AlNFL19 Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 I used my model to compile a playoff odds report for Week 17. It excludes ties because, really, is that going to happen? NFC 1. New Orleans Saints (13-2) Clinched: Home-Field Advantage 2. Los Angeles Rams (12-3) Clinched: NFC West First-Round Bye: 86.86% 3. Chicago Bears (11-4) Clinched: NFC North First-Round Bye: 13.14% 4. Dallas Cowboys (9-6) Clinched: NFC East, Fourth Seed 5. Seattle Seahawks (9-6) Clinched: Playoff Berth Fifth Seed: 87.12% 6. Minnesota Vikings (8-6-1) Fifth Seed: 12.88% Playoff Berth: 74.66% 7. Philadelphia Eagles (8-7) Playoff Berth: 25.34% AFC 1. Kansas City Chiefs (11-4) Clinched: Playoff Berth Home-Field Advantage: 69.75% First-Round Bye: 83.02% 2. New England Patriots (10-5) Clinched: AFC East Home-Field Advantage: 10.15% First-Round Bye: 75.93% 3. Houston Texans (10-5) Clinched: Playoff Berth Home-Field Advantage: 3.12% First-Round Bye: 30.11% AFC South: 62.91% 4. Baltimore Ravens (9-6) Clinched: Playoff Berth First-Round Bye: 6.30% AFC North: 73.02% 5. Los Angeles Chargers (11-4) Clinched: Playoff Berth Home-Field Advantage: 16.98% 6. Indianapolis Colts (9-6) AFC South: 18.06% Playoff Berth: 48.69% 7. Tennessee Titans (9-6) First-Round Bye: 3.0% AFC South: 19.03% Playoff Berth: 51.31% 8. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-6-1) AFC North: 26.98% The AFC is far more wide open than the NFC, as 1 rather than 4 divisions have been locked down. Home-field advantage goes to the AFC West 86.73% of the time, but to which team is the question. Go Pats, hopefully they can lock up a bye with a win, or with a lot of luck HFA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoleINGout Posted December 29, 2018 Share Posted December 29, 2018 This is awesome, hope you post this in NFL General. Interesting scenarios that spark your imagination a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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