StLunatic88 Posted May 22, 2019 Share Posted May 22, 2019 (edited) I know were all looking forward to another run at the Superbowl, but I wanted to share this that I have been working off of while looking at the future of the tam. Obviously stuff changes throughout the season, but for the most pat, these numbers are what they are for the next couple of years.So please refrence as you look at you 2020 Mocks and beyond. Quarterbacks Jared Goff 2020 - $22.8m (5th Year Option) 2021 - Extension Coming Goff is basically it, Bortles is likely only around for this season (due to the offset language in his Jags contract), and those young guys arent really much to speak of. I guess there is a slim chance that no other team is interested in Blake next year, and he could come back as a backup, but I would still bet someone offers him something more than the couple of Mil that we would. We better get used to paying 15% of our Cap to our QB, because even if we dont get back to the Super Bowl this year, Goff is looking at a $25m AAV extension at minimum (probably closer to $30m) from 2021-25. Better find a project backup in the draft soon. Running Backs Todd Gurley 2020 - $17.25m 2021 - $13.20m (Cut > $4.8m Cap savings) 2022 - $14.20m (Cut > $10m Cap savings) 2023 - $12.45m (Cut > $12.45m Cap savings) Malcolm Brown 2020 - $1.15m (Cut > $1.1m Cap Savings) John Kelly 2020-2021 - Rookie Contract Darrell Henderson 2020-2022 - Rookie Contract First real surprise here when looking into these deals, we actually arent tied to many of these guys as long as I originally thought. We could technically start saving money by cutting Gurley after next season. Not all that much money, but it looks like unless the Knee issue doesnt worsen at all over the next couple of seasons, we will probably be out of that deal before Henderson's rookie deal is up. Ontop of that, the Lions really must not have wanted Brown all that much, because there is almost no guaranteed dollars left on his deal after the 2019 season. So while I originally thought we might be moving Kelly this year, it looks more like we will keep 4 RBs due to the injury concerns and the more team friendly Contracts than originally thought. And while I still think many who have RB high on the Needs list for 2020 were being a bit premature, Im starting to lean that way too. (A Carlos Hyde/Latavius Murray type to split with Henderson would be very nice and cheap for the RB position) Wide Receivers Brandin Cooks 2020 - $16.80m 2021 - $16.80m (Cut > $3.8m Cap savings) 2022 - $17.80m (Cut > $9.6m Cap savings) 2023 - $17.40m (Cut > $14m Cap savings) Robert Woods 2020 - $7.18m (Cut > $4.8m Cap Savings) 2021 - $9.18m (Cut > $8m Cap Savings) Cooper Kupp 2020 - $1.20m 2021 - Free Agent (Likely Extension) Josh Reynolds 2020 - $900k 2021 - Free Agent Jojo Natson 2020 - Restricted Free Agent Khadarel Hodge 2020 - Exclusive Rights Free Agent 2021 - Restricted Free Agent I often forget how much money Cooks is making. That being said, I dont think we are cutting him anytime soon, but I also dont think he ever sees the final year of his contract either. Thats really the only time it is even worth cutting him (plus he'll be turning 30 that season). Woods on the other hand, would provide a savings any time now if we cut him. I would guess we are looking for his replacement sooner than most think, and thats coming form someone who has been a huge Woods fan since even before we signed him. Kupp, if he proves to be fully recovered,, is likely looking at a new extension, possibly even taking the money that we are currently paying to Woods. In a couple of years, I think someone will be paying Reynolds some big money (mostly on potential), they question will be if its the Rams or someone else. Im not sure we even need to worry about Natson and Hodge, but Jojo will be the main return man this year, and I know many had a Training Camp boner for Khadarel so i threw them in. Tight Ends Tyler Higbee 2020 - Free Agent Gerald Everett 2020 - $1.92m 2021 - Free Agent (Possible Extension) Johnny Mundt 2020 - Exclusive Rights Free Agent 2021 - Restricted Free Agent Kendall Blanton 2020-2022 - Rookie Contract Keenan Brown 2020-2022 - Rookie Contract Feels like theres about to be a whole lot of turnover at the TE position for us. For most of these I wont keep 2020 Free Agents on the list, but Higbee is worth the mention, as many have hoped he would become something in this offense. Sadly that doesnt look like it will happen. He would need to have one heck of a year to be brought back as anything more than a backup. And honestly, I think Everett might be in the same boat. hes got an extra year to prove it, but so far he has been a disappointment. The rest are just depth/roster fodder. Mundt might not even make the roster this year much less be worth a tender in a few. And I only threw Blanton and Brown to the list because they are the rookies I know and like the most. The more I look at it, the more this shows up as one of the bigger holes on the Roster. Offensive Line Rob Havenstein 2020 - $7.80m (Cut > $1.65m Cap savings) 2021 - $7.55m (Cut > $5.95m Cap savings) 2022 - $8.05m (Cut > $7.25m Cap savings) Joseph Noteboom 2020 - $920k (Cut > $510k Cap savings) 2021 - $1.01m (Cut > $810k Cap savings) 2022 - Free Agent (Likely Extension) Brian Allen 2020 - $830k (Cut > $490k Cap savings) 2021 - $920k (Cut > $750k Cap savings) 2022 - Free Agent Austin Blythe 2020 - Free Agent Jamil Demby 2020 - $660k 2021 - Restricted Free Agent Bobby Evans 2020-2022 - Rookie Contract David Edwards 2020-2022 - Rookie Contract Chandler Brewer 2020-2022 - Rookie Contract Brandon Hinter 2020-2022 - Rookie Contract Whit's retirement after this season might not be the only Starter to leave from the O-line, Blythe is a free agent as well, and unless he proves to be a stud this year, I think he will get paid more than we are willing to give a guy who should be more of a 6th Man than counting on to start. Obviously Noteboom will have a couple of years to prove he deserves an extension, but some continuity is needed on the OL (Allen is on the same timetable). But what really stands out is the guaranteed dollars owed to Big Rob (or lack thereof), because after 2020 he could be cut without any worry if need be. That actually makes the picks of Evans and Edwards make a bit more sense. Edited May 22, 2019 by StLunatic88 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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