VikeManDan Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 37 minutes ago, MWil23 said: @Dome @JoshstraDaymus @VikeManDan @daboyle250 @Blue @The Orca @Whicker see if this makes sense: Between Cop A and B, one of them could be insane (returns opposite results), which would most likely be Cop B. Cop B can investigate one of Squire or Naz while Cop A investigates one of the other masons. With Squire and Dome each coming up scum, we can assume that Cop A is paranoid and Cop B is insane as long as Dome and Squire are who they say they are (I believe this to be true). That means that Cop C is likely Naive or Correct, HOWEVER: Cop A is either insane or paranoid with Squire coming up SCUM instead of "Non Town". Cop B is either insane or paranoid with Dome coming up SCUM. With Rag coming up Town, Cop C is either Correct or Naive. Since Rags is scum IMO, I think it's clear that he's naive, which fits what's going on with the game, especially in light of what Whicker just revealed. The SAFEST option is that Cop B is insane. Cop A should therefore invest his biggest TOWN read, and if he comes up scum, he's paranoid. Cop B should invest Squire to confirm. If he comes up Town, Cop B is insane. Cop C should invest Naz/Squire, and if either comes up Town, they are NAIVE. Cop A: N1 touch (nontown), N2 squire (nontown) If cop A invests another mason cop and results are nontown this would prove paranoia correct? If cop A invests another mason cop and results are town this doesn't help, would almost look like results are random Cop B: N1 touch (nontown), N2 dome (nontown) If cop B invests squire/naz and results are nontown this would also look like paranoia if squire/naz flip anything but town correct? If cop B invests squire/naz and the results are town this would look like insane results. Cop C: N1 touch (town), N2 rags (town) If cop C invests squire/naz and results are town this would prove naive, I agree with you there. If cop C invests squire/naz and results are nontown, this COULD clear rags and confirm squire/naz as others/nontown based on what has been revealed in the thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWil23 Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 20 minutes ago, Tk3 said: I don't think these 3 are all mafia together pulling some crazy gambit But I DO think a 3 person mason group with additional moves most likely has a scum within the midst and the others do not realize it Give me Josh again Have you read the thread? 1 minute ago, The Orca said: Not enough data points imo While statistically possible they could be random, the mason mechanic makes this highly unlikely. It’s most likely NONE of them are correct, but one of them has the possibility of gaining useful information. (The insane cop) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Orca Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 18 minutes ago, MWil23 said: Have you read the thread? While statistically possible they could be random, the mason mechanic makes this highly unlikely. It’s most likely NONE of them are correct, but one of them has the possibility of gaining useful information. (The insane cop) 1 of them could be sane...you just really dont know until you get more invests Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWil23 Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 20 minutes ago, VikeManDan said: Cop A: N1 touch (nontown), N2 squire (nontown) If cop A invests another mason cop and results are nontown this would prove paranoia correct? If cop A invests another mason cop and results are town this doesn't help, would almost look like results are random Cop B: N1 touch (nontown), N2 dome (nontown) If cop B invests squire/naz and results are nontown this would also look like paranoia if squire/naz flip anything but town correct? If cop B invests squire/naz and the results are town this would look like insane results. Cop C: N1 touch (town), N2 rags (town) If cop C invests squire/naz and results are town this would prove naive, I agree with you there. If cop C invests squire/naz and results are nontown, this COULD clear rags and confirm squire/naz as others/nontown based on what has been revealed in the thread? Spot on!!! Just don’t reveal which one of you is which. Leave it A B C We can’t have scum hit the one who has the probability to have a useful invest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWil23 Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, The Orca said: 1 of them could be sane...you just really dont know until you get more invests Could be, yes, but we’d need to know about Ragnarok first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Orca Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, MWil23 said: Spot on!!! Just don’t reveal which one of you is which. Leave it A B C We can’t have scum hit the one who has the probability to have a useful invest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whicker Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 This is awful 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWil23 Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 Just now, The Orca said: ? Why would we want them to reveal themselves? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWil23 Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 Just now, Whicker said: This is awful We can all just hammer clear scum in MD4L and move on. Or Rags. I’m flexible. Then Dome can hit the other or kill Rack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Orca Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 4 minutes ago, MWil23 said: ? Why would we want them to reveal themselves? You have missed some very key posts today in more than 1 aspect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bcb1213 Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 So tin foil hat. Blue and Forge are two members of the the scum team 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dome Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 Hi. drunk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dome Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 8 minutes ago, bcb1213 said: So tin foil hat. Blue and Forge are two members of the the scum team I don’t hate it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWil23 Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 Ragnarok, MD4L, Rack Do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWil23 Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, Dome said: Hi. drunk Hi Drunk, I’m Rocco! I killed her cat man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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