Dynasty Help!

[X_Factor_40]

Tonight is the 5th year draft for my dynasty league with my friends. I came in 3rd place in 2013. I won the league in 2014 and 2015, and I didn't have time for it last year so I ended up just tanking last season unintentionally and I now have the first overall pick. I'm not sure which way to go with it.

*The league is only 8 teams, but the rosters are large. 

My Keepers:

QB: Ben Roethlisberger
QB: Blake Bortles
RB: David Johnson
RB: Jordan Howard
RB: Todd Gurley 
RB: Mark Ingram
RB: Thomas Rawls
WR: Odell Beckham JR
WR: Alshon Jeffrey
WR: Michael Thomas
WR: T.Y. Hilton
WR: DeVante Parker
TE: Tyler Eifert 
TE: Hunter Henry
TE: Austin Hooper
 

Other Players not currently kept:  
QB: Brock Osweiler
QB: Teddy Bridgewater
RB: DeAndre Washington
RB: Kenneth Dixon
RB: Devontae Booker
WR: Josh Doctson
WR: Malcolm Mitchell
WR: Laquon Treadwell
WR: Phillip Dorsett
WR: Quincy Enunwa
K: Stephen Gostknowski
Cincinnati D/ST

 

Positions: 2 QB, 3 RB, 3 WR, 2TE, 2 RB/WR/TE, K, DEF (12 Bench spots, 3 IR)

 

My questions for you:

1. Who should I take #1 overall?

 I felt like I for sure wanted to take Fournette as of last spring, but I've developed a crush/bias toward Joe Mixon. I like Cook and McCaffrey as well, but I'm leanning toward Mixon or Fournette. I need everyone here on FF to talk some sense into me and help point me in the right direction. I am only concerned with long term outlook. I have a little concern over Fournette's health moving forward, but I'm also thinking way too hard about it. 

2. Do you feel that I should switch out any of my keepers? I don't feel great about keeping Bortles, but I don't have a second QB worth keeping, and it's a 2 QB league. Going into the draft without at least a second guy at that position seems like a bad idea, as some teams, like my one buddy who tends to be my rival in fantasy is keeping 4 (Brady, Carr, Mariota, Prescott).

 

So what do you guys think? Any feedback would be much appreciated. We draft tonight. 

 

**Wasn't exactly sure where this would fit in best in the forum, so I made a thread hoping to get a good amount of feedback in the next hour or so. 

[X_Factor_40]

These are the scoring settings if anyone is curious:

Offense
* Passing Yards:
* 1 point per 15 yards
* Passing Touchdowns:
* 5 points
* Interceptions Thrown:
* -2 points
* Rushing Yards:
* 1 point per 5 yards
* Rushing Touchdowns:
* 8 points
* Receiving Yards:
* 1 point per 5 yards
* Receiving Touchdowns:
* 8 points
* Fumble Recovered for TD:
* 6 points
* Fumbles Lost:
* -2 points
* 2-Point Conversions:
* 2 points

Kicking
* PAT Made:
* 1 point
* PAT Missed:
* -5 points
* FG Made 0-19:
* 3 points
* FG Made 20-29:
* 3 points
* FG Made 30-39:
* 3 points
* FG Made 40-49:
* 3 points
* FG Made 50+:
* 5 points
* FG Missed 0-19:
* -3 points

Defense / Special Teams
* Sacks:
* 1 point
* Interceptions:
* 2 points
* Fumbles Recovered:
* 2 points
* Safeties:
* 2 points
* Touchdowns:
* 6 points
* Kickoff and Punt Return Touchdowns:
* 6 points
* Points Allowed 0:
* 10 points
* Points Allowed 1-6:
* 7 points
* Points Allowed 7-13:
* 4 points
* Points Allowed 14-20:
* 1 point
* Points Allowed 21-27:
* 0 points
* Points Allowed 28-34:
* -1 point
* Points Allowed 35+:
* -4 points

[chisoxguy7]

With it being non-PPR, your surest contributors this season are Cook or Hunt. Long term, Fournette or Mixon. I wouldn't think about mccaffrey at that spot.

[X_Factor_40]

1 minute ago, chisoxguy7 said:

With it being non-PPR, your surest contributors this season are Cook or Hunt. Long term, Fournette or Mixon. I wouldn't think about mccaffrey at that spot.

That's pretty much how I feel right now. I just can't decide if Fournette or Mixon is the better direction long term. If you were in my shoes which way would you go with it? 

[squire12]

I would keep bortles in the 2 QB league.  Mixon over Fournette (though I do not like Mixon the person).  

Injury issue favors Mixon.  Something about Fournette just does not sit right with me, not sure what it is.

[Incarcerated_Scarface]

That league is too much. Way too many keepers. No wonder you won it twice already. That league looks really easy.

[squire12]

2 minutes ago, steadypimpin said:

That league is too much. Way too many keepers. No wonder you won it twice already. That league looks really easy.

That is what most refer to a true dynasty is that you keep/retain the vast majority of your roster from year to year.  8-10 player keepers for most dynasty football players is not a real dynasty league.  It is much more likely that a team sustains itself at the top when they can keep all its top tier players for an unlimited length of time.

[Incarcerated_Scarface]

I guess. I think it's overkill. It doesn't even seem fun to me if it's like that. Too easy if you keep everyone 

[squire12]

17 hours ago, steadypimpin said:

I guess. I think it's overkill. It doesn't even seem fun to me if it's like that. Too easy if you keep everyone 

I agree.  I like the contract and salary cap format for leagues.  Adds the dimension of managing the $$ and contracts.   Having a penalty of dead cap when you cut a player.  Owners need to consider more aspects when acquiring players.

Draft is rookie only, 3-4 rounds.   Veterans that are not under contract are in an auction for acquisition.  Each team has whatever unused salary cap space they have.  Allows teams to strategically plan for having a lot of cap space at a time when some top tier players will be FA