TheKillerNacho Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Incoming vig hits, I bet. I really hope my hypothesis is correct. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Orca Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, TheKillerNacho said: Incoming vig hits, I bet. I really hope my hypothesis is correct. At this point you are probably the GF 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheKillerNacho Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, Pickle Rick said: I'm lynching nacho again tommorrow to test this out. I really want to believe you aren't completely awful at this but you literally always double down lmao Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheKillerNacho Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, The Orca said: At this point you are probably the GF your loss, mate Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Orca Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, TheKillerNacho said: I really want to believe you aren't completely awful at this but you literally always double down lmao You sidestepping my question still. What are the odds? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Orca Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, TheKillerNacho said: your loss, mate If its an all town game...I'll take the L for town. Its what Dome would want 🤣 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheKillerNacho Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, The Orca said: You sidestepping my question still. What are the odds? two different hosts. the current host didnt play in the previous game impossible to say, but the two variables are completely independent from eachother. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Orca Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, TheKillerNacho said: two different hosts. the current host didnt play in the previous game impossible to say, but the two variables are completely independent from eachother. Not at all. To assume Dome ignored the last game all together is a fallacy imo, but assume he did. 2 fake wincons in a row which really hasn't been seen is almost not possible Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pickle Rick Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Its after midnight.....so, I am trying to use my move on md4l so he will die when I do. Deadman's trigger!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Orca Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 On 2/9/2021 at 11:36 AM, Dome said: Sample Role PM: ---------- Write ups: Day Zero: Something happens, there's like a disagreement maybe. The group turns on someone and the guy ends up dead. The dead guy was a Bad Guy. Good job Good Guys. Night Zero: Some more stuff happens, but more sneakily than the stuff that happened during the day. Another guy ends up dead, this time he was a Good Guy. Good job Bad Guys. ---------- Day One: Night One: ---------- Day Two: Night Two: ---------- Day Three: Night Three: ---------- Day Four: Night Four: Dome uses intros well and purposefully and this clearly shows bad guys killing after they die...meaning there is a bad guy imo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheKillerNacho Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, The Orca said: Not at all. To assume Dome ignored the last game all together is a fallacy imo, but assume he did. 2 fake wincons in a row which really hasn't been seen is almost not possible what you're putting forth has a name , and it's called gambler's fallacy. In short, the idea that the previous object(s) in a sequence has any affect on the next. It's obviously false, but casinos use this basic human assumption to rake in billions every year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dome Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 Something bad happened. Swag is dead. He was a Good Guy. Night Result PMs going out shortly. Its now Day 2. With 13 players alive, it takes 7 to lynch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheKillerNacho Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, The Orca said: Dome uses intros well and purposefully and this clearly shows bad guys killing after they die...meaning there is a bad guy imo He didnt say a Bad Guy existed, did he? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pickle Rick Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Nacho Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Orca Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, TheKillerNacho said: what you're putting forth has a name , and it's called gambler's fallacy. In short, the idea that the previous object(s) in a sequence has any affect on the next. It's obviously false, but casinos use this basic human assumption to rake in billions every year. Not in the least, its math. Play the odds. Dome is the kind of the intro and the intro shows baddies Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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