ANTHONY RICHARDSON - WHAT IF WE TAKE HIM AT #6

[Just Want A Title]

One more thing to consider with Anthony Richardson.  This is pretty favorable:

https://sports.yahoo.com/report-florida-qb-anthony-richardson-095500203.html#:~:text=Anthony Richardson clearly doesn't,S2 sports science cognitive testing.

[Karnage84]

22 minutes ago, Just Want A Title said:

One more thing to consider with Anthony Richardson.  This is pretty favorable:

https://sports.yahoo.com/report-florida-qb-anthony-richardson-095500203.html#:~:text=Anthony Richardson clearly doesn't,S2 sports science cognitive testing.

There's a good chance he goes #1 or #2. From all accounts, this kid has been hitting it out of the park in the pre-draft process. 

[Just Want A Title]

2 minutes ago, Karnage84 said:

There's a good chance he goes #1 or #2. From all accounts, this kid has been hitting it out of the park in the pre-draft process. 

Could Brad Holmes be cooking up a trade to #3 to get CJ Stroud if he falls?

[nagahide13]

I feel like Richardson is the one guy worth taking a flyer on at #6 if he's there. I wouldn't trade up or take any other QB top 10. We're in a really good position for him to sit and develop. There is zero chance he is NFL ready. He needs at least 2 years of development. Our offense is cookin' with Goff and he's under contract for a couple more years. Perfect.

[General Tso]

4 hours ago, nagahide13 said:

I feel like Richardson is the one guy worth taking a flyer on at #6 if he's there. I wouldn't trade up or take any other QB top 10. We're in a really good position for him to sit and develop. There is zero chance he is NFL ready. He needs at least 2 years of development. Our offense is cookin' with Goff and he's under contract for a couple more years. Perfect.

I will say this. The more I think about it, I don't think Richardson at 6 is any more of a risk than let's say Carter. I'm not a big fan of Wilson personally and Witherspoon/Gonzalez both have at least some question marks. Richardson could bust, but so could the others.

I have reached the point of being unemotional about who we pick at 6.

[Just Want A Title]

One thing that has made me more comfortable with taking Anthony Richardson at 6 is college stats.  Prior to this year he had 39 pass attempts.  He had his ups and down during his one starting season but his final accuracy rate was 53.8%.  Not great but lets look at some numbers from other NFL QBs:

Patrick Mahomes completion percentage in first year as a starter:  56.8%-https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/players/patrick-mahomes-1.html

Matthew Stafford completion percentage in first year as a starter:  52.7%-https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/players/matthew-stafford-1.html

Joe Burrow completion percentage in first year as a starter:  57.8%-https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/players/joe-burrow-1.html

 

One other reason to give him the benefit of the doubt:  The current head coach at Florida hasn't done much to show that he can develop his players or build a winning program.  Food for thought.

 

[LionArkie]

38 minutes ago, Just Want A Title said:

One thing that has made me more comfortable with taking Anthony Richardson at 6 is college stats.  Prior to this year he had 39 pass attempts.  He had his ups and down during his one starting season but his final accuracy rate was 53.8%.  Not great but lets look at some numbers from other NFL QBs:

Patrick Mahomes completion percentage in first year as a starter:  56.8%-https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/players/patrick-mahomes-1.html

Matthew Stafford completion percentage in first year as a starter:  52.7%-https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/players/matthew-stafford-1.html

Joe Burrow completion percentage in first year as a starter:  57.8%-https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/players/joe-burrow-1.html

 

One other reason to give him the benefit of the doubt:  The current head coach at Florida hasn't done much to show that he can develop his players or build a winning program.  Food for thought.

 

The issue with this I have is that is their first year numbers which is comparable to AR. However, this is also AR's final season which will look a lot different than the numbers of those you mentioned final season. I'd feel a lot more comfortable with this if AR went back another season and proved he was improving vs 1 year of work.

Stats worded one way looks good, and worded another not so much.

Edited April 14, 2023 by LionArkie

[Nnivolcm]

35 minutes ago, Just Want A Title said:

One thing that has made me more comfortable with taking Anthony Richardson at 6 is college stats.  Prior to this year he had 39 pass attempts.  He had his ups and down during his one starting season but his final accuracy rate was 53.8%.  Not great but lets look at some numbers from other NFL QBs:

Patrick Mahomes completion percentage in first year as a starter:  56.8%-https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/players/patrick-mahomes-1.html

Matthew Stafford completion percentage in first year as a starter:  52.7%-https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/players/matthew-stafford-1.html

Joe Burrow completion percentage in first year as a starter:  57.8%-https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/players/joe-burrow-1.html

 

One other reason to give him the benefit of the doubt:  The current head coach at Florida hasn't done much to show that he can develop his players or build a winning program.  Food for thought.

 

It's pretty funny the length people will come up with to justify a prospect.

Mahomes, Stafford, and Burrows all showed they were capable of completing >60% of their passes in college. I guarantee there are more college QBs who have a completion percentage similar to Richardson and don't turn into franchise QBs in the NFL than those that do. 

[NudeTayne]

10 minutes ago, Nnivolcm said:

It's pretty funny the length people will come up with to justify a prospect.

Mahomes, Stafford, and Burrows all showed they were capable of completing >60% of their passes in college. I guarantee there are more college QBs who have a completion percentage similar to Richardson and don't turn into franchise QBs in the NFL than those that do. 

but none with his size, athleticism, arm, high cerebral scores and age all rolled into one. He's a special prospect, whether or not he ends up working in the NFL. I do believe he has the ceiling to be a top QB. I still wouldn't take him #1 but understand why the conversation is happening.

[General Tso]

27 minutes ago, Nnivolcm said:

It's pretty funny the length people will come up with to justify a prospect.

Mahomes, Stafford, and Burrows all showed they were capable of completing >60% of their passes in college. I guarantee there are more college QBs who have a completion percentage similar to Richardson and don't turn into franchise QBs in the NFL than those that do. 

Because they got more than 1 year to start in college. That is the whole crux of the argument..

Edited April 14, 2023 by General Tso

[Nnivolcm]

2 minutes ago, General Tso said:

Because they got more than 1 year to start in college. That is the whole crux of the argument..

I understand the argument. It's a silly one imo.

[General Tso]

1 minute ago, Nnivolcm said:

I understand the argument. It's a silly one imo.

That's understandable, I don't think this has happened often or if ever in terms of QB prospects. It'll be a test on if teams can draft projects high.

[Superduperman]

5 minutes ago, General Tso said:

Because they got more than 1 year to start in college. That is the whole crux of the argument..

Richardson could have "got" an extra year too, but he chose to come out instead. Missing a year of development has been a factor in a lot of bust QBs.

[diehardlionfan]

I still think AR will be gone with the first pick. I’ve felt that way since the trade. If he isn’t taken first I sure don’t see him lasting until the 6th pick.

[Just Want A Title]

44 minutes ago, Nnivolcm said:

It's pretty funny the length people will come up with to justify a prospect.

Mahomes, Stafford, and Burrows all showed they were capable of completing >60% of their passes in college. I guarantee there are more college QBs who have a completion percentage similar to Richardson and don't turn into franchise QBs in the NFL than those that do. 

This isn't justifying a a prospect it is evaluating them objectively.  Most folks were of the opinion that he would have been better off staying in college with respect to his development as a QB but he chose not to do that.  Anthony Richardson basically has one season as a starter in college and his stats as a first-year starter weren't out of line with a number of other QBs who have been successful in the NFL.  Florida wasn't exactly a great team either.  I think it helps clarify the risk associated with Anthony Richardson rather than create any sort of justification.