N0 good guy dies bad guy congratulations...shows bad guys in the game

Nacho says we are all town

Lol If something has never happened....an alien attack on new york city occurs. You would bet the next day a different set of aliens would attack new york city again 🤣

No, we aren't looking at the odds of 1 game, we are looking at the odds of 2 in a row. Different concept. Also its like 0.02% for 1 game to have a fake win con. 2 in a row would be virtually 0

Its not a gamblers fallacy. You are ignoring logic and reason to pound home the game should be a no lynch to win but you were lynching someone until your final switch. Ignoring the opening post, how Dome uses opening posts, what is said in the opening posts, and then now saying there is a bad guy all off the basis of some cryptic convo you had with dome about a game setup that doesn't match what has been seen. You are doing what scum does I didnt kill anyone nor can I

The odds externally of a given game having a false win con can be applied directly and in this case we are looking at the odds of 2 of those in a row. Low probability. Worth playing those odds Nacho

Not in the least, its math. Play the odds. Dome is the kind of the intro and the intro shows baddies

Dome uses intros well and purposefully and this clearly shows bad guys killing after they die...meaning there is a bad guy imo

Not at all. To assume Dome ignored the last game all together is a fallacy imo, but assume he did. 2 fake wincons in a row which really hasn't been seen is almost not possible