JaguarCrazy2832 Posted August 11, 2019 Share Posted August 11, 2019 Who are the guys you aren't nearly as high on as others based on their ADP? Here are some of mine for a Non-PPR League: Joe Mixon(ADP 14) His ypc jumped up almost too much to expect a repeat(3.5 to 4.8) and his OL is still bottom 5 in the NFL Dalvin Cook(ADP 21) Yes the Vikings want to be a run-1st team but if Cook can't stay healthy then it's like trying to run a hurry-up offense but your players are more fatigued than the defense. I just dont think he can hold up. He had 6 games under 4 ypc, 4 of which were under 3 ypc and 5 games that were over 4 ypc. 1 of the "good" games he was 10 for 89, but busted off a 70 yard run so it was a mediocre day before that. His ability to catch passes is the only thing that makes me think he has a chance of being Top-10 Leonard Fournette (ADP 23) Much like Cook, Fournette is just too injury-prone but even worse he plays for a team that doesn't have nearly the other offensive talent to keep boxes from being stacked. 3 very good games, 1 good game and 4 bad games...and then there's 8 games he didn't actually play. Yes he might have something to prove after a terrible year, but injuries are rarely an effort issue Kerryon Johnson (ADP 28) Do you see a pattern here? Kerryon is very talented but had injury issues his last year in college and then they got the best of him his rookie season. Detroit clearly wants to run the ball and there isn't a decent backup behind him to steal carries but will he be able to hold up? Seems like a high risk for a 3rd round pick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AFF Posted August 12, 2019 Share Posted August 12, 2019 Mixon was a RB1 while only playing in 14 games last year...line was bad last year but now should be getting OC Price back for the whole year. New offensive system should be same as the one that made Gurley go from bust under Fischer to stud under McVay. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmaizenBlue20 Posted August 12, 2019 Share Posted August 12, 2019 With Riddick being cut the Lions will use Johnson in the passing game now to bumping up his value. Also they added CJ Anderson who will be more productive than Blount was last year who will help lighten the load when needed. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whitehops Posted August 12, 2019 Share Posted August 12, 2019 17 hours ago, JaguarCrazy2832 said: Who are the guys you aren't nearly as high on as others based on their ADP? Here are some of mine for a Non-PPR League: Dalvin Cook(ADP 21) Yes the Vikings want to be a run-1st team but if Cook can't stay healthy then it's like trying to run a hurry-up offense but your players are more fatigued than the defense. I just dont think he can hold up. He had 6 games under 4 ypc, 4 of which were under 3 ypc and 5 games that were over 4 ypc. 1 of the "good" games he was 10 for 89, but busted off a 70 yard run so it was a mediocre day before that. His ability to catch passes is the only thing that makes me think he has a chance of being Top-10 first, dalvin does have a lot of talent and is a threat to break off 20+ yard runs pretty much every time he touches the ball. the vikings want to be fairly run-heavy but cook is also a solid/good receiver which means he should be fairly stable from a workload/game script POV. the most tangible thing to a lot of people high on cook is the hiring of gary kubiak, who has historically coached productive rushing attacks with less-than-stellar talents at running back. that combined with the vikings upgrading their offensive line (first round center garrett bradbury and RG josh kline) and it looks like the stars have aligned for cook. his health is bringing down his ADP and rightfully so. i like his chances of being healthier this season though, as he finished last season healthy and has had all off-season to further strengthen the muscles around his knee instead of just rehabbing. a real bonus here is that cook has a clear handcuff in alexander mattison. he is a talented (though not explosive) rookie that they drafted in the third round. if cook goes down mattison probably wouldn't be much less productive and will likely be their goal line back regardless so he could have low-end stand alone value. with his ADP you can grab him pretty much for free and i've actually drafted him even on teams where i didn't draft cook. that all said, i wouldn't blame anyone for being risk-adverse early in drafts, especially in 14+ team leagues. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NcFinest9erFan Posted August 12, 2019 Share Posted August 12, 2019 Sell me on Devonta Freeman. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaguarCrazy2832 Posted August 12, 2019 Author Share Posted August 12, 2019 20 minutes ago, NcFinest9erFan said: Sell me on Devonta Freeman. I really cant for the same reason i knock the other backs. His health is a concern but he plays in a high powered offense, gets loads of goal line work and catches passes. The upside is there with Cook and Fournette but the cost is less. So that’s something 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NcFinest9erFan Posted August 12, 2019 Share Posted August 12, 2019 18 minutes ago, JaguarCrazy2832 said: I really cant for the same reason i knock the other backs. His health is a concern but he plays in a high powered offense, gets loads of goal line work and catches passes. The upside is there with Cook and Fournette but the cost is less. So that’s something Yeah, I like Cook, Fournette, Freeman, Kerryon but I would LOVE them if I got them as my RB2. For health reasons, I MAY prefer Ingram over those guys? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AFF Posted August 12, 2019 Share Posted August 12, 2019 2 hours ago, NcFinest9erFan said: Sell me on Devonta Freeman. Ito has reportedly look like dog poo and no other RBs on roster are of note. Upgraded OL through draft and should see a solid amount of 3 down work. Lacks top 5 rb upside but should be a solid rb2. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaguarCrazy2832 Posted August 12, 2019 Author Share Posted August 12, 2019 5 hours ago, NcFinest9erFan said: Yeah, I like Cook, Fournette, Freeman, Kerryon but I would LOVE them if I got them as my RB2. For health reasons, I MAY prefer Ingram over those guys? I'm not going that far, I still have all of them over Ingram but I am still very worried about them 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaguarCrazy2832 Posted August 12, 2019 Author Share Posted August 12, 2019 4 hours ago, AlanFanecaFan said: Ito has reportedly look like dog poo and no other RBs on roster are of note. Upgraded OL through draft and should see a solid amount of 3 down work. Lacks top 5 rb upside but should be a solid rb2. The biggest threat to Freeman being in the Top-8 at RB is Devonta Freeman. If he is healthy for 14-15 games, I think he is there 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EaglesPeteC Posted August 13, 2019 Share Posted August 13, 2019 Kerryon is the number 1 RB in a Darrell Bevell offense and now his main competition for targets is gone. Sign me up at his ADP all day long as my RB 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dome Posted August 13, 2019 Share Posted August 13, 2019 In deeeeeep leagues, the Saints are gonna have a sleeper at WR. Keith Kirkwood is my best bet. If you're in a dynasty league and he isn't snatched up already, grab him. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
holt_bruce81 Posted August 13, 2019 Share Posted August 13, 2019 I don't understand how Derrick Henry is going so high. I wouldn't even waste a 5th or 6th round pick on him, give me Dion 6+ rounds later. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaguarCrazy2832 Posted August 13, 2019 Author Share Posted August 13, 2019 6 hours ago, holt_bruce81 said: I don't understand how Derrick Henry is going so high. I wouldn't even waste a 5th or 6th round pick on him, give me Dion 6+ rounds later. Dont want Lewis either but Henry worries me. He was awful for 75% of the season, murdered the Jaguars and all of a sudden was getting 6 ypc the last 4 games? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NcFinest9erFan Posted August 13, 2019 Share Posted August 13, 2019 2 hours ago, JaguarCrazy2832 said: Dont want Lewis either but Henry worries me. He was awful for 75% of the season, murdered the Jaguars and all of a sudden was getting 6 ypc the last 4 games? and also won some folks a title/money. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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