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A 2024 OFF-SEASON PROJECTION (POST NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME)


Karnage84

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18 minutes ago, Karnage84 said:

I was listening to the NFL Stock Exchange and they were doing a run down on the CB's. Their comment was that they would take Devon Witherspoon (the prospect, not the pro) over any of the guys this year. If we're drafting CB #4 or #5 in this class at #29, it does make me question whether we'd be better off taking someone in rd 2 or rd 3 and filling that slot with another veteran signing. 

That's if we stay at 29. Holmes has shown he's not afraid to be aggressive in the draft and this team is in striking distance of a Superbowl. If there was ever a year to trade up to nab one of the top CB or EDGE guys if one falls out of the top 10 this is it.

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12 minutes ago, Just Want A Title said:

I don't listen to NFL Stock exchange but that is how my pre-combine mock worked out.  I had the Lions taking CBs with picks 61 and 73.  Don't forget about my DB man-crush Kendall Bohler!  Lol.

I've got a list of 51 CB's. Over the last several drafts we've seen around 35 guys being drafted (36, 37,28, 27, 32 if you work things backwards). So that's going to leave a good chunk of names we'll be talking about as UDFA's. 

Then it comes down to the Lions profiles for what they want out of their CB's. I've eliminated about 20 guys just based on some conditions (terrible run defense, under 5'10? (maybe 5'11), under 180 lbs, etc.). 

This is the list of guys I've eliminated as potential Lions using my filters. 

  1. Kamal Hadden    Tennessee
  2. DJ James    Auburn
  3. Dorian Strong    Virginia Tech
  4. Kris Abrams-Draine    Missouri
  5. Justin Birchette    Ohio
  6. Keni-H Lovely    Western Michigan
  7. Nehemiah Pritchett    Auburn
  8. Kamari Lassiter    Georgia
  9. Lance Robinson    Tulane
  10. Chau Smith-Wade    Washington State
  11. Donte Kent    Central Michigan
  12. Caelen Carson    Wake Forest
  13. Renardo Green    Florida State
  14. Daequan Hardy    Penn State
  15. Jaden Davis    Miami (FL)
  16. Elijah Jones    Boston College
  17. Jarrian Jones    Florida State
  18. Kalen King    Penn State
  19. Josh Newton    TCU
  20. Johnny Dixon    Penn State
     
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5 minutes ago, rob_shadows said:

That's if we stay at 29. Holmes has shown he's not afraid to be aggressive in the draft and this team is in striking distance of a Superbowl. If there was ever a year to trade up to nab one of the top CB or EDGE guys if one falls out of the top 10 this is it.

If we're looking at CB's drafted in the middle of the draft (16th - 20's) in recent years:

  • AJ Terrell
  • Emmanuel Forbes
  • Christian Gonzalez
  • Deonte Banks
  • Trent McDuffie

To get into the 20's we'd have to be giving up the equivalent of a high 3rd (#73). To get up to #16 we would need to give up our 2nd plus. For a team that wants to build through the draft and has had a lot of success in doing so, that's a pretty pricey deal. 

Holmes has not been afraid to make a move but I also don't see him making that kind of a move after the contributions we've received from this year's rookie class. 

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31 minutes ago, Karnage84 said:

I've got a list of 51 CB's. Over the last several drafts we've seen around 35 guys being drafted (36, 37,28, 27, 32 if you work things backwards). So that's going to leave a good chunk of names we'll be talking about as UDFA's. 

Then it comes down to the Lions profiles for what they want out of their CB's. I've eliminated about 20 guys just based on some conditions (terrible run defense, under 5'10? (maybe 5'11), under 180 lbs, etc.). 

This is the list of guys I've eliminated as potential Lions using my filters. 

  1. Kamal Hadden    Tennessee
  2. DJ James    Auburn
  3. Dorian Strong    Virginia Tech
  4. Kris Abrams-Draine    Missouri
  5. Justin Birchette    Ohio
  6. Keni-H Lovely    Western Michigan
  7. Nehemiah Pritchett    Auburn
  8. Kamari Lassiter    Georgia
  9. Lance Robinson    Tulane
  10. Chau Smith-Wade    Washington State
  11. Donte Kent    Central Michigan
  12. Caelen Carson    Wake Forest
  13. Renardo Green    Florida State
  14. Daequan Hardy    Penn State
  15. Jaden Davis    Miami (FL)
  16. Elijah Jones    Boston College
  17. Jarrian Jones    Florida State
  18. Kalen King    Penn State
  19. Josh Newton    TCU
  20. Johnny Dixon    Penn State
     

I heard the Kalen King and Johnny Dixon looked pretty bad at the Senior Bowl.  Their draft stock seems to be dropping like a stone.  Max Melton and Josh Newton seem like solid prospects but their projections have gone from early 2nd round/late 1st round to late 2nd/3rd round.  I am not sure what is behind their slide.  

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NFL Stock Exchange CB Rankings (Daniel Jeremiah top 50 rankings)

OUTSIDE

  1. Coope DeJean (29)
  2. Nate Wiggins (30)
  3. Terrion Arnold (6)
  4. Kool-Aid McInstry (36)
  5. Quinyon Mitchell (19)
  6. TJ Tampa
  7. Kamari Lassiter (42)
  8. Ennis Rakestraw (24)

SLOT ONLY

  1. Mike Sainristil
  2. Tykee Smith
  3. Jarrian Jones
  4. Kris Abrams-Draine

If we go with his rankings, this is the draft order. 

  1. Terrion Arnold (6)
  2. Quinyon Mitchell (19)
  3. Ennis Rakestraw (24)
  4. Cooper DeJean (29)
  5. Nate Wiggins (30)
  6. Kool-Aid McInstry (36)
  7. Kamari Lassiter (42)
  8. TJ Tampa

Looking over the last several years, the average # of CB's drafted is 4. 2020 had 6, 2019 had 1... every other year had 4. 

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Good teams find a way to stock future drafts picks and move back.

Being at end of first I could see them move back for future draft capital.

After the first half of first round it gets down to scouting departments. After the top 15 imo the next 45 guys are a crapshoot

Detroit can find their needs in middle second to later second with good scouting 

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2 minutes ago, detfan782004 said:

Mid first is different than top QB 

Him being a top/Elite QB isn't out of the question.  Most people weren't projecting Jayden Daniels as a "top QB" not so long ago.  Sheudur Sanders could very well be looked at as a top QB if he exhibits a growth arc similar to Jayden Daniels.  He has all of the tools to do so.

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1 minute ago, Just Want A Title said:

Him being a top/Elite QB isn't out of the question.  Most people weren't projecting Jayden Daniels as a "top QB" not so long ago.  Sheudur Sanders could very well be looked at as a top QB if he exhibits a growth arc similar to Jayden Daniels.  He has all of the tools to do so.

And all the attitude for teams to avoid. He's a cancer 

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6 minutes ago, detfan782004 said:

And all the attitude for teams to avoid. He's a cancer 

I don't know where you are getting your "Cancer" description from but some other folks seem to still think highly of him.  Can you provide some insight as to why he is a cancer or we down to gas-lighting college players?

https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaaf/2023/11/10/shedeur-sanders-deion-sanders-colorado-quarterback-sacks-painkillers/71505699007/

https://www.essentiallysports.com/nfl-ncaa-news-deion-sanders-ex-coach-issues-simple-solution-to-maximize-shedeurs-potential-during-twenty-twenty-four-season/

Edited by Just Want A Title
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PFN 7 Round Mock Draft

https://www.profootballnetwork.com/7-round-2024-nfl-mock-draft-james-fragoza-february/

Round 1 CB's

  • 11 - MIN - Cooper DeJean
  • 13 - LV - Terrion Arnold
  • 20 - PIT - Kool-Aid
  • 22 - PHI - Nate Wiggins
  • 24 - DAL - Quinyon Mitchell
  • 29 - DET - Kamari Lassiter

Round 2 CB's

  • 46 - IND - TJ Tampa
  • 52 - LAR - Kalen King
  • 58 - GB - Ennis Rakestraw
  • 64 - SF - DJ James

Round 3 CB's

  • 66 - ARI - Caelen Carson
  • 69 - LAC - Mike Sainristil
  • 81 - DEN - Josh Newton
  • 96 - JAC - Kris Abrams-Draine

Round 4 CB's

  • 102 - WAS - Dwight McGlothern
  • 103 - NE - Nehemiah Pritchett
  • 109 - ATL - Max Melton
  • 118 - SEA - Jarrian Jones
  • 122 - CHI - Khyree Jackson
  • 127 - HOU - Kamal Hadden
  • 128 - BUF - Cam Hart
  • 130 - BAL - Renardo Green

Round 5 CB's

  • 139 - NYG - Johnny Dixon
  • 173 - NO - Willie Drew

Round 6 CB's

  • 183 - TEN - Chau Smith-Wade
  • 199 - MIA - Andru Phillips

Round 7 CB's

  • 227 - MIN - Chigozie Anusiem
  • 234 - CIN - Daequn Hardy
  • 243 - TB - MJ Devonshire
  • 249 - SF - Elijah Jones
  • 250 - GB - Ja'Quan Sheppard
  • 256 - NYJ - Qwan'tez Stiggers (CFL - Toronto Argonauts... not sure how he'd be draft eligible)
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4 minutes ago, Just Want A Title said:

I have been hearing some good things about Ennis Rakestraw.  Still, I don't get the slide with Josh Newton and Max Melton.  I think most people question Cam Hart's speed but I suspect he might surprise at the combine.  

I don't think Lassiter is going to be a 1st round guy when April hits. I'm getting Kelee Ringo vibes from him. 

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PLAYER G RDEF SNP RDEF  TKL ASST TKL% MIS MIS% STOP STOP% FFM ADT PEN PEN%
Cam Sutton 20 427 67.2 11 5 3.75% 4 0.94% 6 1.41% 0 5.4 5 1.17%
Brian Branch 18 268 83.9 32 6 14.18% 4 1.49% 23 8.58% 0 2.4 8 2.99%
Jerry Jacobs 12 260 70.8 13 3 6.15% 4 1.54% 6 2.31% 0 4 9 3.46%
Kindle Vildor 8 115 63.7 4 2 5.22% 0 0.00% 3 2.61% 0 3.3 3 2.61%
Will Harris 10 61 57.1 3 3 9.84% 1 1.64% 1 1.64% 0 6.7 2 3.28%
Khalil Dorsey 3 29 56.8 0 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0   1 3.45%
Steven Gilmore 1 1 60 0 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0   0 0.00%
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Just now, Karnage84 said:
PLAYER G RDEF SNP RDEF  TKL ASST TKL% MIS MIS% STOP STOP% FFM ADT PEN PEN%
Cam Sutton 20 427 67.2 11 5 3.75% 4 0.94% 6 1.41% 0 5.4 5 1.17%
Brian Branch 18 268 83.9 32 6 14.18% 4 1.49% 23 8.58% 0 2.4 8 2.99%
Jerry Jacobs 12 260 70.8 13 3 6.15% 4 1.54% 6 2.31% 0 4 9 3.46%
Kindle Vildor 8 115 63.7 4 2 5.22% 0 0.00% 3 2.61% 0 3.3 3 2.61%
Will Harris 10 61 57.1 3 3 9.84% 1 1.64% 1 1.64% 0 6.7 2 3.28%
Khalil Dorsey 3 29 56.8 0 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0   1 3.45%
Steven Gilmore 1 1 60 0 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0   0 0.00%

Lion's CB's in run defense. Surprisingly, Cam Sutton was #1 on the team in run defense snaps by quite a bit (AA was 2nd on the team with 395, over 30, roughly a full game difference). 

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