incognito_man Posted May 4 Share Posted May 4 Since there is some good evidence out there that the consensus big board outperforms most actual NFL GMs (when measured against 2nd contract values), I thought it would be useful to examine the first round picks against it: https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/big-boards/2024/consensus-big-board-2024 Here are the results (% Delta is calculated as ([Actual Pick Number] - [Consensus Big Board Position])/[Consensus Big Board Position] Name NFL Team Consensus Big Board Actual Pick % Delta Rank Caleb Williams Chicago 1 1 0% 15 Jayden Daniels Washington 5 2 -60% 29 Drake Maye New England 2 3 50% 6 Marvin Harrison Jr. Arizona 4 4 0% 15 Joe Alt LA Chargers 10 5 -50% 28 Malik Nabers NY Giants 3 6 100% 2 JC Latham Tennessee 19 7 -63% 30 Michael Penix Jr Atlanta 31 8 -74% 32 Rome Odunze Chicago 6 9 50% 6 JJ McCarthy Minnesota 8 10 25% 9 Olu Fashanu NY Jets 15 11 -27% 25 Bo Nix Denver 35 12 -66% 31 Brock Bowers Las Vegas 7 13 86% 4 Taliese Fuaga New Orleans 16 14 -13% 19 Laiatu Latu Indianapolis 14 15 7% 13 Byron Murphy II Seattle 13 16 23% 10 Dallas Turner Minnesota 9 17 89% 3 Amarius Mims Cincinnati 22 18 -18% 21 Jared Verse LA Rams 17 19 12% 12 Troy Fautanu Pittsburgh 21 20 -5% 18 Chop Robinson Miami 27 21 -22% 23 Quinyon Mitchell Philadelphia 12 22 83% 5 Brian Thomas Jr Jacksonville 20 23 15% 11 Terrion Arnold Detroit 11 24 118% 1 Jordan Morgan Green Bay 36 25 -31% 26 Graham Barton Tampa Bay 25 26 4% 14 Darius Robinson Arizona 34 27 -21% 22 Xavier Worthy Kansas City 32 28 -13% 19 Tyler Guyton Dallas 29 29 0% 15 Nate Wiggins Baltimore 23 30 30% 8 Ricky Pearsall San Francisco 48 31 -35% 27 Xavier Legette Carolina 42 32 -24% 24 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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