JaguarCrazy2832 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Mike Evans ladder his 69-80-95-110-125✅ Sam Laporta too albeit i played just thru 36-50-65 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 (edited) OMG did I ever need that DET-TAM game. With this, I'm close to back in black for the weekend, so adding 3 more plays to the James Cook rec yds / Patrick Mahomes rush yds props: NEW ADDED SUN PM Isaiah Pacheco O60.5 rush yds 2U DK / 83+ rush yds +210 1U @ BUF - no Bernard really affects their run D and TE coverage. NEW ADDED SUN PM Travis Kelce O62.5 rec yds 2U, 83+ rec yds +210 1U DK @ BUF - see above NEW ADDED SUN PM Dalton Kincaid O39.5 rec yds 2U, 55+ rec yds +210 1U DK vs. KC - KC secondary excellent, so I expect Kincaid will be the short area guy with Cook Edited January 22 by Broncofan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebestever6 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 @adamq great call on Durant easiest unit i ever made lol. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 (edited) On 1/16/2024 at 3:23 PM, Broncofan said: OK well the books came out early with next week's props AND TD plays, so let's dive in... WEEK 19 DIVISIONAL WEEKEND SLATE ATS/ML SAT HOU +9.5 @ BAL - don't get me wrong, I think BAL is the deserved #1 AFC seed. I just have a hard time giving up this many points to HOU right now. GB + 9.5 @ SF - same deal with GB. Again, I think BAL & SF should win, I just don't have nearly as much faith it's a blowout as it used to be in past years, as the GB O is so balanced I think they can stick around and keep it close vs. SF. SUN BUF -2.5 vs. KC - as long as you keep it 3 or less, I'll back the Bills. Getting Daquon Jones back makes such a huge diff, and their ability to get pressure on Mahomes, and to run the ball and provide balance, makes the diff with home field advantage. So that's 3U in ATS/ML plays. PLAYER PROPS SAT Zay Flowers O48.5 rec yds 2U FD (DK - 50.5), O4.5 receptions +110 TheScore (+100 FD - B365 & US FD players consider 6-7 catch ladder) 2U, 68+ rec yds +210 1U, 88+ rec yds +500 0.5U - the rare 5.5U play, but I'm seeing Flowers being used as the short run game proxy just like vs. SF 3 weeks ago. NEW ADDED FRI AM - Isaiah Likely O34.5 rec yds 2U FD (DK - 36.5), 50+ rec yds +200 1U DK & 68+ rec yds +550 0.5U DK vs. HOU - pretty simple given how much HOU TE D struggles. NEW ADDED FRI AM - Brevin Jordan O13.5 rec yds 2U, 25+ rec yds +200 1U, 50+ rec yds +1000 0.5U DK @ BAL - just too low a number for the Texans 3rd best matchup. NEW ADDED FRI AM John Metchie O21.5 rec yds 2U FD (DK - 25.5), 38+ rec yds +210 1U, 53+ rec yds +500 0.5U DK @ BAL - way too low for the WR2-3. George Kittle O52.5 rec yds 2U DK, 72+ rec yds +210 1U, 93+ rec yds +500 0.5U vs. GB - GB's D has been great, but they're still really vulnerable to TE - and that matches up great with Kittle. For GB-SF, I want to see the GB injury report and active/inactive list before committing to their props. CMC's rush prop is at 88.5, given the calf tweak he had before, I am going to pass for now. SUN Jahmyr Gibbs O43.5 rush yds 2U DK, 57+ rush yds +200 1U, 73+ rush yds +500 0.5U, 90+ rush yds +800 0.5U DK vs. TAM - I know Gibbs missed the main line last week, and TAM pass D is still really vulnerable. I'm just willing to go back to the well and back the team with the far better OL & run game. If DET wins by 7+ points, I see Gibbs & Monty closing this out, but Gibb's home run and big play ability makes this worth attacking with the rare playoff 3-alt line play. Mike Evans O64.5 rec yds 2U DK (FD - 68.5), 85+ rec yds +210 1U, 120+ rec yds +600 0.5U @ DET - DET is so vulnerable to boundary WR's, and Evans will find this much easier than facing Darius Slay this week. Cade Otton O27.5 rec yds 2U FD (DK - 29.5), 50+ rec yds +300 1U, 63+ rec yds +500 0.5U @ DET - DET's bottom 10 TE D and pass funnel D sets up for another big game for Otton. Patrick Mahomes O24.5 rush yds 2U FD (DK - 27.5), 40+ rush yds +260 FD 1U, 60+ rush yds +750 0.5U FD @ BUF - while I think BUF wins, I know Mahomes will do everything he can. That means taking any run prop that's sub-30 yards and alt lines up to 60+. James Cook O16.5 rec yds 2U DK, 29+ rec yds +220 1U, 42+ rec yds +500 0.5U DK vs. KC - I'm tempted to spam the rush prop, but Cook's such a mismatch problem for KC's D, and without Gabe Davis, I have to believe the Bills will look to use him here as well. NEW ADDED SUN PM Isaiah Pacheco O60.5 rush yds 2U, 83+ rush yds +210 1U DK @ BUF - no Bernard really affects their run D and TE coverage. NEW ADDED SUN PM Travis Kelce O62.5 rec yds 2U, 83+ rec yds +210 1U DK @ BUF - see above NEW ADDED SUN PM Dalton Kincaid O39.5 rec yds 2U, 55+ rec yds +210 1U DK vs. KC - KC secondary excellent, so I expect Kincaid will be the short area guy with Cook I'd like to see the DET injury reports (if Khalif Raymond plays) before deciding on any last minute DET rec props. So far that's 34U with 9 plays, that's pretty tight for now. LONGSHOT TD SAT Brevin Jordan +1000 FD (+800 DK / +900 Bodog) / +10000 2+ Bodog 0.4U / 0.1U @ BAL - Kinda surprised the books still have it this high, I get it, BAL D is that much better, but Jordan sees enough work to merit this half-stake play. NEW ADDED WED PM - John Metchie III +600 Bodog / +10000 2+ FD (now +8000) 0.4U / 0.1U & Xavier Huchinson +1200 FD / +12500 2+ Bodog 0.4U / 0.1U @ BAL - with news that Noah Brown is on IR, it basically solidifies Metchie as the WR2-3 with Robert Woods, and Hutchinson as the other deep threat / WR4, so worth a play at their #'s. Charlie Kolar +1200 FD / +12500 2+ Bodog 0.4U / 0.1U vs. HOU - you know the deal, HOU is vulnerable to the TE, and Kolar sees enough work to justify a half-stake play at these odds. Jordan Love +1200 FD / +12500 2+ Bodog 0.8U / 0.2U @ SF - nothing new here, as long as Aaron Jones is the main RB and with SF pass rush, Love's always a threat to score. Worth the full-stake play. SUN David Moore +1000 / +12500 2+ Bodog 0.4U / 0.1U @ DET - I wasn't even going to take any TD props for TAM-DET as they're all pretty juiced, but then Bodog left Moore this high. As much as I hate chasing last week's TD, for the WR3 who gets a lot of RZ snaps, can't pass this up. Justin Watson +600 Bodog (+550 FD, +500 DK) / +10000 2+ FD 0.8U / 0.2U & Marquez Valdes-Scantling +900 Bodog (+800 DK) / +10000 2+ FD 0.8U / 0.2U @ BUF - I am truly shocked these lines are posted for MVS, who I get sucks IRL - but the TD opps are about opportunity. Watson's too high as well, much like we saw with PIT last week, BUF's secondary is a LOT more vulnerable with the injuries. While I have BUF winning, I can see 2-3 TD's for KC, so gotta take full-stake shots here. Noah Gray +900 / +12500 2+ Bodog 0.4U / 0.1U @ BUF - if I'm going to take MVS / Watson, I have to take a half-stake play with Gray at these odds. Here's hoping to a similar outcome to PIT-BUF lol. Deonte Hardy +1500 FD (+1400 DK) / +16000 2+ DK 0.4U / 0.1U vs. KC & ~~Leonard Fournette +900 / +14000 2+ 0.4U / 0.1U FD~~ vs. KC - on the flip side, with the run game and 3rd-4th WR's having the best matchups, I'll go with Hardy & Playoff Lenny to make sure I have a small piece of the BUF pie, albeit at half-stakes. The main players are just so juiced odds-wise this is my only viable path value-wise. So that's 6U in TD plays for 9 players, and 43U overall. If the favorites win, it sets up for quite the AFCG/NFCG, but I'm hoping the dogs can keep it close (and hoping that the dogs can hit some more longshot TD's as well lol). BOL! WEEK 19 FINAL ATS/ML: 47-41-1, +8.8U (WK 19 - 2-1, +1.3U) PLAYER PROPS: 162-157, +111.5U (WK 19 - 7-12, -14.3U ) LONGSHOT TD: 46-284, +63.3U (WK 19 - 4-10, +23.4U; Wk1 R-Shaheed +600, D-Parham +800 & R-Johnson +900; Wk2 - I-Hodgins +500 & B-Johnson +950 / +7500 2+; Wk3 - R-Bell +2000 & R-Chosen +2100; Wk4: N-Gray +700; Wk8 - D-Ogletree +950 & Parham +400; Wk9 - D-Johnson +300 & J-Johnson +440 & N-Brown +600; Wk10 - T-Chandler +900 & J-Reed +600; Wk11 - N-Agholor +750 & T-Tremble +850; Wk12 - T-Kraft +800 & S-Howell +700 & G-Dortch +550 & I-Hodgins +1100 & H-Bryant +1400; Wk13 - S-Howell +800 / +12500 2+ & H-Bryant +900 & N-Gray +900 & J-Browning +1400; Wk15 - J-Palmer +425 & M-Mayer +600 & A-Erickson +1400 & J-Johnson +500 & K-Harris +2000; Wk16 - J-Johnson +600, D-Wicks +350, C-Parkinson +1100, L-Krull +1600, D-Slayton +700 & N-Agholor +950; WK17 - J-Johnson +550, J-Browning +1100, C-Kolar +1500, J-Love +950 & J-Mundt +1100; WK18 K-Miller +400; WK19 - B-Jordan +800 & T-Atwell +1000 & D-Johnson +500 & C-Austin +2000) TOTAL - +183.5U (WK1: +3.0U; Wk2: +14.3U; Wk3: -0.8U, Wk4: -5.4U; Wk5 : +15.5U; Wk 6 -22.1U (OUCH); WK 7 - +12.3U; Wk 8 - +14.3U; Wk9 - +2.6U; Wk10 - +42.2U; Wk11 - +0.3U; Wk12- -8.3U; Wk13 - +63.2U; WK14 - -13.2 U; WK15 - +24.1U; WK16 - +18.9U; WK17 - +23.3U; WK18 -9.4U; WK19 - +10.3U; 1503U stake so far) On 1/20/2024 at 7:55 PM, Broncofan said: Well that was a brutal 1st game....oh well. For the late game 3 additions - NEW ADDED SAT PM - Jayden Reed 039.5 rec yds 2U / 57+ rec yds +210 1U / 77+ rec yds +500 0.5U @ SF & NEW ADDED SAT PM - Dontayvion Wicks O31.5 rec yds 2U / 46+ rec yds +210 1U / 62+ rec yds +500 0.5U / 80+ rec yds +1000 0.5U @ SF & NEW ADDED SAT PM - Kyle Jusczyk +1200 FD / +10000 2+ DK 0.4U / 0.1U**. Absolute carnage on BAL-HOU....that's it for tonight (along with Kittle rec yds & Jordan Love TD props) 6 hours ago, Broncofan said: OMG did I ever need that DET-TAM game. With this, I'm back in black for the weekend, so adding 3 more plays to the James Cook rec yds / Patrick Mahomes rush yds props: NEW ADDED SUN PM Isaiah Pacheco O60.5 rush yds 2U DK / 83+ rush yds +210 1U @ BUF - no Bernard really affects their run D and TE coverage. NEW ADDED SUN PM Travis Kelce O62.5 rec yds 2U, 83+ rec yds +210 1U DK @ BUF - see above NEW ADDED SUN PM Dalton Kincaid O39.5 rec yds 2U, 55+ rec yds +210 1U DK vs. KC - KC secondary excellent, so I expect Kincaid will be the short area guy with Cook Well, Week 20 was about as bad as you could ever hope to see for a Saturday. But then SUN really righted the ship, and while I think I ended up just a little in the red, I literally was down 20U+ after SAT's games, so I will take it, even if the BUF game ended with a sour taste... WEEK 20 RECAP ATS/ML - 1-2, -1U - HOU +9.5 was a bad, bad call. I don't regret BUF -2.5, just the missed opps BUF had. GB +9.5 was the best call of the weekend. Should have followed my instinct and taken DET -5.5, but that's the way it goes. PLAYER PROPS - 7-7, +6.3U - Going 1-6 on SAT with only George Kittle had me kicking myself, esp since I failed to take the obv path with Lamar Jackson rush props and Aaron Jones rush props (which I feasted on the week before). I was literally down -17.4U....but then SUN happened, with going 6-1 and 4 guys going alt lines (and Evans / Otton / Gibbs going in a big way). LONGSHOT TD PROPS - 0-9, -6U - NGL, I had a ton of regret on Nelson Agholor & Bo Melton....but way it goes. MVS had a clear TD today but Mahomes missed, really no one else came close. So after ALL THAT - it's a -0.7U weekend. But I'm dead serious, I was looking at a -20U week after SAT, and other than Mahomes stepping OB for 22 yards instead of 30+ and BUF losing, SUN was great. It was so good that I in fact hit a 0.5U +16000 6-leg SGP in the DET game (as I took DET ML and the 3 alt lines - Evans 93+ +210, Gibbs 70+ +500, Otton 50+ +220 & for all my 3 guys alt lines and ARSB O7.5 catches & Rachaad White U55.5 rush yds - he ended with 55 lol - and had to sweat the last 2 DET drives when ARSB got his 6th, 7th & 8th catches). I won't add it to my year-end count, but it still fills the bankroll all the same. On to Championship Weekend! WEEK 20 FINAL ATS/ML: 48-43-1, +7.8U (WK 20 - 1-2, -1U) PLAYER PROPS: 169-164, +117.7U (WK 20 - 7-7, +6.3U ) LONGSHOT TD: 46-293, +57.3U (WK 20 - 0-9, -6U; Wk1 R-Shaheed +600, D-Parham +800 & R-Johnson +900; Wk2 - I-Hodgins +500 & B-Johnson +950 / +7500 2+; Wk3 - R-Bell +2000 & R-Chosen +2100; Wk4: N-Gray +700; Wk8 - D-Ogletree +950 & Parham +400; Wk9 - D-Johnson +300 & J-Johnson +440 & N-Brown +600; Wk10 - T-Chandler +900 & J-Reed +600; Wk11 - N-Agholor +750 & T-Tremble +850; Wk12 - T-Kraft +800 & S-Howell +700 & G-Dortch +550 & I-Hodgins +1100 & H-Bryant +1400; Wk13 - S-Howell +800 / +12500 2+ & H-Bryant +900 & N-Gray +900 & J-Browning +1400; Wk15 - J-Palmer +425 & M-Mayer +600 & A-Erickson +1400 & J-Johnson +500 & K-Harris +2000; Wk16 - J-Johnson +600, D-Wicks +350, C-Parkinson +1100, L-Krull +1600, D-Slayton +700 & N-Agholor +950; WK17 - J-Johnson +550, J-Browning +1100, C-Kolar +1500, J-Love +950 & J-Mundt +1100; WK18 K-Miller +400; WK19 - B-Jordan +800 & T-Atwell +1000 & D-Johnson +500 & C-Austin +2000) TOTAL - +182.8U (WK1: +3.0U; Wk2: +14.3U; Wk3: -0.8U, Wk4: -5.4U; Wk5 : +15.5U; Wk 6 -22.1U (OUCH); WK 7 - +12.3U; Wk 8 - +14.3U; Wk9 - +2.6U; Wk10 - +42.2U; Wk11 - +0.3U; Wk12- -8.3U; Wk13 - +63.2U; WK14 - -13.2 U; WK15 - +24.1U; WK16 - +18.9U; WK17 - +23.3U; WK18 -9.4U; WK19 - +10.3U; WK20 - -0.7U; 1550U stake so far) Edited January 22 by Broncofan 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 (edited) BTW, 2 picks I'm putting in now, and with the SGP freeroll, not afraid to lock in - DET ML +250 2U, DET SB Champ +750 2U & Jahmyr Gibbs SB MVP 110-1 for another 2U on FD (80-1 on DK). I would NOT advise the last 2 bets, but the SGP 84U win has me feeling like putting in some SB action. The Gibbs pick is simply the fact that if DET wins the SB, Gibbs probably has to have a monster game vs. either AFC team (more vulnerable to the run than pass). So getting 80-1 is just way too wide (of course, the trick is that books don't think Gibbs will get there, and I can't blame them - but by the time you have the SB contestants confirmed, well, the odds are going to be way lower). It's not that I'm dead sure DET will win (I can't even say I'm sure DET will beat SF - esp depending on how their OL is doing) - but the +750 odds and even next week's +250 odds are just too wide. The fact Deebo Samuel never returned, and he had a hairline fracture before that caused him to miss 2 games - I believe we're dealing with the same problem now. With no Deebo, I would have had SF -3, not -6 to -7 like they're being lined up. If ppl want to be more responsible, split DET +7 and DET ML 1U each. Edited January 22 by Broncofan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tank4Drake Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Deebo or no Deebo, I like both SF and BAL to cover any spread of 3.5 or less. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamq Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 (edited) 15 minutes ago, Broncofan said: With no Deebo, I would have had SF -3, not -6 to -7 like they're being lined up. If ppl want to be more responsible, split DET +7 and DET ML 1U each. I have to think Deebo will be out.. but given what I've seen from Detroits secondary, I don't think the SF offense will struggle too much. This really should be a monster game for Aiyuk. SF -4.5 seems about right to me Edited January 22 by adamq Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 42 minutes ago, adamq said: I have to think Deebo will be out.. but given what I've seen from Detroits secondary, I don't think the SF offense will struggle too much. This really should be a monster game for Aiyuk. SF -4.5 seems about right to me For my Week 21 slate, I'm probably going to just post DET +7 2U. But as a reference point, it's just if SF is a 3-4 point favorite, then they'll win about 60 percent of the games ML-wise. Being given +250 outright is in fact pretty wide, as it should be more like +150. The SB / GIbbs MVP again represents just too wide of value. Again, without the 84U SGP hit, I'm probably not investing as much, but IMO any path for a DET W involves Gibbs being their best player (not Goff). 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 (edited) OK so some plays are out, so here goes.... WEEK 21 CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP WEEKEND ATS/ML BAL -3 vs. KC 2U - full marks to KC for a tough road W. But the job gets even harder, because what BUF D was vulnerable to - BAL is just so much better (pressure with 4 guys, great pass coverage, even more so if Marlon Humphery plays). What BUF's O did, BAL is even better at - running the ball. Mahomes is always an X factor, but BUF's D was decimated in a way that BAL isn't. KC losing G Thuney, ILB Willie Gay and S Mike Edwards makes this an even tougher draw. DET +7 @ SF 2U - covered it before, not much else to say. SF deserves to be the favorite, and likely still wins, but this is at least 3 pts too wide IMO, given the matchups. So that's 4U in play. PLAYER PROPS Lamar Jackson O59.5 rush yds 2U FD/DK, 76+ rush yds +210 1U DK, 96+ rush yds +500 0.5U DK vs. KC - I want to see the DK alt lines before diving in alt lines, but I'll be taking 80+ and 110+, given what KC showed today. I'm not going to make the mistake of passing up on the best rush matchup for BAL this week. NEW ADDED MON PM - Justice Hill O30.5 rush yds 2U DK (FD - 31.5), 46+ rush yds +210 1U DK vs. KC - BAL running the ball is how you beat their D and I’ll take the guy with more touches than Gus Edwards and the lower #. NEW ADDED MON PM - Zay Flowers O4.5 recs 2U vs. KC - it missed by 1 catch last week but Flowers is still the short game proxy for BAL. KC is so good about keeping the ball in front of them the catch prop a better target than yards. NEW ADDED MON PM - Marques Valdes Scantling O12.5 rec yds 2U, 25+ rec yds +220 1U, 50+ rec yds +1100 0.5U DK @ BAL - I expect if Kyle Hamilton & Marlon Humphrey both play then Rashee Rice and Travis Kelce will draw their attention - so I’ll go with the middle / deep WR at those insanely low #’s and pray he hangs on to the ball lol. Jahmyr Gibbs O42.5 rush yds 2U DK (FD - 44.5), O21.5 rec yds 2U FD (DK - 23.5), 56+ rush yds +200 1U DK, 73+ rush yds +500 0.5U, 90+ rush yds +1100 0.5U DK @ SF - going back to the well here, with the 6U play, as Gibbs' low # targets here are mind-boggling after we saw what he did on only 9 carries vs. TAM's decent run D, and the mismatch in the pass game as well. The risk is that OC Ben Johnson doesn't utilize Gibbs like we all think he should be used (15-16 carries, 4-5 catches), but his ceiling is just so high it's worth taking the full shots here. Christian McCaffrey O34.5 rec yds 2U FD (DK - 36.5), 50+ rec yds +200 1U FD vs. DET - with no Deebo, and DET's stout run D - this sets up for a LOT more CMC in the pass game. Brock Purdy O264.5 pass yds 2U DK (FD - 265.5), 296+ pass yds +210 1U, 328+ pass yds +500 0.5U vs. DET - pretty easy call here, as DET's pass funnel D sets up for a big day for Purdy no matter the game outcome. NEW ADDED MON PM - George Kittle O58.5 rec yds 2U DK, 77+ rec yds +210 1U DK vs. DET - as long as Deebo is iffy this prop number easy to take vs the DET pass funnel D. NEW ADDED Juan Jennings O17.5 rec yds 2U / 40+ rec yds +425 1U / 60+ rec yds +1300 0.5U vs. DET as a YOLO play - if Deebo is a decoy, this has ridiculous smash potential. I suspect Deebo's injury is an AC sprain, so that's definitely in play. But buyer beware, this has massive boom-bust potential, but I've never been one to shy away from these calls, so let's hope I'm right on the decoy play. So that's 31U already committed to the 9 plays above. LONGSHOT TD Nelson Agholor +800 FD (+700 DK) / 2-TD pending (+10000 DK, waiting for Bodog) 0.4U / 0.1U & Patrick Ricard +3800 FD (+1700 DK) / +20000 2+ DK vs. KC - Agholor I don't even need to explain, but Ricard as the FB with KC's pass D, makes for an intriguing Jusczyk-like play. Marques Valdes-Scantling +1000 Bodog (+750 DK/FD) / +12500 2+ Bodog (+12000 2+) FD 0.8U / 0.2U & Noah Gray +1000 Bodog (+900 FD / +800 DK) / +12500 2+ Bofog (+12000 2+ DK) 0.4U / 0.1U @ BAL & Clyde Edwards-Helaire +900 FD (+650 DK / +750 Bodog) / +10000 2+ Bodog (+8000 DK) 0.4U / 0.1U @ BAL - MVS actually hung on to the ball today, and as a result, he got tons of looks. He and Gray get so much RZ work it's worth it. Meanwhile, CEH is the clear pass-down back and with BAL's coverage, again CEH is a pretty decent RZ pass down target to look for. Khalif Raymond +1200 DK / +15000 2+ 0.4U / 0.1U DK @ SF - with Deebo Samuel's status up in the air, all the SF bit players are really lacking value (except for the lunchpail guy), but for DET, if he's active, Raymond goes back to the 3rd/4th WR role, so plenty of value here if he can get active again. EDIT SAT PM: Raymond inactive, bet voids Kyle Jusczyk +1200 DK / +14000 2+ 0.4U / 0.1U DK vs. DET - if I'm going to take Ricard, with no Deebo, you know I'm going to take some Juice at these odds. NEW ADDED MON PM - Anthony Firkser +1800 FD / +16000 2+ DK 0.4U / 0.1U @ SF - with Brock Wright and James Mitchell both on IR Firkser is literally the TE2 left standing. If Zach Ertz gets activated and he can get +1000 I’ll likely repeat at half-stake as well. NEW ADDED WED AM - Zach Ertz +800 FD / +12000 2+ FD 0.4U / 0.1U @ SF - basically taking the only 2 active backup TE's left when DET goes 12 or even 13 formation at the GL. EDIT SAT PM: Ertz inactive, bet voids That’s likely it for KC-BAL, I'm almost certainly on Juan Jennings props (which likely don't get released until Deebo Samuel status is known). So that's 4U in 9 plays. I'll definitely be looking to add 1-2 more SF receiving plays, and I might add 1-2 plays from the BAL-KC game, but that's enough for now at 39U for 2 games so far. BOL! Edited January 27 by Broncofan 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 (edited) … OK 3 more player props god help me on the 3rd lol & 1 TD prop for DET…. PLAYER PROP ADDITIONS NEW ADDED MON PM - Justice Hill O30.5 rush yds 2U DK (FD - 31.5), 46+ rush yds +210 1U DK vs. KC - BAL running the ball is how you beat their D and I’ll take the guy with more touches than Gus Edwards and the lower #. NEW ADDED MON PM - Zay Flowers O4.5 recs 2U vs. KC - it missed by 1 catch last week but Flowers is still the short game proxy for BAL. KC is so good about keeping the ball in front of them the catch prop a better target than yards. NEW ADDED MON PM - Marques Valdes Scantling O12.5 rec yds 2U, 25+ rec yds +220 1U, 50+ rec yds +1100 0.5U DK @ BAL - I expect if Kyle Hamilton & Marlon Humphrey both play then Rashee Rice and Travis Kelce will draw their attention - so I’ll go with the middle / deep WR at those insanely low #’s and pray he hangs on to the ball lol. LONGSHOT TD ADDITIONS NEW ADDED MON PM - Anthony Firkser +1800 FD / +16000 2+ DK 0.4U / 0.1U @ SF - with Brock Wright and James Mitchell both on IR Firkser is literally the TE2 left standing. If Zach Ertz gets activated and he can get +1000 I’ll likely repeat at half-stake as well. That’s likely it for KC-BAL, SF rec props except for CMC all likely wait until more clarity is available on Deebo Samuel. Alt lines & TD odds are updated with all books out - SF rec props likely round out the prop card and if Zach Ertz gets activated and can get long odds worth a look but that’s probably it. Edited January 23 by Broncofan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 (edited) SF has a couple of WR/TE props out so I added George Kittle O58.5 rec yds 2U DK, 77+ rec yds +210 1U DK vs. DET now. Edited January 23 by Broncofan 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaddHatter Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 I played a parlay last week and this week, betting every game's spread and over/under. Both weeks I missed hitting the parlay by 1 bet - so close, yet so far away, haha. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaguarCrazy2832 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 CMC 36 rec yards -114 SF ML and Detroit 17+ at +115 Dont have anything else and not sure if i will. KC/BALT is a tough one to handicap 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYRaider Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 I'm considering betting 10U on the exact matchup being SF/Bal Then 5U on Ravens over SF / SF over Ravens as the exact outcome If the first bet hits at +100 then the 10U bet on the two exact outcomes are essentially free bets where I'll be up 5U guaranteed. Thoughts? @N4L @Broncofan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N4L Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 On 1/22/2024 at 3:56 PM, Broncofan said: SF has a couple of WR/TE props out so I added George Kittle O58.5 rec yds 2U DK, 77+ rec yds +210 1U DK vs. DET now. Waiting on the Jennings props to release. If it's 35 or so, it is an absolute smash, even if deebo plays. Brock Purdy ladder up to 350 feels right. The niners are going to come out throwing the ball. They are going to score 35+. I'm taking their team total and the total of the game 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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