LA Niner Fan Posted August 5, 2019 Share Posted August 5, 2019 Let me preface by maybe I’m overthinking this but I’m in a 12 team PPR league and as a keeper I can either get Kittle in the 9th or Mahomes in the 11th. I know Mahomes is guaranteed production on an MVP level and Kittle may lose production even with a better QB as Jimmy goes through more progressions and can hit WRs. But the value of TEs vs QBs who can consistently over produce average points is a big supply and demand game. Probably over thinking it but I feel valuing QB too much is what always kills me. But that also won’t be a big problem with a guaranteed stud like Mahomes that late. Whats your take ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaguarCrazy2832 Posted August 5, 2019 Share Posted August 5, 2019 My immediate thought was Kittle and then I see that it is PPR and thought its absolutely Kittle 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NcFinest9erFan Posted August 5, 2019 Share Posted August 5, 2019 Yeah I'd roll with Kittle as well. Mahomes probably won't go for 50 tds again although 35-40 seems more like it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockice_8 Posted August 5, 2019 Share Posted August 5, 2019 (edited) I got a good one I think. My league is .5 ppr Kelce (5th) Chubb (7th) I could see a case for either. Both seem to be about 4 rounds difference in their ADP so value is pretty even. Thoughts? Edited August 5, 2019 by Rockice_8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockice_8 Posted August 5, 2019 Share Posted August 5, 2019 5 hours ago, LA Niner Fan said: Let me preface by maybe I’m overthinking this but I’m in a 12 team PPR league and as a keeper I can either get Kittle in the 9th or Mahomes in the 11th. I know Mahomes is guaranteed production on an MVP level and Kittle may lose production even with a better QB as Jimmy goes through more progressions and can hit WRs. But the value of TEs vs QBs who can consistently over produce average points is a big supply and demand game. Probably over thinking it but I feel valuing QB too much is what always kills me. But that also won’t be a big problem with a guaranteed stud like Mahomes that late. Whats your take ? I'd never keep a QB even one as great as Mahomes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NcFinest9erFan Posted August 5, 2019 Share Posted August 5, 2019 15 minutes ago, Rockice_8 said: I got a good one I think. My league is .5 ppr Kelce (5th) Chubb (7th) I could see a case for either. Both seem to be about 4 rounds difference in their ADP so value is pretty even. Thoughts? I love Chubb but I'll go with Kelce. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockice_8 Posted August 5, 2019 Share Posted August 5, 2019 Just now, NcFinest9erFan said: I love Chubb but I'll go with Kelce. I was kind of leaning that way too. I like having that advantage at TE each week. I'll likely do that and draft RB heavy in 3 of the first 4 rounds with 1 WR. That will likely be my strategy. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaguarCrazy2832 Posted August 5, 2019 Share Posted August 5, 2019 1 hour ago, Rockice_8 said: I got a good one I think. My league is .5 ppr Kelce (5th) Chubb (7th) I could see a case for either. Both seem to be about 4 rounds difference in their ADP so value is pretty even. Thoughts? Damn that is tough. At the end of the day, Kelce is clearly better and while Chubb costs less, when in doubt you take the better guy 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sllim Pickens Posted August 5, 2019 Share Posted August 5, 2019 I am sure Kittle is the better keeper but I just don't trust him to repeat it this year. I'd easily keep Kelce at a 5th over Chubb as well. I like Chubb, but he has a hald of year of value and then Hunt will hurt him. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brownie man Posted August 5, 2019 Share Posted August 5, 2019 I could use some thoughts would you trade Zeke for Bell and Mike Williams in a keeper? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N4L Posted August 6, 2019 Share Posted August 6, 2019 20 hours ago, LA Niner Fan said: Let me preface by maybe I’m overthinking this but I’m in a 12 team PPR league and as a keeper I can either get Kittle in the 9th or Mahomes in the 11th. I know Mahomes is guaranteed production on an MVP level and Kittle may lose production even with a better QB as Jimmy goes through more progressions and can hit WRs. But the value of TEs vs QBs who can consistently over produce average points is a big supply and demand game. Probably over thinking it but I feel valuing QB too much is what always kills me. But that also won’t be a big problem with a guaranteed stud like Mahomes that late. Whats your take ? I agree with what everyone is saying. Its Kittle all the way. You can get a good QB around the 9-11th rounds, but Kittle will be long gone by that time. Thats how you have to think about it, its replacement value of both players. Kittle is far less replaceable. Kittle will have less yards but more TDs this year than he did last year. I would keep kittle then stack him with Garoppolo. The niners offense is going to be pretty good this year and I think Garoppolo will have something like 4200 yards and 25-30 TDs, you can get him later in the draft in like round 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N4L Posted August 6, 2019 Share Posted August 6, 2019 7 hours ago, brownie man said: I could use some thoughts would you trade Zeke for Bell and Mike Williams in a keeper? I think I would, yes. Zekes hold out terrifies me and I will be staying away from him until he signs the contract. Who else would you be keeping that you would have to get rid of if you made this trade? Youd obviously keep bell and williams, but if you dont make the trade you keep zeke and ... ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaguarCrazy2832 Posted August 6, 2019 Share Posted August 6, 2019 11 hours ago, brownie man said: I could use some thoughts would you trade Zeke for Bell and Mike Williams in a keeper? I like Williams but i think Zeke is better. Do you have to pull the trigger now? How long you got to accept? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaguarCrazy2832 Posted August 6, 2019 Share Posted August 6, 2019 3 hours ago, N4L said: I agree with what everyone is saying. Its Kittle all the way. You can get a good QB around the 9-11th rounds, but Kittle will be long gone by that time. Thats how you have to think about it, its replacement value of both players. Kittle is far less replaceable. Kittle will have less yards but more TDs this year than he did last year. I would keep kittle then stack him with Garoppolo. The niners offense is going to be pretty good this year and I think Garoppolo will have something like 4200 yards and 25-30 TDs, you can get him later in the draft in like round 10 Why do you think they will be good this year? Last year Jimmy didnt look great before the injury and now we have to wonder about him recovering fully Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockice_8 Posted August 6, 2019 Share Posted August 6, 2019 16 hours ago, brownie man said: I could use some thoughts would you trade Zeke for Bell and Mike Williams in a keeper? I like the Williams upside this year for taking the drop off from Zeke to Bell at the RB spot. This is assuming you need a starting WR like Williams. Need the rest of your roster and league details to know for sure. I wouldn't do it if I was stacked at WR and Williams was a bench guy only. What do you lose? Who are your WR's? Is it dynasty? Can you continue to keep these guys beyond 1 season? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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