Weekly Bets Thread

[Broncofan]

Added NEW ADDED SUN PM - Curtis Samuel O33.5 rec yds 2U, 50+ rec yds +210 1U & 80+ rec yds +800 0.5U DK vs.  DAL - with Howell back and DAL slot it’s the matchup to take.   

Also re-added NEW ADDED SUN PM - Malik Heath +1000 DK / +12000 2+ FD 0.4U / 0.1U vs. CHI - added back to the slate with news that Christian Watson is inactive. 

Thats 44U in 13 player props & 10U in TD props for SUN day slate.

Edited January 8 by Broncofan

[Broncofan]

And BTW - HOU AFCS Champ +500 2U hits - +10U baby!   Goes nicely with the 2-1 season-long TD props (Amon-Ra St. Brown & Juwan Johnson W’s and Jerry Jeudy L).    

[Broncofan]

For SNF I’m adding 2 TD plays & 1 prop while Lat Murray voids: 

 

NEW ADDED SUN PM - Devon Achane O24.5 rec yds 2U, 40+ rev yds +200 1U and 60+ rec yds +600 0.5U DK vs.  BUF  - no Waddle bad OL using Achane in pass game the best fit to help Tua & Tyreek.  
 

NEW ADDED SUN 730 PM ET Alec Ingold +1600 & Chris Brooks +3700 FD for 0.25U each vs. BUF - with the Lat-Murray bet voiding - it’s likely J-Wilson or Achane but those are the FB and RB3.  At those odds why not.  

[NYRaider]

God I literally love you @Broncofan

Up 16U this weekend betting on the Bills and Texans, also hit on a lay of Bills/Steelers/Seahawks/Buccaneers/Packers all ML for 8U. 

I would've won an additional 4U on a parlay of Addison O/Bucs ML/Shaheed O/London O but London missed it by 3 yards, lol.

I have 2U tomorrow on Washington ML, can't wait for the playoff picks, lets get it boys!

[Broncofan]

1 hour ago, NYRaider said:

God I literally love you @Broncofan

Up 16U this weekend betting on the Bills and Texans, also hit on a lay of Bills/Steelers/Seahawks/Buccaneers/Packers all ML for 8U. 

I would've won an additional 4U on a parlay of Addison O/Bucs ML/Shaheed O/London O but London missed it by 3 yards, lol.

I have 2U tomorrow on Washington ML, can't wait for the playoff picks, lets get it boys!

Thats awesome lol.   The HOU AFCS +500 2U win was big because it helped pay for my late slate / SNF misery (but DeN got highest pick and KC didn’t get the free pass with PIT so there’s always a silver lining lol)…

 

WK18 SUN RECAP

Well it was a great finish for HOU AFCS winner but the late slate and SNF really went cold - way it goes….

ATS/ML - 1-0, +2U - sweaty but BUF got there.  

PLAYER PROPS - 6-10, -9.3U - it was tough to watch 4 players miss the main line by 2-3 yards and have balls go off their hands (DJ Moore, both ATL players & in 1H McBride).   16U swing but that’s gambling.   Unlucky to miss alt line on a couple of guys too.    But reality was there were a lot of bad calls (Samuel, Barkley, Achane, Hyatt - got hurt).   Ironically my last minute calls were still profitable because Ridley and Jeudy paid off nicely.    

LONGSHOT TD - 1-14, -5.5U -   Lucas Krull was THAT close to a TD (tipped last second) and Kendre Miller had his chances for 2-TD.    But the CAR /NYG longshots never got great chances.    

So that’s a tough -12.8U for today - and a -9.4U WK18.      Looking to bounce back for Wild Card Weekend!

 

 

—————-

 

 

WEEK 18 FINAL

ATS/ML: 45-40-1, +7.5U (WK 18 - 2-0, +3U)

PLAYER PROPS: 155-145, +125.8U (WK 18  - 12-19, -9.3U)

LONGSHOT TD:  40-274, +39.9U (WK 18 1-15, -6.5U;  Wk1 R-Shaheed +600, D-Parham +800 & R-Johnson +900; Wk2 - I-Hodgins +500 & B-Johnson +950 / +7500 2+; Wk3 - R-Bell +2000 & R-Chosen +2100; Wk4: N-Gray +700;  Wk8 - D-Ogletree +950 & Parham +400; Wk9 - D-Johnson +300 & J-Johnson +440 & N-Brown +600; Wk10 - T-Chandler +900 & J-Reed +600; Wk11 - N-Agholor +750 & T-Tremble +850; Wk12 - T-Kraft +800 & S-Howell +700 & G-Dortch +550 & I-Hodgins +1100 & H-Bryant +1400; Wk13 - S-Howell +800 / +12500 2+ & H-Bryant +900 & N-Gray +900 & J-Browning +1400; Wk15 - J-Palmer +425 & M-Mayer +600 & A-Erickson +1400 & J-Johnson +500 & K-Harris +2000; Wk16 - J-Johnson +600, D-Wicks +350, C-Parkinson +1100, L-Krull +1600, D-Slayton +700 & N-Agholor +950; WK17 - J-Johnson +550, J-Browning +1100, C-Kolar +1500, J-Love +950 & J-Mundt +1100; WK18 K-Miller +400)

TOTAL - +173.2U (WK1:  +3.0U; Wk2: +14.3U; Wk3: -0.8U, Wk4: -5.4U; Wk5 : +15.5U; Wk 6 -22.1U (OUCH); WK 7 - +12.3U; Wk 8 - +14.3U; Wk9 - +2.6U; Wk10 - +42.2U; Wk11 - +0.3U; Wk12- -8.3U; Wk13 - +63.2U; WK14 - -13.2 U;  WK15 - +24.1U; WK16 - +18.9U; WK17 - +23.3U; WK18 -9.4U ; 1430U stake so far)

 

[SmittyBacall]

I picked a bad week to increase my stake size 25%.

[NYRaider]

Any early lines you guys like?

[Broncofan]

Well, I've been laid up in bed for the last 2 days, so a fair number of slates are up, so let's get at it.

 

WEEK 19 - WILD CARD WEEKEND

A couple of important points - it's going to be brutally cold in KC, wind chill will make it closer to 0F.   And in BUF, it's going to be wet, windy and cold.  The other 4 games aren't affected, so that does change some of the plays here...

 

ATS/ML

SUN

GB +7.5 @ DAL - this could backfire if the GB run game and pass pro doesn't hold up, as that's when Jordan Love struggles.  But if the pass pro does hold up and Aaron Jones thrives again, then it's easy to back GB getting 7.5 pts. 

LAR ML +150 @ DET - NGL, before this week, I was on the fence, as both teams are so loaded, and home field advantage makes such a difference.   But Dan Campbell's asinine decision to play his starters in a meaningless game has almost certainly put Sam Laporta on the shelf, and now Brian Branch is really hurting.  That's a major problem, to say the least.    Add in that Sean McVay knows Goff so well, and Matthew Stafford's ability to pick apart weak pass D's, and this is a major value, in what i think should at worst be a pick-em.  

 

MNF

TAM ML +130 VS PHI - this line is preying upon the perception that PHI Is just way more talented than TAM, and Jalen Hurts >> Baker Mayfield.   In a vacuum, these are correct statements.  BUT, Baker succeeeds with OC Dave Canales' scheme when there isn't pressure - and PHI"s pass rush is non-existent.   On the flip side, PHI's run game has sputtered, and the injuries to their WR's and Hurts' bad decision making really makes it easy to back the +money dog at home.

I was all over BUF -9.5 vs. PIT, with no TJ Watt - but the extreme weather contracts the talent gap, so I'm sticking to these plays.  That's 3U for ATS/ML plays.

 

PLAYER PROPS

SAT

David Njoku O56.5 rec yds 2U, 80+ rec yds +230 1U, 100+ rec yds +500 0.5U DK @ HOU - yes, I know Amari Cooper went HAM for 260 yards on HOU 3 weeks ago.   But there are 3 reasons to back Njoku as my first play for CLE.   First, HC Demeco Ryans is almost certainly going to plan something different to take Cooper out as such an easy target.   Secondly, Cooper is battling a heel issue, and in the past when he's hurting, he often plays, but isn't nearly as prolific (Ferrari example).   Lastly, HOU O will put up more of a fight with CJ Stroud back at QB, so I don't expect a huge TOP edge like last game (really extreme first 3Q until they called off the dogs).    HOU still is a bottom 5 TE D, so it's easier for me to back Njoku at nearly 20 yards less than Cooper's prop.

CJ Stroud O9.5 rec yds rush yds 2U, 25+ rush yds +340 1U DK vs. CLE - CLE D has really good pass coverage, and if they're lucky, the Texans will have Noah Brown back - but he's not the type of receiver who gives CLE trouble (Tank Dell would have been a problem).   So a few scrambles seems more than fair to project, and while Stroud isn't an elite runner, he's more than capable, so worth the 25= alt line. 

Isaiah Pacheco O59.5 rush yds 2U, 80+ rush yds +200 1U, 110+ rush yds +700 0.5U  DK vs. MIA - man, this was the first prop I looked for.   Extreme cold, KC pass game still trying to find itself - this should be a Pacheco 20+ carry game.  So yes, give me the 80+ & 110+ alt lines too.

Travis Kelce O55.5 rec yds 2U (now 56.5; FD - 59.5), 80+ rec yds +240, 110+ rec yds +800 0.5U DK vs. MIA - the key here is that MIA EDGE pass rush is non-existent with Jaelen Phillips & Bradley Chubb & Andrew Van Ginkel out for the year.  When that happens, Mahomes can freelance and extend plays, and that's when Kelce succeeds.   In Week 11, Chubb & Philips & AVG  made Mahomes' life miserable.  I don't expect anything close to the same, so much like i took the DIggs props last week, gotta go with a major value IMO.  

 

SUN

Josh Allen O35.5 rush yds 2U, 60+ rush yds +320 1U DK vs. PIT - new OC Joe Brady has shown he's willing to run the ball, and he's willing to call Allen's number.   Against a PIT D that doesn't have TJ Watt, that's all I need to see.   

Jaylen Warren O19.5 rec FD (DK - 20.5), 40+ rec yds +300 1U, 60+ rec yds +900 0.5U DK @ PIT - I was all set to take DIggs & Diontae Johnson, but that weather forecast is BRUTAL.   So I"m going to go with the one player on PIT who should see a lot of work with swing passes, and will be out there in trail scenarios. 

Aaron Jones O69.5 rush yds 2U DK, 100+ rush yds +270 1U DK  @ DAL - Jones going for 110+ on CHI's top 3 run D was an eye opener.   DAL's D is really good at getting pressure, and big plays (sacks/TO's), but they are vulnerable to big play runs.   SIgn me up for Jones at that number (and please don't get hurt).

Jayden Reed O48.5 rec yds 2U DK, 70+ rec yds +210 1U, 100+ rec yds +700 0.5U DK @ DAL - the biggest weakness in the DAL pass D is the slot guy.  So you give me Reed at this number, I'm taking it every week.   My #2 favorite play this week.  

NEW ADDED SAT PM - Dontayvion Wicks O30.5 rec yds 2U, 50+ rec yds +250 1U, 80+ rec yds +1000 0.5U DK @ DAL - again DAL vulnerable to chunk plays along with slot.   Pairing with Jayden Reed

Jahmyr Gibbs O48.5 rush yds 2U FD (DK - 49.5, opener, now 50.5), 70+ rush yds +210 1U, 100+ rush yds +700 0.5U DK vs. LAR - with Laporta out, DET needs to rely on the run game.   WIth the playoffs here, Gibbs should keep getting the 65/35 strong share we saw before the last 2 weeks (DAL game was nuts that he didn't dominate touches).   

Cooper Kupp O66.5 rec yds 2U FD (DK - 70.5), 100+ rec yds +240 1U DK @ DET - DET pass D is so vulnerable, and it's so hard to figure out who will explode, so I'm happy to take both Kupp & Nacua...and hopefully hit both.  

Puka Nacua O73.5 rec yds 2U DK (FD - 76.5), 100+ rec yds +240 1U DK @ DET - nothing else to add from Kupp reasoning.

NEW ADDED SUN PM - Jameson Williams O34.5 rec yds 2U / 60+ rec yds +310 / 80+ rec yds +750 0.5U vs. LAR - the Rams secondary's biggest area where they can be beat are on deep boundaries, so it's a nice play to go Jameson Williams here with both Khalif Raymond out & either no Laporta (or IMO decoy mode).  

MNF

Chris Godwin O54.5 rec yds 2U DK (FD - 56.5), 80+ rec yds +210 1U, 100+ rec yds +500 0.5U vs. PHI** - Mike Evans is almost certainly going to draw Darius Slay, and PHI's willingness to play zone, also helps Godwin.    Most weeks I'll go Evans, but this screams Godwin.   My #4 favorite play this week.

Rachaad White O21.5 rec yds 2U FD (now 23.5, DK - 24.5), 40+ rec yds +250 1U, 60+ rec yds +700 0.5U FD (no DK alt lines out yet)  vs. PHI - on the same theme, while I expect TAM to have some success vs. PHI on the ground, last week did show they were getting it squared away.   TAM alawys wants to keep White involved, so I expect he'll see 5-6 targets so that 21.5 total is just too tasty.  Even though the main line went up to 23.5  the alt lines haven’t been adjusted so taking it now.   My #3 favorite play this week. 

There are no PHI props out, if Dallas Goedert comes out in the mid-high 30's, I'm definitely in.  For now, that's 51U in 16 player props I'm invested in.

 

LONGSHOT TD

SAT

Harrison Bryant +800 The Score 0.5U (best odds +6500 2+, not really value) & Jordan Akins +1700 / +25000 2+ DK vs. HOU - focusing on HOU"s weakness vs. TE's with both backups.   Bryant is +500 or less everywhere else, and Score's 2+ TD isn't always great, so just going 1-TD here.   

Brevin Jordan +800 FD / +9000 2+ DK 0.4U / 0.1U vs. CLE - similar vein, CLE's more vulnerable to TE than WR's, and Jordan's seeing more RZ work.   Worth the half-stake play.

  NEW ADDED SAT PM - Cedrick Wilson +850 / +12500 2+ Bodog 0.4U / 0.1U @ KC &  Noah Gray +800 / +12000 2+ DK 0.4U / 0.1U vs. MIA - both get on field in RZ worth a shot.

SUN

Diontae Johnson +480 FD  / +6600 Bodog 0.8U / 0.2U @ BUF & George Pickens +450 / +6600 Bodog 0.8U / 0.2U @ BUF - I don't want to play the receiving props with such bad weather, but this is also providing a ridiculous value, as these are the top 2 targets at >+400.   

Pat Friermuth +600 / +9000 2+ FD 0.4U / 0.1U @ BUF & Calvin Austin +2000 / +16000 2+ @ BUF - yeah, if the PIT O scores no TD's, or it's the RB's, I'll be a sad puppy.  But again, this is about the value; reminiscent of LAC - LV TNF.

Trent Sherfield +950 FD / +12500 2+ Bodog 0.4U / 0.1U vs. PIT - I hate chasing last week's TD scorer, but in this case, it's about the value.  Every other book has him at +500 or less.   Gabe Davis' PCL injury almost certainly puts him this week, so I have to take that kind of odds. 

Jordan Love +800 / +13000 2+ FD 0.8U / 0.2U @ DAL - with no AJ Dillon, Love's certainly in play like we saw 2 weeks ago.   

****VOID****** - NEW ADDED WED PM - James Mitchell +700 Bodog / +14000 2+ DK (no longer there, +10000 2+ available on Bodog) 0.4U / 0.1U vs. LAR - I missed even better value with DK offering +900 but it locked just as I clicked on it.  I took 2-TD and then checked on Bodog for 1-TD.   Sam Laporta is almost certainly out and Mitchell splits the work with Brock Wright.  All the other books have Wright at +300 or less and Mitchell is +450 or less everywhere else (and 2-TD is +6000 or worse except bodog).   LAR struggles vs TE so have to take the shot.   ***EDIT SAT PM - Mitchell to IR - VOIDS!***

 

NEW ADDED SAT PM - Tutu Atwell +1000 FD / +10000 2+ DK 0.4U / 0.1U @ DET - speed gives Det cb most trouble so worth the half stake shot.

MNF

NEW ADDED WED PM - Quez Watkins +900 / +12500 2+ Bodog 0.4U / 0.1U @ TAM - both AJ Brown and Devonta Smith are going to play hurt (MCL & HAS) so that leads to more opps for Watkins.   As he’s the deep threat at these odds I’ll take a half-stake play.   

FD doesn’t PHI-TAM TD props, so there may be more added.   So that's 8U in TD plays, 51U in player props, and 3U in ATS/ML plays, for 62U total.    As BAL & SF aren't playing and a lot of teams with vulnerability to the run or pass (or both lol), this is a pretty big card, I doubt it will be even close to this size-wise next week, so let's see if we can have a big WC Weekend!

 

 

 

WEEK 18 FINAL

ATS/ML: 45-40-1, +7.5U (WK 18 - 2-0, +3U)

PLAYER PROPS: 155-145, +125.8U (WK 18  - 12-19, -9.3U)

LONGSHOT TD:  40-274, +39.9U (WK 18 1-15, -6.5U;  Wk1 R-Shaheed +600, D-Parham +800 & R-Johnson +900; Wk2 - I-Hodgins +500 & B-Johnson +950 / +7500 2+; Wk3 - R-Bell +2000 & R-Chosen +2100; Wk4: N-Gray +700;  Wk8 - D-Ogletree +950 & Parham +400; Wk9 - D-Johnson +300 & J-Johnson +440 & N-Brown +600; Wk10 - T-Chandler +900 & J-Reed +600; Wk11 - N-Agholor +750 & T-Tremble +850; Wk12 - T-Kraft +800 & S-Howell +700 & G-Dortch +550 & I-Hodgins +1100 & H-Bryant +1400; Wk13 - S-Howell +800 / +12500 2+ & H-Bryant +900 & N-Gray +900 & J-Browning +1400; Wk15 - J-Palmer +425 & M-Mayer +600 & A-Erickson +1400 & J-Johnson +500 & K-Harris +2000; Wk16 - J-Johnson +600, D-Wicks +350, C-Parkinson +1100, L-Krull +1600, D-Slayton +700 & N-Agholor +950; WK17 - J-Johnson +550, J-Browning +1100, C-Kolar +1500, J-Love +950 & J-Mundt +1100; WK18 K-Miller +400)

TOTAL - +173.2U (WK1:  +3.0U; Wk2: +14.3U; Wk3: -0.8U, Wk4: -5.4U; Wk5 : +15.5U; Wk 6 -22.1U (OUCH); WK 7 - +12.3U; Wk 8 - +14.3U; Wk9 - +2.6U; Wk10 - +42.2U; Wk11 - +0.3U; Wk12- -8.3U; Wk13 - +63.2U; WK14 - -13.2 U;  WK15 - +24.1U; WK16 - +18.9U; WK17 - +23.3U; WK18 -9.4U ; 1430U stake so far)

Edited January 14 by Broncofan

[thebestever6]

I also played friermuth over 21.5 Buffalo is beatable at te and 21.5 is super low.

[N4L]

4 hours ago, Broncofan said:

LAR ML +150 @ DET - NGL, before this week, I was on the fence, as both teams are so loaded, and home field advantage makes such a difference.   But Dan Campbell's asinine decision to play his starters in a meaningless game has almost certainly put Sam Laporta on the shelf, and now Brian Branch is really hurting.  That's a major problem, to say the least.    Add in that Sean McVay knows Goff so well, and Matthew Stafford's ability to pick apart weak pass D's, and this is a major value, in what i think should at worst be a pick-em.  

 

MNF

TAM ML +130 VS PHI - this line is preying upon the perception that PHI Is just way more talented than TAM, and Jalen Hurts >> Baker Mayfield.   In a vacuum, these are correct statements.  BUT, Baker succeeeds with OC Dave Canales' scheme when there isn't pressure - and PHI"s pass rush is non-existent.   On the flip side, PHI's run game has sputtered, and the injuries to their WR's and Hurts' bad decision making really makes it easy to back the +money dog at home.

My goodness, you have no idea how great it feels to have a LAR/TB ML parlay already locked in and then reading this.

Of course I already have LAR +3.5 and TB +3 as very large straight bets, but I think this parlay is pretty juicy given the time slots. I am going to play the LAR ML in addition to my +3.5 and then after that wins, I can sit pretty on TB ML given that it is nearly +500. I also put them in a large teaser.

I know TB's offense has sputtered but the eagles defense is just completely lost. No AJB news yet, to me, that says he isnt playing. He is a warrior who has played through knee injuries but I just cant see how he suits up given the timing of everything. It does not help Hurts that this game is a night game. Looks like it might rain? 

Tampa's defense is by far the best unit on the field in that game. I dont understand why the line has moved the way it has.

I am very interested in the longest pass prop for flacco and stafford. I think both teams throw the ball downfield with good success.

I have really come around with CLE, I think that is the correct side. I absolutely love CJS but Jim Schwartz has owned Kyle Shanahan and I dont think Bobby Slowik is going to crack the code on that one in this game. HOU will be one dimensional on offense. Browns D is just so damn fast and physical. 

I think I kind of have to tease PIT up to 17. The total is 35. +17 in a game with a total of 35 is an autobet, no? PIT can run the ball in this game I think. 

KC is going to beat MIA in the freezing temps at arrowhead arent they? Feels like a pacheco game

[Broncofan]

6 hours ago, N4L said:

My goodness, you have no idea how great it feels to have a LAR/TB ML parlay already locked in and then reading this.

Of course I already have LAR +3.5 and TB +3 as very large straight bets, but I think this parlay is pretty juicy given the time slots. I am going to play the LAR ML in addition to my +3.5 and then after that wins, I can sit pretty on TB ML given that it is nearly +500. I also put them in a large teaser.

I know TB's offense has sputtered but the eagles defense is just completely lost. No AJB news yet, to me, that says he isnt playing. He is a warrior who has played through knee injuries but I just cant see how he suits up given the timing of everything. It does not help Hurts that this game is a night game. Looks like it might rain? 

Tampa's defense is by far the best unit on the field in that game. I dont understand why the line has moved the way it has.

I am very interested in the longest pass prop for flacco and stafford. I think both teams throw the ball downfield with good success.

I have really come around with CLE, I think that is the correct side. I absolutely love CJS but Jim Schwartz has owned Kyle Shanahan and I dont think Bobby Slowik is going to crack the code on that one in this game. HOU will be one dimensional on offense. Browns D is just so damn fast and physical. 

I think I kind of have to tease PIT up to 17. The total is 35. +17 in a game with a total of 35 is an autobet, no? PIT can run the ball in this game I think. 

KC is going to beat MIA in the freezing temps at arrowhead arent they? Feels like a pacheco game

If KC lets Pacheco run the ball 20x they'll win it going away.  The lack of EDGE pressure is why I'm backing Kelce - when Mahomes can freelance, Kelce's ability to find soft spots in the D is just unparalleled.   

I would lean to CLE, but there are 2 ways that it goes south.   First, Will Anderson vs. the backup CLE T's is a problem, and the HOU D can definitely nullify CLE's run game.   Flacco's a great story, but he is still TO/sack prone.    On the flip side, it would take a legendary performance by CJ Stroud, but if there's a scenario where it happens, it's at home.  I think the CLE -4 is about right, so I'm just staying away.  

BUF's run D has really improved since DaQuon Jones rejoined the team.  It's no coincidence that he and Matt Milano's departure turned them from a top 5 D to a bottom half one (far bigger impact that Tre White iMO).   But yeah, with a 35 point total, I don't feel comfortable with 10 pts, so teasing 17 pts sounds reasonable (even though I don't tease lol).  The weather is a double edged sword - you only need 1 guy to slip and fall in coverage and boom, TD.   I don't want to bank on it with 3.5U / player though, so going with juiced TD prop odds is a way to get that value, and reduce the overall risk.

[NYRaider]

I have a ton of money on Cleveland -2.5, Bucs ML, and Rams ML this weekend

[SaveOurSonics]

If we're talking Teasers, I personally really like getting Cowboys ML as one of the legs. 

 

They are undefeated at home this season with an average margin of victory of 21.5, which is why I shy away from getting Green Bay up to +14. Though there are of course some weak teams contributing to that, they also beat the Eagles & Rams at home by 20+. 
 

EDIT: As of right now, I'd probably most like combining that with Tampa +10 and KC/MIA U51.5. Miami tends to struggle in cold weather games, KC's offense has struggled, & their defensive scheme at home should cause fits for Tua. 

Edited January 10 by SaveOurSonics

[Broncofan]

Ok the alt lines are all up on DK & FD - posted above.  

FD hasn’t posted the PHI-TAM TD slate and I’m undecided on 1 KC play, for now I’m adding 2 TD plays: 

SUN

NEW ADDED WED PM - James Mitchell +700 Bodog / +14000 2+ DK (no longer there, +10000 2+ available on Bodog) 0.4U / 0.1U vs. LAR - I missed even better value with DK offering +900 but it locked just as I clicked on it.  I took 2-TD and then checked on Bodog for 1-TD.   Sam Laporta is almost certainly out and Mitchell splits the work with Brock Wright.  All the other books have Wright at +300 or less and Mitchell is +450 or less everywhere else (and 2-TD is +6000 or worse except bodog).   LAR struggles vs TE so have to take the shot.   

MNF

NEW ADDED WED PM - Quez Watkins +900 / +12500 2+ Bodog 0.4U / 0.1U @ TAM - both AJ Brown and Devonta Smith are going to play hurt (MCL & HAS) so that leads to more opps for Watkins.   As he’s the deep threat at these odds I’ll take a half-stake play.   

[thebestever6]

I couldn't get James Mitchell in time so I got Luke Musgrave +750 bodog he's +450 or less everywhere else.