Jump to content

Gonna Be So Wrong Mock


HuskieBear

Recommended Posts

Honestly think that a lot of ours are going to be relatively the same, but the gf is out of town and I got nothing better to do than type my thoughts out while watching Multiverse of Madness. I'm also not going to pretend i'm a cap expert

Cap space (per OTC) $46.876M

 

CUTS

Whitehair (+9.150)

Jackson (+12.560)

Blasingame (+1.600) 

Homer (+1.885)

Cap space $72.071M 

 

TRADE

Justin Fields to LV for 2-43 and a 4-112. Keeping this relatively simple, but i think it will eventually have conditions and could have picks in 2025 instead

Fields trade (-2.771)

 

Cap space $69.3M

 

EXTEND

Jaylon Johnson 5/99.5M. The FT for CBs is $18.8 - this contract is the diggs contract (5/97) with an extra $500k for each year. it takes JJ to his age 29 season with the chance to cash in again. I expect most guaranteed to be in the first 3 years and us the ability to play around with it again when he's in his 27 age year.  

2024 cap hit $19M 

Cap space left $50.3M

 

RE-SIGN

DT Justin Jones 2/8 - reliable DT that can continue to start at 3T and rotate through - posted team best interior rushing numbers

2024 cap hit $4M

TE Marcedes Lewis 1/3 - ol' reliable

2024 cap hit $3M

LS Patrick Scales 1/1.2 - same as lewis

2024 cap hit $1.5M

WR EQSB 1/2.2 - we know what he is, a 4/5/6 that run blocks well and isn't completely emBEARasing 

 

Cap space left ~$39.6M

 

FA 

C Evan Brown 3 years $18M - good starter money. Lucas got $4M/year when he signed, but Brown is better at both G and C.

2024 cap hit $6M

QB Josh Dobbs 2 years $8M - dobbs showed last year he can be effective in spot play and guys in the locker room love him. he competes with bagent to be the number 2. part of me thinks they just roll back with Peterman and Bagent, but that could be seen as risky

2024 cap hit $4M

DE Bryce Huff 3 years $39M - Huff has one of the highest pressure ratings in the league and even if he's still not a full time starter for us, him opposite of sweat with dexter and walker inside would make the DL v formidable 

2024 cap hit $13M

S Geno Stone 3 years $19.5M - Stone had a breakout season and posted one of the best coverage grades. having a true coverage S makes this defense work extremely well on the backend. his biggest issues are his run defense/tackling, which rate out poorly, allowing us to get him as cheaply as this.

2024 cap hit $6.5M

Cap space left ~$10.1M

There are going to be a handful of minimum guys coming in at LB/S/DL/WR/RB

 

DRAFT 

1-1 QB Caleb Williams, USC - We move on from Justin and get a QB that can throw the ball. I love JF, but he takes a ton of hits, misses a few games every year, misses a ton of throws, and the processing just isn't there and I'm not sure it's ever gonna be. 

Trade Bears trade 1-9 to New Orleans for 1-14 and 2-45. Nola is aggressive as always moving up to get Bowers as there's a chance they think NYJ want him, while Chicago accumulates assets 

1-14 WR Brian Thomas, LSU - Listen, if we stay put at #9 on draft day and take any WR, Edge, or OT, I'm good. In this scenario, QBs go 1-3, AZ/NYG go WR, LAC/TEN go OT, ATL goes Edge. Rome is still on the board, and I love him, but the benefit of getting another 2nd is too much to pass up, and we still get a really good WR to help out our new QB.

Trade Bears Trade 2.44 and 4.112 to the Chargers for 2.37. CHI sees a player they want and don't want to wait for him to fall - it's their turn to get aggressive and they use the picks from LV to move up. LAC is in a bad situation cap wise and had to cut good players, so they make the trade to restock.

2-37 C Zach Frazier, WVU - We all know about him. He's a tough SOB and would be the perfect lynchpin for the Bears when his time is ready. With Brown coming in, Frazier is in the prime position to be backup G/C for his rookie year and/or step in at any of those positions if/when someone gets hurt. Can replace Davis or Jenkins next year as a starter if they are off the team and can step in for Brown whenever necessary.

2-45 DE Bralen Trice, UW - Trice isn't the fastest or bendiest, but he plays strong, with an edge, and a high motor - exactly in the area Flus likes. He's able to come in and be a rotational pass rusher/spell Sweat while learning from him, and takes over the next year from Walker, who I expect is a potential cap casualty if he puts up another 2.5 sacks next season.

3-75 FS Javon Bullard, UGA - I did this draft on PFN, trying to keep it accurate. I thought long and hard about taking another WR (Tez walker and Roman wilson both on the board, but i think they get a Jayden reed senior bowl bump into the 2nd round). Our S depth is THIN, even with adding Stone, and Bullard gives us depth with a long term answer to take over from Stone if he doesn't work out, or set us up to play 3 S sets if it requires.

4-110 TE Ben Sinnott, KSU - A guy i've had my eye on for a while, and it seems like most of you have as well. A classic FB/TE kinda guy that provides enough receiving that he can be a weapon in the passing game and enough blocking that he could lead the way to open up holes (hello Lowman Trophy winner). He seems to be getting a bump recently too, so he might not be here, but here we go. 

4-122 RB Jaylen Wright, UT - like everyone else, i prefece that he might not be here, but if he is, i think he should be the pick. The biggest thing our RBs lack is the long speed when the break a run. Herbert is decent enough, but far too often gets caught from behind. Rojo is gonna be our tough runner. Wright has long speed and is a willing pass blocker. i don't think RB is a huge need, but his skill set would work well with the two guys already on our roster. could be a potential KR as well.

5-142 WR Isiah Williams, UI - this might be a homer pick, but watching Williams at Illinois the last 4 years has been impressive. a former highly recruited QB, Williams moved to WR towards the end of his freshman year and began to florish. He understands defenses and their weak spots from his QB days, and has the long and short speed to play all over the field. While he is smaller in stature and isn't going to break a ton of tackles, is explosive with the ball in the hand. Plus side is he is experienced returning punts.

 

DEPTH

QB Williams, Dobbs, Bagent

RB Johnson, Herbert, Wright, UDFA/FA

WR Moore, Thomas, Scott, Williams, ESB, Jones

TE Kmet, Sinnott, Lewis, Carlson

OT - Wright, Jones, Borom

OG Jenkins, Davis, Carter

C Brown, Frazier 

 

DE Sweat, Trice, Walker, Huff, Robinson

DT Dexter, Billings, Jones, Pickens, 

SLB  Sanborn, Sewell

MLB Edmunds, UDFA/FA

WLB Edwards, Baskerville

CB Johnson, Stevenson, Gordon, Smith, Blackwell, Jones

S Brisker, Stone, Hicks, Bullard

 

K Santos

P Gill (i think could use an upgrade here, but i recently heard a report that they like him. he had a good rookie year, so they hope he bounces back, but there is def camp competition)

LS Scales 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hope it’s not wrong man…this would be really good…

Would like to see us his FA a bit harder…but your draft is incredible close to what I was working on a few weeks back…like you have 4 guys in the exact same spots…would be really happy with that draft

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Miss we with Dobbs (his Linsanity run is over), but beyond that I dig it. I’d prefer we do a different WR from ESB in FA who might be an actual contributor. ESB was a Getsy guy and he’s gone now - I struggle to see him back in 2024. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'd love to get Stone that cheap. I think with his jump in production there is no way to get him under $10mil per year though. That would put him in the top 15 for AAV and you always are adjusting the market it seems with FA (supply/demand).

I love versatility in IOL too, so Brown to me allows you to go into the draft and get the best IOL regardless if it is a C or a G. Then you have Brown/Davis/rookie fight it out for the starting two spots. Get the best 5 on the field.

I'm also not a Dobbs fan but the Bears have paid more for back ups, but I'd rather go with a more experienced guy. Lock was mentioned elsewhere and would be the perfect guy IMO and probably the same price as what you listed for Dobbs. He already has experience with Waldron's system so it would hopefully help the rest of the guys get a jump on learning the terminology, even if that isn't a massive bonus I think it still adds value to the deal for a reserve player.

I'd be pretty damn happy happy.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 hours ago, Madmike90 said:

Hope it’s not wrong man…this would be really good…

Would like to see us his FA a bit harder…but your draft is incredible close to what I was working on a few weeks back…like you have 4 guys in the exact same spots…would be really happy with that draft

i think we hit FA harder too, i'm just not a cap guy so i didn't go about restructures or anything like that. i just went about it as basic as possible in terms of AAV and what we had

also, it's probably wrong because we do like it too much. gotta have some disappointment haha

Edited by HuskieBear
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, AZBearsFan said:

Miss we with Dobbs (his Linsanity run is over), but beyond that I dig it. I’d prefer we do a different WR from ESB in FA who might be an actual contributor. ESB was a Getsy guy and he’s gone now - I struggle to see him back in 2024. 

i just think he's obviously a smart guy and has played in a ton of situations. he's won some games, but not enough that he may have that "starter mentality." plus he's already 29, so he might be past the "young guy that thinks he could still be a starter in the league" mentality. i agree he's not great, but looking at the available backups around the league, i think we could do worse. i also think we could get him for cheaper considering he's mostly been a 2nd/3rd guy where he's been. if we're bringing in a rookie to be our starter, i think dobbs would be a better mentor/backup than lock

as for ESB, i agree we could do different and he was brought in by getsy, but he's still seen as a reliable guy in the locker room, isn't expected to be anything more than a 4, and his blocking and role ability should lend itself well in any offense. plus both waldron and getsy are off the same general mcvay/shanahan tree. and like chase daniel says, all offenses have the same base language. i have him resigning for league minimum, but if his spot was replaced by another teams 4/5/6 to be our 4/5/6 for the same price, you aren't going to break my heart.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Sugashane said:

I'd love to get Stone that cheap. I think with his jump in production there is no way to get him under $10mil per year though. That would put him in the top 15 for AAV and you always are adjusting the market it seems with FA (supply/demand).

Stone to me is a "theory" player. I actually would prefer McKinney and Kurl to him, but i think both of them either get resigned with their team or get more. I could very well be undervaluing Stone, but it could be a situation where we make him a targeted priority on day one, throw a contract at him that pays more in one year than he's made his whole career, and hope he jumps.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'd be pretty thrilled with this offseason overall....

My nitpicks would be:

1. I'd get a second receiver earlier.... but I also don't really see a spot where they'd slot in because I don't dislike any of the picks made. Post Senior Bowl over reaction might have me snagging Ricky Pearsall or Brendan Rice (Pearsall was often talked about as one of the best route runners with McConky there, and Rice reportedly had a very good week as well as well as built in Caleb comfort levels)

2. Frazier would be good, but post Senior Bowl over reaction is that I -=REALLY=- want JPJ now. He's gonna go in a really awful spot for us to have a chance to get though, and I'm typically trading down into the 20s from 9 to get him. I do think Frazier has surpassed S Van Pran though.

3. Running back wise, he wouldn't have been my top choice, but there's a number of guys who could get brought in (including your pick). Braellon Allen is probably the most interesting guy to me right now, but I think he'd have to be picked in the third (and he might have a really good combine that pushes him up from there).  I'd also consider the USC guy just for comfort level with Caleb. Regardless, my plan going forward is letting Herbert walk in a year, so I'm defniitely in the RB market.... I'm also less bullish on Roschon than I was last year. After his concussion, he seemed more timid in his rushing.

4. The biggest nitpick I'd have is that I don't think the mock did enough for the OL. Personally I want a guard in this draft because I frankly don't trust either of our current ones, and I'd probably throw a later pick at an OT prospect for depth.  That said, and again, I don't actually outright dislike any of the picks you made here, and there's really only so much we can do in one offseason.

Edited by Epyon
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Epyon said:

1. I'd get a second receiver earlier.... but I also don't really see a spot where they'd slot in because I don't dislike any of the picks made. Post Senior Bowl over reaction might have me snagging Ricky Pearsall or Brendan Rice (Pearsall was often talked about as one of the best route runners with McConky there, and Rice reportedly had a very good week as well as well as built in Caleb comfort levels)

i mentioned i almost grabbed one with our 3rd, but thought DJ and BT would be a solid starting pair, and Kmet and Sinnott would be respectable at TE. throw in a 2nd year guy in scott i think there should be enough to survive the year

1 hour ago, Epyon said:

2. Frazier would be good, but post Senior Bowl over reaction is that I -=REALLY=- want JPJ now. He's gonna go in a really awful spot for us to have a chance to get though, and I'm typically trading down into the 20s from 9 to get him. I do think Frazier has surpassed S Van Pran though.

i think Miami at 21 make a great fit for JPJ, so we're dropping to the 18-20 range maybe? i guess it depends on what we're getting for it, but i like Frazier as the #2 C off the board than the #8-10 WR

1 hour ago, Epyon said:

4. The biggest nitpick I'd have is that I don't think the mock did enough for the OL. Personally I want a guard in this draft because I frankly don't trust either of our current ones, and I'd probably throw a later pick at an OT prospect for depth.  That said, and again, I don't actually outright dislike any of the picks you made here, and there's really only so much we can do in one offseason.

Frazier would be depth for the entire iOL and Carter played well in relief. I agree about some more depth - i think you could realistically swap out Wright in the 4th for a backup swing T and try and grab a vet RB

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, dll2000 said:

Getsy is OC in Vegas now.  Doubt he will be pounding table for Fields. 

Nix is the screen specialist of this class, so it is safe to assume that he is also Getsy's phone background too.

I don't like Nix as a prospect, but I do pity him now.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, HuskieBear said:

well ya but if you look closely, you'll see i posted this before that event happened

LOL.  I was just making point that a trade partner probably went away.  Not criticizing your mock.  

None of our mocks are happening other than pick 1 being Caleb or traded.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, dll2000 said:

LOL.  I was just making point that a trade partner probably went away.  Not criticizing your mock.  

None of our mocks are happening other than pick 1 being Caleb or traded.  

haha i know, all good. i'm just sassy

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...