bomont Posted Tuesday at 12:56 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:56 AM Just now, Football_Bachelor08 said: Kicking a chip shot field goal is a better guarantee than 4th and 4. I don't need a calculator to tell me that. You realize you're wasting your time, right? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted Tuesday at 12:56 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:56 AM Just now, Towerbridge said: Saying Cousins isn't a real QB is one of the most ridiculous things I've read on here Hes cooked Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Football_Bachelor08 Posted Tuesday at 12:57 AM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 12:57 AM Just now, Malfatron said: But the value of getting 7 is better But 3 is better than zero. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bomont Posted Tuesday at 12:57 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:57 AM lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted Tuesday at 12:58 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:58 AM Just now, Football_Bachelor08 said: But 3 is better than zero. 7 is 4 more than 3 and 3 is 3 more than 0 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lavar703 Posted Tuesday at 12:58 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:58 AM I would put Penix Jr out there. Kirk just doesn't look right. The ball is fluttering. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingOfNewYork Posted Tuesday at 12:58 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:58 AM 1 minute ago, Football_Bachelor08 said: But 3 is better than zero. Possibility of 6 greater than the possibility of 3. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Towerbridge Posted Tuesday at 12:58 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:58 AM 1 minute ago, Malfatron said: Hes cooked After 1 game? Lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soko Posted Tuesday at 12:59 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:59 AM 4 minutes ago, Thelonebillsfan said: I understand this is a hard concept for some people to grasp, but when one choice is more likely to result in a positive outcome than the other, it is, in fact, common sense to take that choice. Football analytics don’t indicate future likelihoods, though. They just identify past trends/results in similar but not identical situations. So while that might generally give you an idea for a course of action, it actually has nothing at all to do with likelihoods. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Towerbridge Posted Tuesday at 12:59 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:59 AM Just now, KingOfNewYork said: Possibility of 6 greater than the possibility of 3. The 3 is a given. Don't be as dumb as the Eagles coach Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted Tuesday at 12:59 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:59 AM Just now, Towerbridge said: After 1 game? Lol 1.25 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nagahide13 Posted Tuesday at 12:59 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:59 AM XPs convert about 94% of the time, so it's 3 points vs. 6.94 points. Chip shot FG has a better % obviously, but you'd need 2.33 FGs to = the TD. From there I need a calculator to figure it all out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pugger Posted Tuesday at 12:59 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:59 AM 2 minutes ago, Malfatron said: But the value of getting 7 is better Yup, take the points. Yesterday SF didn't either and it came back to bite them in the 4th. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4thandInches Posted Tuesday at 01:00 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:00 AM 3 minutes ago, Malfatron said: But the value of getting 7 is better This is where context matters and what analytics doesn’t consider; I’d generally agree with that call but without a mega redzone target like aj brown out there, it’s the wrong call. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Football_Bachelor08 Posted Tuesday at 01:00 AM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 01:00 AM Just now, Malfatron said: 7 is 4 more than 3 and 3 is 3 more than 0 If you don't get it, you get zero. The chip shot FG has a higher rate of success. And now instead of a tie game, they're trailing. This type of "muh analytics" thinking has cost teams in other sports as well, namely the Houston Rockets in 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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