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Nacho Simulation Football League (Season 27 - Taco Bowl XXVII Posted)


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On 4/18/2024 at 8:45 AM, ravens5520 said:

Running backs :
Travis Etienne [8 GS]: 128 carries for 551 yards (4.30 YPC, 33 LNG), 4 touchdowns, 2 fumbles. 18 receptions for 178 yards (9.89 YPR, 21 LNG), 1 touchdown, 2 drops.


Wide Receivers:
DeAndre Hopkins [8 GS]: 45 receptions for 569 yards (12.64 YPR, 32 LNG), 4 touchdowns, 2 drops.

Darren Waller [8 GS]: 35 receptions for 446 yards (12.74 YPR, 29 LNG), 3 touchdowns, 4 drops, 1 fumble. 7 pancakes.


Offensive Line:
Jack Conklin [8 GS]: 9 pancakes, 3 sacks allowed, 5 stuffs allowed.
Justin Pugh [8 GS]: 10 pancakes, 7 sacks allowed, 9 stuffs allowed, 1 recovery.
Duane Brown [8 GS]: 13 pancakes, 4 sacks allowed, 7 stuffs allowed.

Linebackers:
Eric Kendricks [8 GS]: 50 tackles (5 stuffs), 5 coverages, 2 sacks, 1 interception.
Ja'Whaun Bentley [8 GS]: 39 tackles (6 stuffs), 3 coverages, 1 sack, 2 forced fumbles.
Brandon Graham [8 GS]: 48 tackles (8 stuffs), 3 coverages, 2 sacks, 1 forced fumble, 1 safety

Corners
Xavien Howard [8 GS]: 39 tackles, 22 coverages, 2 interceptions, 1 forced fumble.

Safeties:
Tyrann Mathieu [8 GS]: 49 tackles (1 stuff), 8 coverages, 1 sack, 1 interception, 1 forced fumble.
Kevin Byard [8 GS]: 51 tackles, 5 coverages, 1 interception, 1 forced fumble.

Updated

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1 hour ago, ravens5520 said:

Trade 🚨 

Kongs Trade: Zeitler (G) & Andrews (C)

@Kingram Trades S28 6th 

@TheKillerNacho

Please put Collins off PS at G. 
Sign & Start Ben Jones Center   
Sign Mac Jones QB for PS

 

19 minutes ago, Kingram said:

@TheKillerNacho Drop Robert hunt and Bradley Bozeman 

remind me after week 10, way too far after the deadline

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Week 10 Power Rankings:

1. Rio de Janeiro Pirates (8-1, LW:1) -
2. Little Rock Uni Royals (7-2, LW:2) -
3. Indianapolis Predators (7-2, LW:3) -
4. Greenland Polar Bears (6-2-1, LW:5) -
5. Reykjavik Direwolves (6-3, LW:7) -
6. Hamilton Hornets (5-4, LW:4) -
7. Phoenix Rubber Ducks (6-3, LW:6) -
8. Freiburg Venom (5-4, LW:8) -
9. Anchorage Amphibians (4-4-1, LW:9) -
10. Lancaster Fighting Amish (5-4, LW:11) -
11. Butte Bots (4-5, LW:13) -
12. Scranton Papermakers (4-5, LW:10) -
13. New Zealand Blobfish (4-5, LW:15) -
14. Egypt Starfalls (4-5, LW:12) -
15. Burlington Sock Puppets (3-6, LW:19) -
16. Hanoi Viet Kongs (3-6, LW:14) -
17. Cincinnati Buffleheads (3-6, LW:16) -
18. Wattsville Waste Walruses (2-7, LW:17) -
19. Lake Minnewanka Ice Orcas (2-7, LW:18) -
20. Tokyo Samurai (1-8, LW:20) -

GOTW
 Greenland Polar Bears @ Phoenix Rubber Ducks (SNF)

National TV:
  Lancaster Fighting Amish @ Indianapolis Predators (MNF)
  Egypt Starfalls @ Freiburg Venom (Sunday late)
  Reykjavík Direwolves @ Anchorage Amphibians (Sunday early)
  Hanoi Viet Kongs @ Rio de Janeiro Pirates (TNF)

Rest of WEEK 10 (Tue, April 23rd)
 Tokyo Samurai @ Hamilton Hornets
 New Zealand Blobfish @ Scranton Papermakers
 Cincinnati Buffleheads @ Little Rock Uni Royals
 Burlington Sock Puppets @ Butte Bots (UOTW)
 Wattsville Waste Walruses @ Lake Minnewanka Ice Orcas

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Ladies and gentlemen, I apologize for being so behind in giving you all the rankings, but here we are through week 9

Team PWNY Wins Loss Win % Net PF PA OR DR
Rio de Janeiro Pirates 12.544 8 1 0.889 57 264 207 1 4
Little Rock Uni Royals 12.064 7 2 0.778 48 252 204 3 3
Hamilton Hornets 10.665 5 4 0.556 31 253 222 2 11
Indianapolis Predators 10.618 7 2 0.778 29 241 212 6 5
Greenland Polar Bears 10.078 6.5 2.5 0.722 21 220 199 10 1
Freiburg Venom 9.585 5 4 0.556 17 233 216 7 7
Reykjavík Direwolves 9.300 6 3 0.667 15 250 235 5 16
Phoenix Rubber Ducks 9.203 6 3 0.667 14 252 238 3 17
Scranton Papermakers 8.190 4 5 0.444 2 224 222 9 11
New Zealand Blobfish 8.092 4 5 0.444 1 232 231 8 14
Hanoi Viet Kongs 7.903 3 6 0.333 -1 218 219 11 9
Burlington Sock Puppets 7.254 3 6 0.333 -7 195 202 18 2
Egypt Starfalls 7.019 4 5 0.444 -10 210 220 13 10
Lancaster Fighting Amish 6.809 5 4 0.556 -12 206 218 15 8
Butte Bots 6.273 4 5 0.444 -17 197 214 17 6
Anchorage Amphibians 6.091 4.5 4.5 0.500 -20 208 228 14 13
Wattsville Waste Walruses 5.581 2 7 0.222 -27 216 243 12 18
Cincinnati Buffleheads 4.150 3 6 0.333 -44 201 245 16 19
Tokyo Samurai 4.106 1 8 0.111 -42 189 231 20 14
Lake Minnewanka Ice Orcas 3.301 2 7 0.222 -55 190 245 19 19
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Trying this out.

As nice as they are to look at, I think PWNY's are more a reflection of what has happened and not why those things happened. Net points are nice, but they alone don't really tell the story.

I don't have a name for this yet, but I decided to list the teams in order of Net Yards, color coded by fumble luck (the percentage of available fumbles that said team recovers). The results are interesting:

(RED = unlucky | YELLOW = neutral luck | BLUE = lucky)

TEAM REC TOYDS ORNK TDYDS DRNK NETYDS NETRNK FUMA FUMR FLUCK FRNK FG%
LR 7-2 3,808 1 3,135 1 673 1 13 3 0.23 19 85.71
NZ 4-5 3,602 3 3,152 2 450 2 13 4 0.31 18 87.50
IND 7-2 3,525 5 3,168 3 357 3 13 6 0.46 14 83.33
HAM 5-4 3,556 4 3,304 7 252 4 10 6 0.60 4 88.46
LAN 5-4 3,419 11 3,198 4 221 5 17 12 0.71 2 80.95
SCR 4-5 3,468 7 3,334 9 134 6 16 8 0.50 10 90.48
REY 6-3 3,617 2 3,499 15 118 7 8 4 0.50 11 88.24
CIN 3-6 3,296 15 3,218 6 78 8 13 7 0.54 6 91.67
EGY 4-5 3,376 12 3,310 8 66 9 8 3 0.38 16 93.33
BUR 3-6 3,252 16 3,203 5 49 10 18 9 0.50 12 86.36
ANC 4-4-1 3,489 6 3,473 14 16 11 17 11 0.65 3 73.68
GRE 6-2-1 3,452 9 3,451 12 1 12 18 9 0.50 13 77.78
FRE 5-4 3,366 13 3,421 11 -55 13 12 5 0.42 15 82.61
BUT 4-5 3,466 8 3,522 16 -56 14 9 2 0.22 20 91.30
LM 2-7 3,143 19 3,394 10 -251 15 14 5 0.36 17 80.95
PHO 6-3 3,349 14 3,613 17 -264 16 11 6 0.55 5 88.89
RIO 8-1 3,427 10 3,760 20 -333 17 19 16 0.84 1 87.50
TOK 1-8 3,057 20 3,471 13 -414 18 15 8 0.53 7 82.35
HAN 3-6 3,192 17 3,693 19 -501 19 17 9 0.53 9 94.12
WAT 2-7 3,143 18 3,684 18 -541 20 15 8 0.53 8 93.75

Compare to the PWNYs below:

5 hours ago, Tk3 said:
Team PWNY Wins Loss Win % Net PF PA OR DR
Rio de Janeiro Pirates 12.544 8 1 0.889 57 264 207 1 4
Little Rock Uni Royals 12.064 7 2 0.778 48 252 204 3 3
Hamilton Hornets 10.665 5 4 0.556 31 253 222 2 11
Indianapolis Predators 10.618 7 2 0.778 29 241 212 6 5
Greenland Polar Bears 10.078 6.5 2.5 0.722 21 220 199 10 1
Freiburg Venom 9.585 5 4 0.556 17 233 216 7 7
Reykjavík Direwolves 9.300 6 3 0.667 15 250 235 5 16
Phoenix Rubber Ducks 9.203 6 3 0.667 14 252 238 3 17
Scranton Papermakers 8.190 4 5 0.444 2 224 222 9 11
New Zealand Blobfish 8.092 4 5 0.444 1 232 231 8 14
Hanoi Viet Kongs 7.903 3 6 0.333 -1 218 219 11 9
Burlington Sock Puppets 7.254 3 6 0.333 -7 195 202 18 2
Egypt Starfalls 7.019 4 5 0.444 -10 210 220 13 10
Lancaster Fighting Amish 6.809 5 4 0.556 -12 206 218 15 8
Butte Bots 6.273 4 5 0.444 -17 197 214 17 6
Anchorage Amphibians 6.091 4.5 4.5 0.500 -20 208 228 14 13
Wattsville Waste Walruses 5.581 2 7 0.222 -27 216 243 12 18
Cincinnati Buffleheads 4.150 3 6 0.333 -44 201 245 16 19
Tokyo Samurai 4.106 1 8 0.111 -42 189 231 20 14
Lake Minnewanka Ice Orcas 3.301 2 7 0.222 -55 190 245 19 19

The top PWNY team, RIO, is 17th in net yards but is 1st in fumble luck, recovering 84% of all available fumbles. PHO is another team that stands out: they're 8th in the PWNY rankings but have the 16th fewest net yards and recover just over half of all available fumbles.

The three teams at the top - LR, NZ and IND - have each drastically outgained their opponents and have won games despite having abysmal fumble luck.

Takeaways: LR and IND are dominant, and NZ has had the unluckiest season so far: their bad fumble luck is undoubtedly the reason why they have a 4-5 record at this point in the season despite drastically outgaining their opponents.

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I'll use the info above to try and predict the winners for this week, considering both net yards and fluck:

Tokyo Samurai @ Hamilton Hornets
New Zealand Blobfish @ Scranton Papermakers
Greenland Polar Bears @ Phoenix Rubber Ducks
Hanoi Viet Kongs @ Rio de Janeiro Pirates
Cincinnati Buffleheads @ Little Rock Uni Royals
Lancaster Fighting Amish @ Indianapolis Predators
Reykjavík Direwolves @ Anchorage Amphibians
Burlington Sock Puppets @ Butte Bots
Wattsville Waste Walruses @ Lake Minnewanka Ice Orcas
Egypt Starfalls @ Freiburg Venom

(Eww.)

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Just now, LAOJoe said:

It goes beyond just fumbles and I made some points in last week's rankings but Look at that Rio is the luckiest in that regard and LR is essentially tied for unluckiest.

It's tough to say what really counts as "lucky", but I can't see how recovering fumbles is anything but luck. (Although I do think FG% is also relevant in all of this.)

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