Matts4313 Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 VC Swag - 3 - Matts (Locked), Forge (Locked), Rags (Locked) Matts - 2 - Swag, Counselor @gopherwrestler => Should be final VC, as I am assuming you are killing Dingo. Use my hit on Counselor. If you havent read up, we 3 would like RNJesus to pick the winner with an epic write up. Should be game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Forge Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 Btw...now that that is settled...who the hell didn't send in their action last night? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matts4313 Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 Also @Ragnarok you and @Malfatron made it where I couldnt shoot myself amirite? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SwAg Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 That may actually be the worst game play I have ever seen. I promise neither of them would have done the same. gg matts, you somehow convinced them to forego basic principles of statistics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SwAg Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 I don’t know what you’re all not comprehending about the 3-way lynch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matts4313 Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 2 minutes ago, SwAg said: That may actually be the worst game play I have ever seen. Youve been telling me that all game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Forge Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 4 minutes ago, SwAg said: That may actually be the worst game play I have ever seen. I promise neither of them would have done the same. gg matts, you somehow convinced them to forego basic principles of statistics. Is there variable change in unaware of? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matts4313 Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 Just now, SwAg said: I don’t know what you’re all not comprehending about the 3-way lynch. We are requesting RNJesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ragnarok Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 9 minutes ago, Matts4313 said: Also @Ragnarok you and @Malfatron made it where I couldnt shoot myself amirite? Nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SwAg Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 1 minute ago, Forge said: Is there variable change in unaware of? 1 minute ago, Matts4313 said: We are requesting RNJesus. You know very well that's not how this is going to work out, and that's not how these games work. One person is lynched each day. Suppose you all actually honor it, and you got in 1-1-1. Okay, ~33% chance each of losing. If matts survives, he wins because he just gets to kill whoever else survived with him. If matts dies, Ragnarok and Forge have to go through another 50-50. Basically, you two gave matts a ~66% chance of winning the game because he only has one RNG to go through, while you two have to go through two, which reduces your chance of winning down to about ~24%. I don't know how you don't see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matts4313 Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 4 minutes ago, Forge said: Is there variable change in unaware of? There are 3 variables: 1. You are a rookie and he thinks we are manipulating you. 2. I have a hit. 3. Rags needed us to die. For example, if worse had come to worse, I would have hit you not rags. Why? Because then the civs couldnt lynch me without Rags auto-winning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SwAg Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 Games don't just go to RNGesus like matts is leading you to believe. The game structure is maintained. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SwAg Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 Yeah, they're going to dispute the basic premise of math, what numbers mean, and how Mafia functions to show how I'm lying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Forge Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 1 minute ago, SwAg said: You know very well that's not how this is going to work out, and that's not how these games work. One person is lynched each day. Suppose you all actually honor it, and you got in 1-1-1. Okay, ~33% chance each of losing. If matts survives, he wins because he just gets to kill whoever else survived with him. If matts dies, Ragnarok and Forge have to go through another 50-50. Basically, you two gave matts a ~66% chance of winning the game because he only has one RNG to go through, while you two have to go through two, which reduces your chance of winning down to about ~24%. I don't know how you don't see that. Honestly, assumed that we would just do a 3 way generator. I'll let Gopher weigh in on this. After all, rags and I have an out if that is the case (sorry Matt lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matts4313 Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, SwAg said: You know very well that's not how this is going to work out, and that's not how these games work. One person is lynched each day. Suppose you all actually honor it, and you got in 1-1-1. Okay, ~33% chance each of losing. If matts survives, he wins because he just gets to kill whoever else survived with him. If matts dies, Ragnarok and Forge have to go through another 50-50. Basically, you two gave matts a ~66% chance of winning the game because he only has one RNG to go through, while you two have to go through two, which reduces your chance of winning down to about ~24%. I don't know how you don't see that. Were asking RNG for the winner goofball. Not to kill someone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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