Dome Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 1 minute ago, Whicker said: I believe Counselor was the non town No Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dome Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 3 minutes ago, Matts4313 said: I think focusing so much on the census has lead us down the same damn trap as last game. Look at how many people are skating by? I mean, now it’s a confirmed 1/2 remaining Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matts4313 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 Just now, MWil23 said: *Take note of Matts coming in to defend Whicker* *take note of @MWil23 not understanding ratios* 11 people left in the game. Likely 3 scum. Which means on the census line we have a 1 in 3 chance of scum. In the non census line we have a 2 in 8 chance of scum. The probabilities are close. I want to hear more from @wolfeyestrk about what he had to guess and why it would vote-block him. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matts4313 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 Just now, Dome said: I mean, now it’s a confirmed 1/2 remaining Damn, you are right. I forgot Daboyle died. 1/2 if Malf handled it the way you did. 0/2 if he didnt. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matts4313 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 3 minutes ago, MWil23 said: I asked YOU a question and Matt took the lead in answering for you, despite you being currently online. @squire12 => come get him next game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slappy Mc Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 38 minutes ago, MWil23 said: Slappy Mc anything to add? I have been sick for the past two days (102 fever/sore throat/vomitting) and have not paid attention to the thread enough to be caught up. Cliff notes? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whicker Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 31 minutes ago, Dome said: How was I acting when you made the vote? Like manipulative scum Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whicker Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 31 minutes ago, Dome said: No Okay 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whicker Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 34 minutes ago, MWil23 said: I asked YOU a question and Matt took the lead in answering for you, despite you being currently online. I can answer for myself Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whicker Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 43 minutes ago, MWil23 said: So, you would rather go off of/discard the census from confirmed Town Orca and go Pickle and go off of a meta read? Didn’t Dome do the same? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dome Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 1 minute ago, Whicker said: Didn’t Dome do the same? ROLEFISHING PIG Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whicker Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 Just now, Dome said: ROLEFISHING PIG Lol you cited for Matts and then acknowledged the census. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whicker Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 Pickle might still be scum based on census but Dome is scum Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWil23 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 38 minutes ago, Matts4313 said: *take note of @MWil23 not understanding ratios* 11 people left in the game. Likely 3 scum. Which means on the census line we have a 1 in 3 chance of scum. In the non census line we have a 2 in 8 chance of scum. Actually, we have a 50/50 shot on the census now. There were THREE yesterday, with Pickle, Me, and Daboyle. Daboyle flipped Town, so did Orca. That leaves me, having claimed with one person to verify me (since you're so good at probabilities you know that the probability of Malf lying to him is NOT good), and Pickle, meaning that we are over a 50% chance that he's scum. Given Counselor's ability with the census, the odds are high that it's Pickle. 38 minutes ago, Matts4313 said: The probabilities are close. NOT at all. Over 50% to 25% on a blind guess without night move verification based off of sheer probability. 38 minutes ago, Matts4313 said: I want to hear more from @wolfeyestrk about what he had to guess and why it would vote-block him. I would as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whicker Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 So MWil calls me out for going against the census when a man who acknowledges the validity of said census was the first to vote for a non Pickle player. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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