beekay414 Posted May 27, 2020 Author Share Posted May 27, 2020 1 minute ago, Forge said: The problem they have pushed themselves into is that all of the guys they need to trade seriously have no trade clauses lol. Johnson / Gourde / Palat / Killorn, all have no trades. So theoretically, they could all push back and refuse to go. I don't think that will happen, but they have to brace for everything. If that is the case, they are in some trouble because he's not the only high level rfa they have (Cirelli is a free agent, as is Cernak). This wouldn't be the first time either; it wasn't that long ago that they had to trade Drouin coming off a 50+ point season out of his ELC when he was 21; that's how they got Sergachev lol. If the Arizona pick ends up in that 10/11 space, I'd certainly offer that straight up for him. I think that could honestly get it done as well. If they want something more immediate, i think it comes from Ty Smith. Someone mentioned Ty + Vancouvers pick if we got it this year (so they'd have to make the playoffs and the pick be 16 or higher...so really not all that great), and I'd think long and hard about that. I'd probably ask for TB's second back as well, but it's a fairly close deal, I think. Then I'd maybe take that second + the Islanders second + cap dump like Jake Allen (good to split time with Mac) from St louis for Dunn I want no part in trading Ty Smith. I also don't see why St. Louis would trade Dunn. I dunno. We project these types of trades all the time but the cap strapped teams always find a way out of their situations without losing anything of value (outside of 1st rounders to drop dead weight). Just look at how easily Boston got rid of Backes. All it took was a 1st and they even got back a valuable piece in that deal (Kase). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Forge Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 28 minutes ago, beekay414 said: I want no part in trading Ty Smith. I also don't see why St. Louis would trade Dunn. I dunno. We project these types of trades all the time but the cap strapped teams always find a way out of their situations without losing anything of value (outside of 1st rounders to drop dead weight). Just look at how easily Boston got rid of Backes. All it took was a 1st and they even got back a valuable piece in that deal (Kase). I would 100% trade him for Sergachev. One is already a 40 point NHL defenseman, the other couldn't make the team (looked quite dreadful tbh) in his draft +2 year. Sergachev is also only 18 months older. That's a no brainer to me. The only question is what the plus is from me in that situation. Smith is a complete unknown and Sergachev is lining up to be a top pairing defender, which is very difficult to find. I think Smith will like be a solid NHL defender, I think Serg is already that and could possibly be a top pairing type. St louis shouldn't trade Dunn, but seems like he could be on the market according to their fans. I don't quite understand it, but I'm starting to feel like he may be their version of Miles Wood? Their money issues aren't really worrisome. A lot of those guys can be dealt and at worst have modified no move clauses. They handled it slightly better than Tampa. They can create plenty of space to re-sign Pietrangelo. These trades do happen. Sometimes for older quality players, sometimes for the good, young RFA. That's how Tampa got Sergachev in the first place. They had to trade Drouin because they couldn't afford him. Subban (regardless of how that worked out for us) was the same way if you look at the older vets (and there are numerous other examples). They were making that deal regardless. Obviously Toronto unloaded a first to dump Marleau. We got Marjo, Palmieri both because their teams couldn't afford them (Palms is actually a little different, it was sort of a team inflicted cap and involved a weird roster thing involving tags), but that's certainly how we got Goose. Caps traded Burakovsky; Jordan Eberle to the Islanders, etc. I will agree that that they are seldom the 21 quality RAF like Sergachev is, but also not completely out of the question. If they have to trade one of their guys though, I think it would have to be Cirelli over Sergachev, though they could cash a lot of value on Sergachev. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beekay414 Posted May 27, 2020 Author Share Posted May 27, 2020 12 minutes ago, Forge said: I would 100% trade him for Sergachev. One is already a 40 point NHL defenseman, the other couldn't make the team (looked quite dreadful tbh) in his draft +2 year. Sergachev is also only 18 months older. That's a no brainer to me. The only question is what the plus is from me in that situation. Smith is a complete unknown and Sergachev is lining up to be a top pairing defender, which is very difficult to find. I think Smith will like be a solid NHL defender, I think Serg is already that and could possibly be a top pairing type. You're also paying Sergachev far earlier than you would Smith. I'm not trading Smith and a 1st to a team that's cap strapped and then paying the guy $5-7 Million right away. We still have 3 years of Smith's ELC and Smith has a high upside as well. I still believe in Smith a ton regardless of how much the fan base may have soured on him. I'm also not putting a ton of stock in Sergachev's point totals on such an electric offensive team. I dunno. I like Sergachev enough to take a shot on him but I don't like him enough to trade Ty Smith. If I'm trading Ty Smith, he's part of a package for a proven top pairing guy, not a "could be" like Sergachev. Also, just a correction but Sergachev is 21 months older than Smith, not 18 (March 2000 vs June 1998). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Forge Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 3 minutes ago, beekay414 said: You're also paying Sergachev far earlier than you would Smith. I'm not trading Smith and a 1st to a team that's cap strapped and then paying the guy $5-7 Million right away. We still have 3 years of Smith's ELC and Smith has a high upside as well. I still believe in Smith a ton regardless of how much the fan base may have soured on him. I'm also not putting a ton of stock in Sergachev's point totals on such an electric offensive team. I dunno. I like Sergachev enough to take a shot on him but I don't like him enough to trade Ty Smith. If I'm trading Ty Smith, he's part of a package for a proven top pairing guy, not a "could be" like Sergachev. Also, just a correction but Sergachev is 21 months older than Smith, not 18 (March 2000 vs June 1998). I don't care about the money. Its largely irrelevant to the team as it currently stands. We aren't going to use all the space that we have as it is, just like we didn't this year. We were like 10 million below the cap. So that definitely doesn't bug me. I don't think anyone has soured too much on Smith, though I think a lot of the fans on HF were given a bit of a jolt when he didn't make the roster lol. I think a lot of people just look at it like they think Sergachev is better and they'd want to take the known quantity, especially with that known quantity having a sky high ceiling still (he was a top 10 pick, after all). Smith did win defenseman of the year again, but it's hard to say what that really means tbh; as a double over ager, I feel like he probably should have won it lol. I think he's still going to be a quality player...assuming the Devils ever learn how to develop players. But I know Sergachev is, I don't need to think it. So I just consider Serg an upgrade and the question for me is how big of an upgrade and how much should said upgrade cost. The concerns on his offensive game for an offensive juggernaut is fair. I mean, after all, Will Butcher had 44 points his first year with us and we damn sure weren't an offensive juggernaut. Adam Fox had 42 for the Rags this year. I do think that he's a quality, all around defender though. I would give up Arizona's pick in a heartbeat for him, even if it were #10. That's probably a straight up trade though. I'd definitely give up Vancouver's. I'd give up Vancouvers first + other pieces as well, though I'm not sure what the other piece is. I don't think that they need Zacha. Reilly Walsh would actually make a ton of sense as they need an RD, but he'd have to be ready to play and be willing to sign. But I'd do Walsh + Vancouvers pick for him. For Smith it comes down to the add. I do think that Smith + 1st is a lot. I get why it's a lot, but it's a lot lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Forge Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 Side note, you should have seen the conversation when it came out that the devils wanted to speak with Gronborg. It was wierd. Some people were stoked while others were freaking out lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beekay414 Posted May 27, 2020 Author Share Posted May 27, 2020 5 minutes ago, Forge said: I don't care about the money. Its largely irrelevant to the team as it currently stands. We aren't going to use all the space that we have as it is, just like we didn't this year. We were like 10 million below the cap. So that definitely doesn't bug me. I don't think anyone has soured too much on Smith, though I think a lot of the fans on HF were given a bit of a jolt when he didn't make the roster lol. I think a lot of people just look at it like they think Sergachev is better and they'd want to take the known quantity, especially with that known quantity having a sky high ceiling still (he was a top 10 pick, after all). Smith did win defenseman of the year again, but it's hard to say what that really means tbh; as a double over ager, I feel like he probably should have won it lol. I think he's still going to be a quality player...assuming the Devils ever learn how to develop players. But I know Sergachev is, I don't need to think it. So I just consider Serg an upgrade and the question for me is how big of an upgrade and how much should said upgrade cost. The concerns on his offensive game for an offensive juggernaut is fair. I mean, after all, Will Butcher had 44 points his first year with us and we damn sure weren't an offensive juggernaut. Adam Fox had 42 for the Rags this year. I do think that he's a quality, all around defender though. I would give up Arizona's pick in a heartbeat for him, even if it were #10. That's probably a straight up trade though. I'd definitely give up Vancouver's. I'd give up Vancouvers first + other pieces as well, though I'm not sure what the other piece is. I don't think that they need Zacha. Reilly Walsh would actually make a ton of sense as they need an RD, but he'd have to be ready to play and be willing to sign. But I'd do Walsh + Vancouvers pick for him. For Smith it comes down to the add. I do think that Smith + 1st is a lot. I get why it's a lot, but it's a lot lol. I'm more than fine going after Sergachev, obviously, but I don't see the need to involve Smith in those talks. I'd try to use Vancouver's 2021 unprotected pick back to the Lightning for him plus other assets. Basically, anything other than Smith and our 1st is fair game. Maybe Tampa would value controllable depth and that pick? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beekay414 Posted May 27, 2020 Author Share Posted May 27, 2020 4 minutes ago, Forge said: Side note, you should have seen the conversation when it came out that the devils wanted to speak with Gronborg. It was wierd. Some people were stoked while others were freaking out lol. I really haven't been on HF at all lately. Those threads move relatively quick and half the time is filled with nonsense or the same stuff for the 100th time so I just choose to pass over them and go to the latest stuff. So, if I don't keep up daily, I get lost immediately lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Forge Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, beekay414 said: I really haven't been on HF at all lately. Those threads move relatively quick and half the time is filled with nonsense or the same stuff for the 100th time so I just choose to pass over them and go to the latest stuff. So, if I don't keep up daily, I get lost immediately lol. I'm in and out...I get super active sometimes...and then other times, I'm just like "oof...". That's when I get posts deleted and mod warnings saying leave the digs out of it (which, to be fair, wasn't a dig. I called him obtuse...and maybe hinted that he had just learned how to read so perhaps wasn't great at it yet. I stand by it) Some of the the things that get said really make you need to take a break. That Swiss Prodigy guy for example was seriously trying to convince everyone that the lottery set up was a joke and we got hosed because the 8-15 teams that lose in the qualifying round have a better chance to win the lotto than we do because if they win the first lottery, there's only 7 other teams to compete with in the second lotto. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beekay414 Posted May 27, 2020 Author Share Posted May 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, Forge said: I'm in and out...I get super active sometimes...and then other times, I'm just like "oof...". That's when I get posts deleted and mod warnings saying leave the digs out of it (which, to be fair, wasn't a dig. I called him obtuse...and maybe hinted that he had just learned how to read so perhaps wasn't great at it yet. I stand by it) Some of the the things that get said really make you need to take a break. That Swiss Prodigy guy for example was seriously trying to convince everyone that the lottery set up was a joke and we got hosed because the 8-15 teams that lose in the qualifying round have a better chance to win the lotto than we do because if they win the first lottery, there's only 7 other teams to compete with in the second lotto. I was reading that lol. The internet never fails to be bad at math. I just laughed trying to figure out how 7.5% is worse than ~3%? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beekay414 Posted May 28, 2020 Author Share Posted May 28, 2020 Pronman's Top 122 1 Alexis Lafreniere LW Rimouski QMJHL 2 Quinton Byfield C Sudbury OHL 3 Tim Stutzle LW Mannheim DEL 4 Lucas Raymond LW Frolunda SHL 5 Cole Perfetti C Saginaw OHL 6 Alexander Holtz RW Djurgarden SHL 7 Jamie Drysdale D Erie OHL 8 Yaroslav Askarov G SKA VHL 9 Marco Rossi C Ottawa OHL 10 Connor Zary C Kamloops WHL 11 Dawson Mercer C Chicoutimi QMJHL 12 Seth Jarvis C Portland WHL 13 Jake Sanderson D USNTDP USHL 14 Brendan Brisson C Chicago USHL 15 Rodion Amirov LW Ufa KHL 16 Anton Lundell C HIFK Liiga 17 Jacob Perreault RW Sarnia OHL 18 Mavrik Bourque C Shawinigan QMJHL 19 Jeremie Poirier D Saint John QMJHL 20 John-Jason Peterka RW Munich DEL 21 Jack Quinn RW Ottawa OHL 22 Dylan Holloway C Wisconsin Big 10 23 Braden Schneider D Brandon WHL 24 Hendrix Lapierre C Chicoutimi QMJHL 25 Lukas Reichel LW Berlin DEL 26 Sam Colangelo RW Chicago USHL 27 Noel Gunler RW Lulea SHL 28 Marat Khusnutdinov C SKA MHL 29 Justin Barron D Halifax QMJHL 30 Vasily Ponomarev C Shawinigan QMJHL 31 Emil Andrae D HV71 J20SuperElit 32 Ozzy Wiesblatt C Prince Albert WHL 33 Thomas Bordeleau C USNTDP USHL 34 Kaiden Guhle D Prince Albert WHL 35 Roni Hirvonen C Assat Liiga 36 Topi Niemela D Karpat Liiga 37 Ridly Greig C Brandon WHL 38 Jake Neighbours LW Edmonton WHL 39 Justin Sourdif RW Vancouver WHL 40 Lukas Cormier D Charlottetown QMJHL 41 Zion Nybeck LW HV71 SHL 42 Kasper Simontaival RW Tappara Jr. A Liiga 43 Jan Mysak C Hamilton OHL 44 Connor McClennon RW Winnipeg WHL 45 Pavel Gogolev LW Guelph OHL 46 Tyson Foerster RW Barrie OHL 47 Egor Sokolov LW Cape Breton QMJHL 48 Ty Smilanic C USNTDP USHL 49 Jean-Luc Foudy C Windsor OHL 50 Helge Grans D Malmo SHL 51 Shakir Mukhamadullin D Ufa KHL 52 Maxim Groshev RW Nizhnekamsk KHL 53 Daniil Gushchin LW Muskegon USHL 54 Alexander Pashin RW Ufa MHL 55 Ryan Francis RW Cape Breton QMJHL 56 Daemon Hunt D Moose Jaw WHL 57 Donovan Sebrango D Kitchener OHL 58 Will Cuylle LW Windsor OHL 59 Yan Kuznetsov D Connecticut H-East 60 Martin Chromiak RW Kingston OHL 61 Joel Blomqvist G Karpat Jr. A Liiga 62 Ryan O'Rourke D Sault Ste. Marie OHL 63 Sean Farrell C Chicago USHL 64 Pavel Novak RW Kelowna WHL 65 Anton Johannesson D HV71 J20 SuperElit 66 Drew Commesso G USNTDP USHL 67 Dylan Garand G Kamloops WHL 68 Brandon Coe RW North Bay OHL 69 Cross Hanas LW Portland WHL 70 Daniil Gutik LW Yaroslavl MHL 71 Roby Jarventie LW Koovee Mestis 72 Joni Jurmo D Jokerit Jr. A Liiga 73 William Wallinder D MODO Allsvenskan 74 Tristen Robins RW Saskatoon WHL 75 Antonio Stranges LW London OHL 76 Maxim Berezkin LW Yaroslavl MHL 77 Dylan Peterson RW USNTDP USHL 78 Alexander Gordin RW SKA MHL 79 William Villeneuve D Saint John QMJHL 80 Brock Faber D USNTDP USHL 81 Alexander Nikishin D Spartak KHL 82 Tyler Tullio RW Oshawa OHL 83 Luke Tuch LW USNTDP USHL 84 Daniel Torgersson LW Frolunda J20 SuperElit 85 Wyatt Kaiser D Andover US High School 86 Theo Rochette C Quebec QMJHL 87 Theodor Niederbach C Frolunda J20 SuperElit 88 Senna Peeters RW Halifax QMJHL 89 Kasper Puutio D Everett WHL 90 Eamon Powell D USNTDP USHL 91 Evan Vierling C Barrie OHL 92 Jaromir Pytlik C Sault Ste. Marie OHL 93 Emil Heineman C Leksands SHL 94 Mitchell Miller D Tri-City USHL 95 Brett Berard LW USNTDP USHL 96 Amir Miftakhov G Kazan VHL 97 Ivan Didkovskiy RW Dynamo Moscow MHL 98 Adam Wilsby D Sodertalje Allsvenskan 99 Evgeny Oksentyuk LW Flint OHL 100 Ryder Rolston RW Waterloo USHL 101 Bogdan Trineyev RW Dynamo Moscow MHL 102 Luke Evangelista RW London OHL 103 William Dufour RW Drummondville QMJHL 104 Artur Akhtyamov G Kazan MHL 105 Oskar Magnusson LW Malmo J20 SuperElit 106 Carter Savoie LW Sherwood Park AJHL 107 Alex Jefferies LW The Gunnery US High School 108 Michael Benning D Sherwood Park AJHL 109 Ian Moore D St. Mark's School US High School 110 Joonas Oden RW KooKoo Liiga 111 Jan Bednar G Karlovy Vary Czech Extraliga 112 Oliver Suni RW Oshawa OHL 113 Eemil Viro D TPS Liiga 114 Nico Daws G Guelph OHL 115 Dylan Jackson RW Dubuque USHL 116 Veeti Miettinen RW Espoo Jr. A Liiga 117 Blake Biondi C Hermantown US High School 118 Yegor Chinakhov RW Omsk MHL 119 Taylor Gauthier G Prince George WHL 120 Vsevolod Skotnikov G CSKA MHL 121 Calle Clang G Rogle J20 SuperElit 122 Lassi Lehtinen G Lukko Liiga 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beekay414 Posted May 28, 2020 Author Share Posted May 28, 2020 (edited) Some notable omissions Carson Bantle | LW | Madison (USHL) Alex Cotton | RHD | Lethbridge (WHL) Jack Finley | C | Spokane (WHL) Tyler Kleven | LHD | USNTDP (USHL) Thimo Nickl | RHD | Drummondville (QMJHL) Ronan Seeley | LHD | Everett (WHL) Jack Thompson | RHD | Sudbury (OHL) Zayde Wisdom | C | Kingston (OHL) Edited May 28, 2020 by beekay414 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Canadian Saint Posted May 28, 2020 Share Posted May 28, 2020 I thought Rossi was far too low. Quinn is 10 spots too low. Glad Lundell is that low (I'm not sure I see the upside). Zary is too high. I understand rating Raymond that high. I'm not a huge believer in Sanderson. I think Mysak is too low. Big call on rating Gogolev that high after being passed over twice. I thought Seeley is a big omission, thought he was one fo the better D-man in his own zone and very consistent. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Forge Posted May 28, 2020 Share Posted May 28, 2020 12 hours ago, Canadian Saint said: I thought Rossi was far too low. Quinn is 10 spots too low. Glad Lundell is that low (I'm not sure I see the upside). Zary is too high. I understand rating Raymond that high. I'm not a huge believer in Sanderson. I think Mysak is too low. Big call on rating Gogolev that high after being passed over twice. I thought Seeley is a big omission, thought he was one fo the better D-man in his own zone and very consistent. He's too high on Perfetti too. I don't understand having him so high given the skating problems. Looking over that list, that's one of the things I'm noticing - Pronman isn't docking as hard for skating as a lot of people do. The Zary ranking is another good indication of that, as is Perreault. If Zary were a good skater, that would be an absolutely legit ranking (that's not to say that having him at 10 as opposed to 17 is super crazy or anything, but yeah, probably higher than he should be). I'm surprised he's got Benning so low. I would 100% jump on that if he's there in the 4th round. Zion Nybeck is a big omission for me. I know that he's super tiny, and I'm assuming that is what he is getting docked for, but he's got skill and can play. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beekay414 Posted May 29, 2020 Author Share Posted May 29, 2020 (edited) 19 hours ago, Canadian Saint said: I thought Seeley is a big omission, thought he was one fo the better D-man in his own zone and very consistent. 7 hours ago, Forge said: Zion Nybeck is a big omission for me. I know that he's super tiny, and I'm assuming that is what he is getting docked for, but he's got skill and can play. Jack Finley is the biggest omission for me. I get that the NHL is going smaller and faster but Finley is a good skater for his size and is one of the better two way forwards in the draft. He's going to be a PK stalwart once he fills out his frame. Edited May 29, 2020 by beekay414 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beekay414 Posted May 29, 2020 Author Share Posted May 29, 2020 7 hours ago, Forge said: Pronman isn't docking as hard for skating as a lot of people do If he's not docking for skating, there's literally no reason to not have Finley in the top 122. There's no way he's a 5th round prospect. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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