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Weekly Bets Thread


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5 hours ago, JaguarCrazy2832 said:

Guess FD pulled that boost after just a few hours

Njoku and Collins to each get 1 rec in Q1 for +130

I'm still seeing this one. Are you referring to a diff boost? curious what it was if so

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That was the game Brady threw 5 TDs in 1 quarter, destroyed the Titans 59-0. Also first appearance of Brian Hoyer.  Goes to show this may not be a crapfest tonight when it comes to the box score, but the Dolphins are very hurt & KC has just one good WR so 😒

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15 hours ago, N4L said:

Njoku longest rec over 19.5 is an awesome bet

https://www.covers.com/sport/football/nfl/players/28601/david-njoku

If you scroll down to longest rec, you will see what his closing line was for longest rec and the yardage for his longest rec. As you can see, the line has more or less held firm all season, but you can clearly see that since Flacco started, he has basically hit it every week other than Flacco's first start. 

He is awesome after the catch, he has speed to get downfield. Amari dropped 270 on them in week 16. You have to think they are going to double that man. 

I am also taking the over in his yardage prop, but for 1/3rd of the longest rec prop risk

On Sunday, I am taking another longest rec prop. 

Demcarus Robinson longest rec over 19.5 

https://www.covers.com/sport/football/nfl/players/30615/demarcus-robinson

Same deal, scroll down to longest rec. He has just simply cleared this number in damn near every week. They werent even hanging a line on this and since they have, he has hit it all three weeks. 

DET D gives up a ton of big plays. 

Again, taking his rec prop as well for less than the longest rec risk

luv u

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Come the **** on Bryant. Wide open td and he slogged his way to the .5 yard line..

 

 

Taking Joe Flacco live +2300. That sneak, plus he still has the legs to run one in on a bootleg

Edited by adamq
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A couple of late adds for tonight: 

NEW ADDED SAT PM - Cedrick Wilson +850 / +12500 2+ Bodog 0.4U / 0.1U @ KC &  Noah Gray +800 / +12000 2+ DK 0.4U / 0.1U vs. MIA - both get on field in RZ worth a shot.

For SUN:

NEW ADDED SAT PM - Dontayvion Wicks O30.5 rec yds 2U, 50+ rec yds +250 1U, 80+ rec yds +1000 0.5U DK @ DAL - again DAL vulnerable to chunk plays along with slot.   Pairing with Jayden Reed

NEW ADDED SAT PM - Tutu Atwell +1000 FD / +10000 2+ DK 0.4U / 0.1U @ DET** - speed gives Det cb most trouble so worth the half stake shot.

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WEEK 19 WC WEEKEND SAT RECAP

Kept the plays low, and can't really complain except for 1 alt line prop & 1 TD that wasn't to be...

ATS/ML - nil - it does keep my super longshot HOU AFC Champ 80-1 & SB Champ 150-1.   Until they win another game, though, hard to get excited, but still nice to see.  

PLAYER PROPS - 3-1, +4.9U - the unlucky missed alt line was Njoku dropping a ball that gets him past 100+, and +700... 4U swing.   Still, the 3 winners were comfortable, while Stroud was so surgical on the CLE Pass D, no need to run.

LONGSHOT TD - 1-4, +1.5U - Brevin Jordan keeps his late hot streak going, while Harrison Bryant really should have cashed, but somehow found a way to not score.   Another 4U swing, hopefully a nice bounce evens it out on SUN/MON.

 

Could have been a smash day if Pacheco / Kelce / Njoku all made it to the next alt line, but really can't complain, the calls were solid.   WIll gladly take the +6.4U day, and move on to Sunday!

 

 

WEEK 19 SAT

ATS/ML: 45-40-1, +7.5U (WK 19 SAT - nil)

PLAYER PROPS: 158-146, +130.7U (WK 19 SAT - 3-1, +4.9U )

LONGSHOT TD:  41-278, +41.4U (WK 19 SAT - 1-4, +1.5U;  Wk1 R-Shaheed +600, D-Parham +800 & R-Johnson +900; Wk2 - I-Hodgins +500 & B-Johnson +950 / +7500 2+; Wk3 - R-Bell +2000 & R-Chosen +2100; Wk4: N-Gray +700;  Wk8 - D-Ogletree +950 & Parham +400; Wk9 - D-Johnson +300 & J-Johnson +440 & N-Brown +600; Wk10 - T-Chandler +900 & J-Reed +600; Wk11 - N-Agholor +750 & T-Tremble +850; Wk12 - T-Kraft +800 & S-Howell +700 & G-Dortch +550 & I-Hodgins +1100 & H-Bryant +1400; Wk13 - S-Howell +800 / +12500 2+ & H-Bryant +900 & N-Gray +900 & J-Browning +1400; Wk15 - J-Palmer +425 & M-Mayer +600 & A-Erickson +1400 & J-Johnson +500 & K-Harris +2000; Wk16 - J-Johnson +600, D-Wicks +350, C-Parkinson +1100, L-Krull +1600, D-Slayton +700 & N-Agholor +950; WK17 - J-Johnson +550, J-Browning +1100, C-Kolar +1500, J-Love +950 & J-Mundt +1100; WK18 K-Miller +400)

TOTAL - +179.6U (WK1:  +3.0U; Wk2: +14.3U; Wk3: -0.8U, Wk4: -5.4U; Wk5 : +15.5U; Wk 6 -22.1U (OUCH); WK 7 - +12.3U; Wk 8 - +14.3U; Wk9 - +2.6U; Wk10 - +42.2U; Wk11 - +0.3U; Wk12- -8.3U; Wk13 - +63.2U; WK14 - -13.2 U;  WK15 - +24.1U; WK16 - +18.9U; WK17 - +23.3U; WK18 -9.4U; WK19 SAT - +6.4U; 1446U stake so far)

Edited by Broncofan
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On 1/11/2024 at 7:30 PM, JaguarCrazy2832 said:

Jameson Williams yards

Over 34.5 -114

40+ 120
50+ 180
60+ 285
70+450

Warren 4 rec +136

George Pickens U40.5 -114

Tua INT -112

KC ML & U51.5  +115

Rams +3.5 -116

Texans +8.5 & Stroud 225 passing +110

Kelce over 56.5 -115

Allen O8.5 rush attempts -115

grats on a great night

sorry im about to ruin your day tomorrow by riding along

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1 hour ago, Soggust said:

grats on a great night

sorry im about to ruin your day tomorrow by riding along

Haha all good dude, i was thrilled at the outcomes so even if i lose the rest im up. I am worried about the Steelers/Bills bets because the handicap was heavily predicted on uber bad wind so specifically hate Pickens under now 

i even got a little cute and took KC ML and KC to score U27.5 at +170 and that hit too. When i went to bed i didnt think it would

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