The Orca Posted March 18, 2021 Share Posted March 18, 2021 14 hours ago, jasonwbantle said: 1- mine looks good malf- I think 2- interesting strategy in not picking all the games outpost. 3- only one game am I on an ina land and it’s eastern Washington vs covid infested Kansas. Go Eagles. 4- As always, On Wisconsin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 (edited) Expected Value (EV) formula: percentage chance of team win (via FiveThirtyEight) times the number of points you would receive. That's the expected value for each team, which I've put next to each game to indicate how much of a value pick it is. When the First Four games are done, I will calculate those games too, and then add up all the EV points to calculate official objective power rankings! 10- Virginia Tech - 4.2 ET80 Pickle Ted gopher josh jason dwight outpost swoosh daboyle 7- Florida - 4.06 shady 11:45 AM 14- Colgate - 3.36 Ted Jason shady dwight daboyle 3- Arkansas - 2.28 outpost pickle swoosh et80 josh gopher 12:45 PM 11 - Utah State - 3.63 Ted gopher josh outpost swoosh et80 6- Texas Tech - 4.02 Pickle jason shady dwight daboyle 2:00 PM 15 - Oral Roberts - 0.9 shady 2- Ohio State - 1.88 Pickle Ted gopher josh jason dwight outpost swoosh et80 daboyle 3:00 PM 9 - Georgia Tech - 2.52 Pickle josh outpost swoosh daboyle 8 - Loyola - 5.76 Ted gopher jason shady dwight et80 3:30 PM 12- Oregon State - 3.12 Ted jason 5 - Tennessee - 3.7 Pickle gopher josh shady dwight outpost swoosh et80 daboyle 6:10 PM 9 - Wisconsin - 4.95 Ted gopher josh jason shady dwight outpost swoosh et80 daboyle 8-UNC - 3.6 Pickle 6:25 PM 13 - North Texas - 2.47 gopher josh daboyle 4 - Purdue - 3.24 pickle ted jason shady dwight outpost swoosh et80 8:20 PM 10 - Rutgers - 5.8 Pickle Ted jason shady dwight outpost daboyle 7 - Clemson - 2.94 gopher josh swoosh et80 8:40 PM 11 - Syracuse - 4.29 Pickle Ted gopher jason shady dwight daboyle 6 - San Diego St - 3.66 josh outpost swoosh et80 8:50 PM 14 - Morehead St - 1.26 swoosh 3 - West Virginia - 2.73 Pickle Ted gopher josh jason shady dwight outpost et80 daboyle 8:57 PM 12 - Winthrop - 3.0 Pickle Ted jason et80 5 - Villanova - 3.75 gopher josh shady dwight outpost swoosh daboyle Saturday Games 11:15 12- Georgetown - 3.6 ted josh jason dwight daboyle 5 - Colorado - 3.5 pickle gopher shady outpost swoosh et80 11:45 AM 13 - UNCG - 2.21 daboyle 4- Florida State - 3.32 pickle ted gopher josh jason shady dwight outpost swoosh et80 12:15 PM 13 - Eastern WA - 2.73 jason 3 - Kansas - 2.37 pickle ted gopher josh shady dwight outpost swoosh et80 daboyle 12:45 PM 9 - St. Bonaventure - 3.6 ted josh shady dwight outpost swoosh daboyle 8 - LSU - 4.8 pickle gopher jason et80 2:30 PM 12 - UCSB - 2.16 ted josh jason dwight daboyle 5 - Creighton - 4.1 pickle gopher shady outpost swoosh et80 3:00 PM 15 - Iona - 0.75 daboyle 2 - Alabama - 1.9 pickle ted gopher josh jason shady dwight outpost swoosh et80 3:30 PM 11 - Drake - 2.31 ted 6 - USC - 4.74 pickle gopher josh jason shady dwight outpost swoosh et80 daboyle 6:10 PM 10 - Maryland - 4.6 jason outpost 7 - Connecticut - 3.78 pickle ted gopher josh shady dwight swoosh et80 daboyle 6:15 PM 13 - Ohio - 1.82 ted jason 4- Virginia - 3.44 pickle gopher josh shady dwight outpost swoosh et80 daboyle 6:25 PM 9 - Missouri - 4.77 pickle josh jason outpost swoosh daboyle 8 - Oklahoma - 3.76 ted gopher shady dwight et80 8:40 PM 11 - UCLA - 4.73 pickle ted gopher josh jason dwight swoosh daboyle 6 - BYU - 3.42 shady et80 No pick: outpost 8:50 PM 14 - ACU - 2.1 ted 3 - Texas - 2.55 pickle gopher josh jason shady dwight outpost swoosh et80 daboyle 8:57 PM 10 - VCU - 3.8 gopher outpost et80 daboyle 7 - Oregon - 4.34 pickle ted josh jason shady dwight swoosh Edited March 19, 2021 by Malfatron Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swoosh Posted March 19, 2021 Share Posted March 19, 2021 nerd 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, Malfatron said: 10 - VCU - 3.8 gopher outpost et80 daboyle 7 - Oregon - 4.34 pickle ted josh jason shady dwight swoosh well this nerd proved that you are objectively correct for picking Oregon, and they are objectively wrong for picking VCU Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swoosh Posted March 19, 2021 Share Posted March 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, Malfatron said: well this nerd proved that you are objectively correct for picking Oregon, and they are objectively wrong for picking VCU well there's a difference between being a nerd and being a buffoon. those four are buffoons. sco ducks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacReady Posted March 19, 2021 Share Posted March 19, 2021 Has a game even been played yet? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, Outpost31 said: Has a game even been played yet? The tiebreakers. first games start tommorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 power rankings all ready to go, just need to tweak them quickly when the mich state game is over 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopherwrestler Posted March 19, 2021 Share Posted March 19, 2021 Sooooo perfect bracket? Julie can you match buffet? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 11 minutes ago, gopherwrestler said: Sooooo perfect bracket? Julie can you match buffet? absolutely! You get to be HOH, nominate 2 houseguests for eviction, and even get your own room and bathroom until the eviction! Thats worth a billion of intangible dollars! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 (edited) 1 hour ago, Malfatron said: power rankings all ready to go, just need to tweak them quickly when the mich state game is over overtime you gotta be kidding me. byu gets a definite edge if ucla wins here i think by a few percentage points Edited March 19, 2021 by Malfatron Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 Lets post again to get to the next page to prep for rankings or rip your mobiles Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 ucla winning would make et80 and shady happy also, outpost because he missed a pick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 Teaser: @Outpost31 was 4th in the power rankings without factoring the missed pick (the byu - ucla/mich st game we are waiting for) lets see how far a missed pick can drop you down Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 okay, the next post will be power rankings Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.