Kiei7 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 Pick for this week is Houston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonnguy2015 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 Taking the Bills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonnguy2015 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 Either I die quickly this week or I get to relieve some of my anxiety earlier than the rest of you all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FakePlasticTrees Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 Favorite Team: Carolina Panthers Week 1: Pittsburgh Steelers Week 2: Oakland Raiders Week 3: New England Patriots Week 4: Seattle Seahawks Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles Week 6: Houston Texans Week 7: Tennessee TitansWeek 8: Cincinnati Bengals Week 9: Los Angeles Rams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Woz Posted November 2, 2017 Author Share Posted November 2, 2017 21 hours ago, CWood21 said: Too lazy to do any work, but how does Kiei have so many less games than everyone else? I put the wrong marker for his team selections in the wrong column. Kiei's calculation of 32-26 is correct. However, that still puts him quite a bit ahead of the rest of the pack. Part of that reasoning is that he's only one of two people not to have selected Philadelphia. I'm doublechecking my numbers and will post a new tiebreaker in a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nbanflguy Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 I am changing my pick from Houston to Buffalo this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Woz Posted November 2, 2017 Author Share Posted November 2, 2017 The updated and short version of the tiebreaker: COMPETITOR TEAM PCT W L T GB Kiei7 Dallas 0.552 32 26 0 0.0 CWood21 Green Bay 0.610 36 23 0 -3.5 jonnguy2015 San Francisco 0.610 36 23 0 -3.5 FakePlasticTrees Carolina 0.617 37 23 0 -4.0 kyle21121 LA Chargers 0.617 37 23 0 -4.0 J-ALL-DAY San Francisco 0.627 37 22 0 -4.5 THE DUKE Cincinnati 0.633 38 22 0 -5.0 packerjmf Green Bay 0.639 39 22 0 -5.5 MisterB1ll Dallas 0.650 39 21 0 -6.0 Nbanflguy Minnesota 0.656 40 21 0 -6.5 ConnPatFan New England 0.656 40 21 0 -6.5 footbull3196 Minnesota 0.678 40 19 0 -7.5 I accidentally marked Kiei7 as having selected Atlanta and Houston as opposed Arizona and Green Bay. They were adjacent columns, but my apologies for the screw up. However, how does he have such a big league over everyone? Because of careful picking. Below lists who everyone has picked and how much they contribute to their record. Kiei7 has picked only two teams that are currently two games above 0.500 or better. The rest of you have averaged ~4.5 teams two games or above 0.500. In fact, of the 16 teams above 0.500, Kiei7 has only picked four, and the rest of you average out at ~5.8. He's been better at picking so-so teams to win on the right weeks. But now? Now the paranoia sets in. How much does he risk his tiebreaker advantage by taking highly favored (and high winning percentage) teams versus rolling the dice on those middling teams to protect the tiebreaker but have a higher chance of losing and thus bombing out of the competition altogether? Of course, the rest of you have the same conundrum: do you take longer shots in hopes of catching up to his lead, or do you play it safe and hope he rolls craps? Hey, what fun with this be if I didn't screw with your minds? Well, fun for me at least. << = team selected is at least two games above 0.500 < = team selected is one game above 0.500 FakePlasticTrees [Carolina] - PIT, OAK, NWE, SEA, PHI, HOU, TEN, CIN PITTSBURGH 6 2 << OAKLAND 3 5 NEW ENGLAND 6 2 << SEATTLE 5 2 << PHILADELPHIA 7 1 << HOUSTON 3 4 TENNESSEE 4 3 < CINCINNATI 3 4 37 23 [same as originally quoted] THE DUKE [Cincinnati] - ATL, OAK, NWE, SEA, PHI, HOU, TEN, MIN ATLANTA 4 3 < OAKLAND 3 5 NEW ENGLAND 6 2 << SEATTLE 5 2 << PHILADELPHIA 7 1 << HOUSTON 3 4 TENNESSEE 4 3 < MINNESOTA 6 2 << 38 22 [same as originally quoted] Kiei7 [Dallas] - DEN, ARI, GRB, SEA, BAL, WAS, DAL, MIN DENVER 3 4 ARIZONA 3 4 GREEN BAY 4 3 < SEATTLE 5 2 << BALTIMORE 4 4 WASHINGTON 3 4 DALLAS 4 3 < MINNESOTA 6 2 << 32 26 [incorrectly quoted] MisterB1ll [Dallas] - PIT, OAK, GRB, SEA, PHI, WAS, BUF, MIN PITTSBURGH 6 2 << OAKLAND 3 5 GREEN BAY 4 3 < SEATTLE 5 2 << PHILADELPHIA 7 1 << WASHINGTON 3 4 BUFFALO 5 2 << MINNESOTA 6 2 << 39 21 [same as originally quoted] CWood21 [Green Bay] - BUF, OAK, NWE, SEA, PHI, WAS, DAL, CIN BUFFALO 5 2 << OAKLAND 3 5 NEW ENGLAND 6 2 << SEATTLE 5 2 << PHILADELPHIA 7 1 << WASHINGTON 3 4 DALLAS 4 3 < CINCINNATI 3 4 36 23 [same as originally quoted] packerjmf [Green Bay] - DEN, OAK, NWE, SEA, PHI, WAS, PIT, MIN DENVER 3 4 OAKLAND 3 5 NEW ENGLAND 6 2 << SEATTLE 5 2 << PHILADELPHIA 7 1 << WASHINGTON 3 4 PITTSBURGH 6 2 << MINNESOTA 6 2 << 39 22 [same as originally quoted] kyle21121 [LA Chargers] - CAR, OAK, GRB, SEA, PHI, HOU, TEN, MIN CAROLINA 5 3 << OAKLAND 3 5 GREEN BAY 4 3 < SEATTLE 5 2 << PHILADELPHIA 7 1 << HOUSTON 3 4 TENNESSEE 4 3 < MINNESOTA 6 2 << 37 23 footbull3196 [Minnesota] - BUF, SEA, NWE, GRB, PHI, WAS, PIT, ATL BUFFALO 5 2 << SEATTLE 5 2 << NEW ENGLAND 6 2 << GREEN BAY 4 3 < PHILADELPHIA 7 1 << WASHINGTON 3 4 PITTSBURGH 6 2 << ATLANTA 4 3 < 40 19 [same as originally quoted] Nbanflguy [Minnesota] - LAR, OAK, GRB, SEA, BAL, NWE, MIN, PHI LA RAMS 5 2 << OAKLAND 3 5 GREEN BAY 4 3 < SEATTLE 5 2 << BALTIMORE 4 4 NEW ENGLAND 6 2 << MINNESOTA 6 2 << PHILADELPHIA 7 1 << 40 21 [same as originally quoted] ConnPatFan [New England] - PIT, OAK, GRB, SEA, PHI, WAS, MIN, NWE PITTSBURGH 6 2 << OAKLAND 3 5 GREEN BAY 4 3 < SEATTLE 5 2 << PHILADELPHIA 7 1 << WASHINGTON 3 4 MINNESOTA 6 2 << NEW ENGLAND 6 2 << 40 21 J-ALL-DAY [San Francisco] - BUF, OAK, GRB, SEA, PHI, WAS, DAL, MIN BUFFALO 5 2 << OAKLAND 3 5 GREEN BAY 4 3 < SEATTLE 5 2 << PHILADELPHIA 7 1 << WASHINGTON 3 4 DALLAS 4 3 < MINNESOTA 6 2 << 37 22 [same as originally quoted] jonnguy2015 [San Francisco] - PIT, OAK, GRB, SEA, MIN, HOU, TEN, NOR PITTSBURGH 6 2 << OAKLAND 3 5 GREEN BAY 4 3 < SEATTLE 5 2 << MINNESOTA 6 2 << HOUSTON 3 4 TENNESSEE 4 3 < NEW ORLEANS 5 2 << 36 23 [same as originally quoted] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBURGE Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 1 hour ago, Nbanflguy said: I am changing my pick from Houston to Buffalo this week. I expect to see a lot of this lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packerjmf Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 4 hours ago, JBURGE25 said: I expect to see a lot of this lol Wish there were more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonnguy2015 Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 RIP. Surprised I lasted so long this year though EDIT: And now it's over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CWood21 Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 6 hours ago, Woz said: However, how does he have such a big league over everyone? Because of careful picking. I was more or less asking how the number of games in the W/L column total so much different. It would have required him to pick teams who had already played their bye, while everyone else had picked teams who hadn't. That's what I was getting at. LIS, I didn't do any research into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CWood21 Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 On 7/28/2017 at 4:01 PM, Woz said: CWood21 [Green Bay] - BUF, OAK, NWE, SEA, PHI, WAS, DAL, CIN, HOU With news of the Watson injury, I'm changing my pick to Jacksonville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
footbull3196 Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 On 11/1/2017 at 6:41 PM, footbull3196 said: I would like to change my Week 9 pick from the Tennessee Titans to the Houston Texans thank you After Deshaun Watson's injury, I would like to change my pick to the New Orleans Saints thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THE DUKE Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 A lot of different picks this week, could be a bloodbath, especially with 2 already down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Woz Posted November 3, 2017 Author Share Posted November 3, 2017 18 hours ago, JBURGE25 said: I expect to see a lot of this lol There is a decent argument to be made for staying with Houston. Admittedly, it's a major gamble, but their trajectory has turned south significantly. If you can pick them on one of the few weeks they win, it would help your tiebreaker. Of course ... is this a week they'll win? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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