Yep to be expected for sure, but it does sound like Josh was a good lynch D1. Id say a little more than luck for some that voted him. Swoosh was pretty spot on on his reads early as well (except for me). If you have a strong eye for variances, and analyzing thread play you can be pretty good, even early in the game, but you are still more likley than not to miss at that stage. People shouldn't be down cause they lynch town early and they shouldn't punish people for missing early (Except Nacho, punish him for every miss he leads 🤣)