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Playoffs - Wild Card Round


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19 minutes ago, 40Year Pack Fan said:

Monte Hall...

OIP.ftg6TJhsJJBMb6xKmtCXbgHaEK?w=310&h=1

you have 3 doors in front of you, 2 of which have a goat behind them and 1 has a car. You have to blindly select one. Monte then opens up a door revealing a goat and asks "do you want to keep your original choice or switch doors?"

What do you do and why

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1 minute ago, incognito_man said:

you have 3 doors in front of you, 2 of which have a goat behind them and 1 has a car. You have to blindly select one. Monte then opens up a door revealing a goat and asks "do you want to keep your original choice or switch doors?"

What do you do and why

The goat. It would eventually provide food and keep my kiddos entertained...

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Just now, 40Year Pack Fan said:

I was thinking Tom Brady, but AR is good....

I was going to crack a joke on that but didn't want to upset someone's apple cart.

 

1 minute ago, 40Year Pack Fan said:

You'll look awfully funny riding him to work...

Whoever said I would have to do that? Goat Bleating GIF

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8 minutes ago, incognito_man said:

you have 3 doors in front of you, 2 of which have a goat behind them and 1 has a car. You have to blindly select one. Monte then opens up a door revealing a goat and asks "do you want to keep your original choice or switch doors?"

What do you do and why

You change your pick. 

The theoretical idea is that when you first picked, you had a 1/3 chance of getting it right.

Once the door has been removed, you have a 1/2 chance.

What nobody's been able to explain to me is why my original pick wouldn't also have a 1/2 chance after the door has been removed. 

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1 minute ago, AlexGreen#20 said:

You change your pick. 

The theoretical idea is that when you first picked, you had a 1/3 chance of getting it right.

Once the door has been removed, you have a 1/2 chance.

What nobody's been able to explain to me is why my original pick wouldn't also have a 1/2 chance after the door has been removed. 

it's 1/3 vs 2/3 not 1/2.

Like you said imagine keeping same door every time. If you do this you win 1/3 times (odds of selecting car).

If you switch every time you win 2/3 times (odds of selecting one of the goats and switching to the car, since you obviously wouldn't switch to the known goat door)

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