rcon14

Yeah Cobb getting massively overpaid probably had a lot to do with him leaving for HOU. Bill O'Brien's idiocy is undefeated.

I can't remember if I did one of these when I started this account: Your life Username: rcon14 Age: 25 State you were born in: Wisconsin State you live in now: Wisconsin Something unique about you: I was an incredibly mediocre DIII baseball player Your love of the Packers When did you start following the Packers: As early as I can remember, realistically conscious of my fanhood around 2000-2001 What made you become a fan: I was born in Wisconsin, it's a religion here. Favorite current Packers: Kenny Clark and Allen Lazard All-time favorite Packers: Jordy Nelson and Prime Aaron Rodgers Favorite moment in team history: Of course the Superb Owl Your interests Other favorite teams: Bucks, Brewers, Badgers BB and FB, Arsenal, USMNT, Minnesota United Hobbies outside of football: Watching those teams and playing video games, I also occasionally do some sports blogging and spend too much time in Excel Favorite movie: John Wick 2 Favorite TV Show: Sports (please send halp during COVID shutdown) Favorite band: Don't really have a favorite band, but mostly listen to hip hop music or 2000s alt-pop

Rodgers contract makes it so it's really difficult to draft a QB with any real draft capital right now. And Jordan Love is definitely not the guy I'd want to take.

This may have got lost on the bottom of a page a few pages ago. Thought the results were mildly surprising.

I've been a big fan of Tyler Huntley throughout the process. He ranked very well in Paul Noona's QBOPS. While athleticism matters less at QB than other positions, I just ran his numbers on the RAS tool and he came in at 8.87 (could go higher or lower depending on the 10 and 20 splits). For a late round flier, taking someone that was both quite efficient as a passer and is a good athlete at the most premium position seems like a decent lottery ticket.

Yeah, there's a major issue with the sample this year. Over the next month I'm going to make some alterations to the data to see if it starts to make more sense. Do you have a source on the .17 number? EDIT: So I did some digging on this using the RAS database. Comparing the weighted averages of 3-cone times this year to all past years combined, and the difference in 3-cone averages is essentially non-existent (.00728 seconds). Breakdown by position: QB: .04 seconds slower RB: .02 faster WR: .08 slower TE: .04 faster OL: .00 DL: .02 slower LB: .12 faster (I think this has a lot to do with LBs getting smaller and smaller) DB: .06 faster The samples in any one draft class are of course rather small, especially compared to years and years of testing, but it appears that of the people that DID run, there wasn't too much of an effect.

Nick Bosa 9.43 RAS, 4.14 shuttle (96th %tile for DEs), 7.1 3C (81st%tile for DE), 1.62 10-split (90th %tile for DEs) Dee Ford 8.04 RAS, 7.07 3C (83rd %tile for DEs), 4.59 40 (98th %tile for DE), 10'4'' Broad (94th %tile for DEs), he did run a terrible shuttle Arik Armstead was quite mediocre for a DE, but once you move him to DT 8.67 RAS, 95th+ %tiles in broad and vert, 71st %tile 10-split, and 65th+ %tile for 3C and shuttle Buckner was again quite mediocre at DE, but moving him to DT 8.26 RAS, 97th %tile broad, 82nd %tile shuttle, 58th %tile 10-split, 86th %tile vert, 72nd %tile 3C All 4 of them, when playing their actual position, are plus athletes, and Bosa is an AWESOME athlete. And if you do the same thing for Epenesa (move him from DE to DT), he does get quite a bit better. Except Armstead and Buckner were both over 290 and Epenesa is 275. The difference there is massive.

It's not that Rodgers is BAD, he's just not AARON F***IN RODGERS anymore. The aggregate QB stat that I created had him around 11th in the league, which seems about right. At this point, he's more of an above average QB than an awesome QB. It's possible GB could push him higher with an improved WR corps, but it seems unlikely that we'll see that in 2020 given that they haven't made huge upgrades the group unless a rookie WR has a huge season.

Not necessarily be thrown in the trash, but it's moreso that fewer players eliminate themselves from "the board." Guys like Epenesa who did everything and were bad have no reason to stay on the board. He'd have to add about 20 pounds and not become a worse athlete. Seems incredibly unlikely for him to do that.

I like how the insinuation here is that I thought Rashan Gary was a good pick. I hated the Gary pick. You want EDGE guys that are both elite athletes and good football players. Gary was not the latter. Epenesa is not the former.

A: GB just gave the 5-tech on the roster an extension last season B: Teams don't really use the 5-tech that often anymore. If you assume you have two EDGE at pretty much all times, you're only using the 5-tech in the way you are describing with a great deal of regularity in base personnel, which is becomming a smaller and portion of your snaps. C: At 275 he'd be a puny 3T, so the value he'd provide there would primary be as a pass rusher, except ZDS is often used as a stand-up 3T in obvious passing situations. I'm not even saying Epenesa is a bad player (though his poor athletic scores would lead me to believe he has a low ceiling). I just don't see where the value is for him here.

Why are people screaming at each other about whether a slot player is listed as a cornerback or safety?

Epenesa doesn't even come close to clearing the athletic thresholds GB uses at either EDGE or DL. Using percentiles for EDGE because that's easier to showcase than raw numbers... Threshold for EDGE... 40 SPEED: 38th percentile Agility: 41st percentile Epenesa 40 SPEED: 2nd percentile Agility: 42nd percentile You could say "oh he's not a good long runner, being bursty is what matters. Expect his 10 SPEED percentile is also 2nd percentile. His scores actually rank worse at IDL where he clears neither Speed nor Agility thresholds. I'm not even saying he's a bad player, but GB has never taken that level of athlete on the DL/EDGE before. He's either a bad athlete at EDGE or a very undersized IDL with pretty underwhelming athleticism.

Real s/o to Kent Lee Platte and Justis Mosqueda who did the majority of the real grunt work on it. I merely had to do some filtering and double-checks.

Coan was basically competent but unspectacular against USF. ANY/A of 7.62. Biggest thing is he is going to have to hit those shots down the field (if he hits just one of them, his numbers look great). He was very successful in the intermediate area, so it wasn't just a checkdown fest either. He played better than I thought he would, but there's still some clear shortcomings.