JaguarCrazy2832 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 6 hours ago, Broncofan said: ATS/ML - nil - it does keep my super longshot HOU AFC Champ 80-1 & SB Champ 150-1. Until they win another game, though, hard to get excited, but still nice to see. Awesome longshot there, when did you place that? I took Texans +7000 and +2500 but that was on Tuesday I think Houston wins another game at least Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 8 minutes ago, JaguarCrazy2832 said: Awesome longshot there, when did you place that? I took Texans +7000 and +2500 but that was on Tuesday I think Houston wins another game at least Week 5 lol. As they play BAL if BUF wins I’m not so sure I share your confidence lol. But any given Sunday more than applies here. Stroud is so legit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaguarCrazy2832 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 16 minutes ago, Broncofan said: Week 5 lol. As they play BAL if BUF wins I’m not so sure I share your confidence lol. But any given Sunday more than applies here. Stroud is so legit. For the price i am all for it. I dont trust Baltimore at +120 or Buffalo at +270 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Credit to @JaguarCrazy2832 I added Jameson Williams O34.5 rec yds 2U / 60+ rec yds +310 / 80+ rec yds +750 0.5U vs. LAR - the Rams secondary's biggest area where they can be beat are on deep boundaries, so it's a nice play to go Jameson Williams here with both Khalif Raymond out & either no Laporta (or IMO decoy mode). 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebestever6 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 I used the 30% boost from DK from Williams 80 yard prop lol got it at +975 super happy about that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebestever6 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 I thought I did a half stake on Musgrave lol nope my dumb lucky sob did a full unit stake. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaddHatter Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/11/2024 at 6:56 PM, MaddHatter said: GB sucks at covering the seam and I recall their defense vs TEs being pretty bad as well. With Lamb likely to garner a lot of extra attention, I’d expect Dak to feed Ferg quite a bit. Not sure if there are any good prop bets for him, but I’d probably bet on a 80+yd game if the odds are right 54yds - not even close Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaddHatter Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 17 minutes ago, MaddHatter said: 54yds - not even close Thank goodness for Q4 stat padding 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamq Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Tutu was a massive W for me. I did a small SGP with TDs for him and Goff, fingers crossed. Great call on Fergy @MaddHatter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 WEEK 19 WC WEEKEND SUN RECAP Man, such a promising day ends up with a bleh ending.... ATS/ML - 1-1, nil - GB +7.5 easy $, but man, LAR ML +150 was there for the taking, but Sean McVay literally wastes 6-8 2H plays with dives and then inexplicably calls for a 20 yard pass on 3rd and 15 at the DET 44 with only 1 TO left and 4 mins left - and punts. You have to know to get enough to either try a FG, or gamble. God. Oh well. PLAYER PROPS - 2-6, -8.4U - just a bad day with props. What sucks is that I had the right read on the DET boundary WR, but took the wrong one (Reynolds over Williams), and Christian Watson convincing HC Matt Lafleur was unexpected, and I wouldn't have even dreamed of taking 2 WR props with such a rotation. Oh well, way it goes. LONGSHOT TD - 1-1, +3.4U - Tutu Atwell salvages the late slate. So it's a -5U day, and a +1.4U WC weekend so far. Let's see if we can finish WC weekend strong on Monday! WEEK 19 SUN ATS/ML: 46-41-1, +7.5U (WK 19 SUN - 1-1, nil) PLAYER PROPS: 160-152, +122.3U (WK 19 SUN - 5-7, -3.5U ) LONGSHOT TD: 42-279, +44.9U (WK 19 SUN - 2-5, +5U; Wk1 R-Shaheed +600, D-Parham +800 & R-Johnson +900; Wk2 - I-Hodgins +500 & B-Johnson +950 / +7500 2+; Wk3 - R-Bell +2000 & R-Chosen +2100; Wk4: N-Gray +700; Wk8 - D-Ogletree +950 & Parham +400; Wk9 - D-Johnson +300 & J-Johnson +440 & N-Brown +600; Wk10 - T-Chandler +900 & J-Reed +600; Wk11 - N-Agholor +750 & T-Tremble +850; Wk12 - T-Kraft +800 & S-Howell +700 & G-Dortch +550 & I-Hodgins +1100 & H-Bryant +1400; Wk13 - S-Howell +800 / +12500 2+ & H-Bryant +900 & N-Gray +900 & J-Browning +1400; Wk15 - J-Palmer +425 & M-Mayer +600 & A-Erickson +1400 & J-Johnson +500 & K-Harris +2000; Wk16 - J-Johnson +600, D-Wicks +350, C-Parkinson +1100, L-Krull +1600, D-Slayton +700 & N-Agholor +950; WK17 - J-Johnson +550, J-Browning +1100, C-Kolar +1500, J-Love +950 & J-Mundt +1100; WK18 K-Miller +400; WK19 - B-Jordan +800 & T-Atwell +1000) TOTAL - +174.6U (WK1: +3.0U; Wk2: +14.3U; Wk3: -0.8U, Wk4: -5.4U; Wk5 : +15.5U; Wk 6 -22.1U (OUCH); WK 7 - +12.3U; Wk 8 - +14.3U; Wk9 - +2.6U; Wk10 - +42.2U; Wk11 - +0.3U; Wk12- -8.3U; Wk13 - +63.2U; WK14 - -13.2 U; WK15 - +24.1U; WK16 - +18.9U; WK17 - +23.3U; WK18 -9.4U; WK19 SUN - +1.4U; 1473U stake so far) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 (edited) All right, just so the MON card is clean, here's the full slate with my past & updated new plays below. WEEK 19 WC WEEKEND MON ATS/ML TAM ML +130 vs. PHI - already covered before PLAYER PROPS Josh Allen O35.5 rush yds 2U, 60+ rush yds +320 1U DK vs. PIT - covered before Jaylen Warren O19.5 rec yds 2U, 40+ rec yds +300 1U, 60+ rec yds +900 0.5U DK @ BUF - covered before NEW ADDED SUN PM - Diontae Johnson O38.5 rec yds 2U FD (DK - 39.5), 60+ rec yds +210 1U, 80+ rec yds +500 0.5U @ BUF - with Rasul Douglas highly iffy, and the weather now much better, I'm willing to play Diontae at a sub-40 number, given he can find soft spots in zone D's. NEW ADDED SUN PM - Khalil Shakir O34.5 rec yds 2U DK, 50+ rec yds +210 1U, 80+ rec yds +800 0.5U DK vs. PIT - no Gabe Davis, and Minkah Fitzpatrick back, means I want the other WR besides Stefon Diggs, and talent wise it's clearly Shakir. Helps to have the low #. Chris Godwin O54.5 rec yds 2U DK (FD - 56.5), 80+ rec yds +210 1U, 100+ rec yds +500 0.5U vs. PHI - Mike Evans is almost certainly going to draw Darius Slay, and PHI's willingness to play zone, also helps Godwin. Most weeks I'll go Evans, but this screams Godwin. My #4 favorite play this week. Rachaad White O21.5 rec yds 2U FD (now 23.5, DK - 24.5), 40+ rec yds +250 1U, 60+ rec yds +700 0.5U FD (no DK alt lines out yet) vs. PHI - on the same theme, while I expect TAM to have some success vs. PHI on the ground, last week did show they were getting it squared away. TAM always wants to keep White involved, so I expect he'll see 5-6 targets so that 21.5 total is just too tasty. Even though the main line went up to 23.5 the alt lines haven’t been adjusted so taking it now. My #3 favorite play this week. NEW ADDED SUN PM - Quez Watkins O12.5 rec yds 2U, 25+ rec yds +210, 50+ rec yds +1000 0.5U DK @ TAM - I really thought hard on Dallas Goedert, but the reality is that TAM pass D is still most vulnerable to WR's, and with Devonta Smith battling a HAS and AJ Brown ruled out - this Watkins line is just insanely low. So this is 24U on 7 player props for the 2 Monday games. LONGSHOT TD Diontae Johnson +500 FD / +6600 Bodog 0.8U / 0.2U @ BUF & George Pickens +450 / +6600 Bodog 0.8U / 0.2U @ BUF - I didn't want to play the receiving props with such bad weather, but this is also providing a ridiculous value, as these are the top 2 targets at >+400. Now that the game's pushed back, I'm pretty stoked to have these odds. Pat Friermuth +600 / +9000 2+ FD 0.8U / 0.2U @ BUF & Calvin Austin +2000 FD / +16000 2+ DK 0.8U / 0.2U @ BUF - yeah, if the PIT O scores no TD's, or it's the RB's, I'll be a sad puppy. But again, this is about the value; reminiscent of LAC - LV TNF, and with the game pushed back, pretty excited to have these odds (although Austin is up to +2500 on FD now doh!). Trent Sherfield +950 FD / +12500 2+ Bodog 0.4U / 0.1U vs. PIT - I hate chasing last week's TD scorer, but in this case, it's about the value. Every other book has him at +500 or less. Gabe Davis' PCL injury almost certainly puts him this week, so I have to take that kind of odds. NEW ADDED WED PM - Quez Watkins +900 / +12500 2+ Bodog 0.4U / 0.1U @ TAM - both AJ Brown and Devonta Smith are going to play hurt (MCL & HAS) so that leads to more opps for Watkins. As he’s the deep threat at these odds I’ll take a half-stake play. So that's 5U with 6 players for MON's games, and a total of 30U overall. Looking to finish WC Weekend strong! Edited January 16 by Broncofan 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaguarCrazy2832 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 14 hours ago, Broncofan said: Credit to @JaguarCrazy2832 I added Jameson Williams O34.5 rec yds 2U / 60+ rec yds +310 / 80+ rec yds +750 0.5U vs. LAR - the Rams secondary's biggest area where they can be beat are on deep boundaries, so it's a nice play to go Jameson Williams here with both Khalif Raymond out & either no Laporta (or IMO decoy mode). Unfortunately Reynolds got the work not Jamo smh Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaveOurSonics Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Strong prop day yesterday. Dak O35.5 Attempts ✅ Dak O15.5 Rushing ✅ J.Reed O49.5 Receiving ❌ Stafford O275.5 Passing ✅ Puka O78.5 Receiving ✅ 4-1. Let’s run it back. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebestever6 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 dionte was wide freaking open for a second td. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaguarCrazy2832 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 So pissed my Pickens under wasnt voided Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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