TL-TwoWinsAway Posted March 13, 2020 Share Posted March 13, 2020 https://www.pff.com/news/draft-the-pff-analytics-mock-draft-1-0 I know that PFF is a pretty polarizing site, and a lot of their content is vehemently disliked by some. (I, for one, view it like I view everything else: just another source where the statistics have value, but also require context.) If you're one that hates PFF, you're really not going to like this mock draft. Firstly, their thought process: "Let's explain the methodology. We're not trading any picks and we're not attempting to predict what will actually happen (we'll give our opinion on some draft props later). We're simply giving the players who we think should be taken in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft. How are we making the picks? (Insert snide, witty comments here) We are relying primarily on two components: 1. Positional value: Our goal isn't to pick the eventual Rookie of the Year; it's to win a Super Bowl. Saquon Barkley is awesome at his job, but his job doesn't contribute to winning nearly as much as that of his quarterback. Players who impact the passing game have the most value, and that is reflected here. 2. Our college-to-pro projections: We take into account how each player grades in different situations in college and train algorithms to project performance into a set of NFL situations. We also take into account the prospects' athletic profiles with respect to each facet of play. Here is a more in-depth look at these projections for stud playmaker Isaiah Simmons from Clemson, for example. We also consider team needs when there is a close call between two equally valuable picks. However, football is a war of attrition, so the need is abundant for most teams." With that in mind, here is their top 10: 1. Joe Burrow 2. Tua Tagovailoa 3. Jeff Okudah 4. Henry Ruggs III 5. Chase Young 6. Tristan Wirfs 7. Isaiah Simmons 8. Jerry Jeudy 9. Andrew Thomas 10. Josh Jones Other surprising picks include Antoine Winfield at #17, Hunter Bryant at #20, Ezra Cleveland at #22, Albert Okwuegbunam at #23, Jack Driscoll at #29 at Matt Peart at #30, among a handful of others. (Three safeties were selected in the first round, and none of them were Xavier McKinney.) Thoughts? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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