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Ending the OL vs. WR debate for Dummies


jetskid007

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Someone decided it's OK to delete my posts without holding themselves accountable, which has become a troubling trend. When I considered the overall diminishing content, the inflow of uninformed opinions/statements, how these arguments were starting (as me calling someone out for having an uninformed opinion) to how they were  were ending (off topic and crybaby-ish), and finally upon seeing my posts get deleted while a tyrant allowed their own non-football related posts about me remain, I thought, "you know what, it might be my time to move on."

Then I wanted to take a peek yesterday, and I was actually impressed with some of the content of the posts, until I saw one which broke every rule of logic out there. I made a harmless post and went back to doing what one does in these quarantine times, until I saw a DM in my emails from a particular individual who seems unhappy with being proven to be so foolish time and time again. I said to myself, "should I just leave, or should I make my point heard with a very intelligent football-related post, which will make this person look like a fool in the process." So I made a decision. 

Im Thinking Im Back John Wick GIF - ImThinkingImBack JohnWick ...

If one were to chart the past 10 years of first round picks, here is what the breakdown looks like in terms of safest/most successful position group investments to least successful by charting "successes" as players who were primary starters. Since some of the player's are out of the league right now, Jet X came up with a nifty cumulative "primary starter rate" which is the ratio of total seasons accumulated as a team's primary starter out of possible seasons. My breakdown of each is below. 

First-Round.png

 

#1 – CENTER (77.4% primary starter rate)

Picks: 7

Possible seasons: 31

Seasons as primary starter: 24 (77.4% – 1st)

Approximate value: 202 (6.52 per season – 2nd)

First-Team All-Pro seasons: 3 (9.7% – 3rd)

Pro Bowl seasons: 14 (45.2% – 1st)

First-Team All-Pro players: 2 (28.6% – 2nd)

Pro Bowl players: 3 (42.9% – 3rd)

#2 – OFFENSIVE TACKLE (75.6% primary starter rate)

Picks: 38

Possible seasons: 225

Seasons as primary starter: 170 (75.6% – 2nd)

Approximate value (explanation): 1,278 (5.68 per season – 3rd)

First-Team All-Pro seasons: 6 (2.7% – 11th)

Pro Bowl seasons: 14 (14.2% – 11th)

First-Team All-Pro players: 5 (13.2% – 9th)

Pro Bowl players: 12 (31.6% – 10th)

#3 – SAFETY (71.2% primary starter rate)

Picks: 22

Possible seasons: 111

Seasons as primary starter: 79 (71.2% – 3rd)

Approximate value: 540 (4.86 per season – 10th)

First-Team All-Pro seasons: 10 (9.0% – 4th)

Pro Bowl seasons: 24 (21.6% – 4th)

First-Team All-Pro players: 6 (27.3% – 3rd)

Pro Bowl players: 9 (40.9% – 4th)

#4 – EDGE (70.2% primary starter rate)

Picks: 10

Possible seasons: 47

Seasons as primary starter: 33 (70.2% – 4th)

Approximate value: 335 (7.13 per season – 1st)

First-Team All-Pro seasons: 8 (17.0% – 1st)

Pro Bowl seasons: 18 (38.3% – 2nd)

First-Team All-Pro players: 4 (40.0% – 1st)

Pro Bowl players: 6 (60.0% – 1st)

#5 – OFFENSIVE GUARD (69.3% primary starter rate)

Picks: 15

Possible seasons: 88

Seasons as primary starter: 61 (69.3% – 4th)

Approximate value: 462 (5.25 per season – 7th)

First-Team All-Pro seasons: 9 (10.2% – 2nd)

Pro Bowl seasons: 24 (27.3% – 3rd)

First-Team All-Pro players: 4 (26.7% – 4th)

Pro Bowl players: 6 (40.0% – 5th)

#6 – 1-3T DEFENSIVE TACKLE (66.7% primary starter rate)

Picks: 34

Possible seasons: 192

Seasons as primary starter: 128 (66.7% – 6th)

Approximate value: 1,039 (5.41 per season – 5th)

First-Team All-Pro seasons: 11 (5.7% – 5th)

Pro Bowl seasons: 29 (15.1% – 9th)

First-Team All-Pro players: 5 (14.7% – 8th)

Pro Bowl players: 9 (26.5% – 12th)

#7 – LINEBACKER (60.0% primary starter rate)

Picks: 24

Possible seasons: 115

Seasons as primary starter: 69 (60.0% – 7th)

Approximate value: 611 (5.31 per season – 6th)

First-Team All-Pro seasons: 5 (4.3% – 9th)

Pro Bowl seasons: 21 (18.3% – 7th)

First-Team All-Pro players: 1 (4.2% – 12th)

Pro Bowl players: 7 (29.2% – 11th)

#8 – CORNERBACK (58.4% primary starter rate)

Picks: 38

Possible seasons: 221

Seasons as primary starter: 129 (58.4% – 8th)

Approximate value: 970 (4.39 per season – 12th)

First-Team All-Pro seasons: 12 (5.4% – 7th)

Pro Bowl seasons: 35 (15.8% – 8th)

First-Team All-Pro players: 8 (21.1% – 6th)

Pro Bowl players: 15 (39.5% – 7th)

#9 – TIGHT END (58.3% primary starter rate)

Picks: 9

Possible seasons: 36

Seasons as primary starter: 21 (58.3% – 9th)

Approximate value: 114 (3.17 per season – 13th)

First-Team All-Pro seasons: 0 (0.0% – 13th)

Pro Bowl seasons: 4 (11.1% – 13th)

First-Team All-Pro players: 0 (0.0% – 13th)

Pro Bowl players: 3 (33.3% – 9th)

#10 – 5T DEFENSIVE END (56.3% primary starter rate)

Picks: 42

Possible seasons: 252

Seasons as primary starter: 142 (56.3% – 10th)

Approximate value: 1,267 (5.03 per season – 9th)

First-Team All-Pro seasons: 13 (5.2% – 8th)

Pro Bowl seasons: 38 (15.1% – 10th)

First-Team All-Pro players: 7 (16.7% – 7th)

Pro Bowl players: 16 (38.1% – 8th)

#11 – RUNNING BACK (53.3% primary starter rate)

Picks: 16

Possible seasons: 90

Seasons as primary starter: 48 (53.3% – 11th)

Approximate value: 457 (5.08 per season – 8th)

First-Team All-Pro seasons: 5 (5.6% – 6th)

Pro Bowl seasons: 17 (18.9% – 5th)

First-Team All-Pro players: 4 (25.0% – 5th)

Pro Bowl players: 9 (56.3% – 2nd)

#12 – WIDE RECEIVER (49.7% primary starter rate)

Picks: 34

Possible seasons: 191

Seasons as primary starter: 95 (49.7% – 12th)

Approximate value: 902 (4.72 per season – 11th)

First-Team All-Pro seasons: 9 (3.1% – 10th)

Pro Bowl seasons: 35 (18.3% – 6th)

First-Team All-Pro players: 3 (8.8% – 11th)

Pro Bowl players: 8 (23.5% – 13th

#13 – Quarterback (49.0% primary starter rate)

Picks: 30

Possible seasons: 157

Seasons as primary starter: 77 (49.0% – 13th)

Approximate value: 883 (5.62 per season – 4th)

First-Team All-Pro seasons: 3 (1.9% – 12th)

Pro Bowl seasons: 20 (12.7% – 12th)

First-Team All-Pro players: 3 (10.0% – 10th)

Pro Bowl players: 12 (40.0% – 5th)  

 

Enjoy.

Edited by jetskid007
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