Broncofan Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 To close the 49ers vs. Pack discussion, Vegas took losses with both faves covering. I do think the ML info was misleading, because standalone ML bets of -350 are just stupid. Parley payouts using the faves with teased spreads, or low ML's, though, probably did very well. If you think KC is winning, or the over is hitting, I can't imagine the KC spread or OU will do anything but increase. The public loves to bet the over, and they love star players. Cam Newton and the CAR juggernaut vs. DEN in 2015 is a great example IMO of the lean to juggernaut O's over great D's. I don't know if SF is as elite as DEN 2015 (and not trying to be a homer, DEN's 2015 D by DVOA was legendary, as good as 2001 BAL / 2002 TAM / 2013 SEA, and if they measured DVOA then <they did for fun here>, the 85 Bears), but the comp of matchups is pretty apt - this should be a pick 'em game IMO, but the line is likely moving towards KC as time goes on, barring unforeseen injury news. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmittyBacall Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 I locked in a sizable bet on the over (54.5 total points). I think this game is going to be silly high-scoring. I can't really imagine either team stopping each other. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BStanRamFan Posted January 21, 2020 Author Share Posted January 21, 2020 I'm monitoring the line on this game closely. Opened at KC -1.5. I think by the time of game day, it will have swung 3 pts in the other direction with SF -1.5. So if you're on SF, buy it now. If you're high on KC, wait it out. It will likely get close to even. Also, seeing Bosa at anywhere from 34-1 to 45-1 for SuperBowl MVP. Kittle is interesting at 6 or 7-1. If Bosa gets 2 sacks and possibly a fumble return for TD, he could lock it. Love those odds. After seeing what Shanahan is willing to do when the run game is working, I don't think he relies on Jimmy G. And if he does have to rely on Jimmy G, I don't see them winning the game at all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BStanRamFan Posted January 21, 2020 Author Share Posted January 21, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 1:19 AM, JustAnotherFan said: Nice. As bad as it may sound, it looks like Coleman going down with an injury played in your favor. Worked the opposite on me. Had Coleman scoring at TD in two parlays lol Figured Shanahan would favor Coleman because of their experience together in ATL. He was going to score on the drive he got hurt, but thats the way the cookie crumbles. What really hurt was the parlay of (Derrick Henry + Damien Williams rush TD) + (Rodgers and Garoppolo +0.5TD each) $50--> $285 After the early game, I thought it was a lock.....Then Jimmy G threw 10 passes all game and I cried wee, weee, weeee all the way home. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ET80 Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 4 minutes ago, BStanRamFan said: Also, seeing Bosa at anywhere from 34-1 to 45-1 for SuperBowl MVP. Kittle is interesting at 6 or 7-1. If Bosa gets 2 sacks and possibly a fumble return for TD, he could lock it. Love those odds. After seeing what Shanahan is willing to do when the run game is working, I don't think he relies on Jimmy G. And if he does have to rely on Jimmy G, I don't see them winning the game at all. What are the odds on Mostert? I'd imagine they're not good following his performance this past Sunday, but he'd seem like a good option. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BStanRamFan Posted January 21, 2020 Author Share Posted January 21, 2020 13 minutes ago, ET80 said: What are the odds on Mostert? I'd imagine they're not good following his performance this past Sunday, but he'd seem like a good option. Latest on Fanduel is 7.5-1. Coleman is expected to be back and I really think Shanahan likes the multi-back approach. NFCCG was an outlier compared to other games this season for SF. Breida will steal carries too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeT14 Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 22 minutes ago, ET80 said: What are the odds on Mostert? I'd imagine they're not good following his performance this past Sunday, but he'd seem like a good option. Bovada has him at +550 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeT14 Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 28 minutes ago, BStanRamFan said: I'm monitoring the line on this game closely. Opened at KC -1.5. I think by the time of game day, it will have swung 3 pts in the other direction with SF -1.5. So if you're on SF, buy it now. If you're high on KC, wait it out. It will likely get close to even. Also, seeing Bosa at anywhere from 34-1 to 45-1 for SuperBowl MVP. Kittle is interesting at 6 or 7-1. If Bosa gets 2 sacks and possibly a fumble return for TD, he could lock it. Love those odds. After seeing what Shanahan is willing to do when the run game is working, I don't think he relies on Jimmy G. And if he does have to rely on Jimmy G, I don't see them winning the game at all. I'll have to look again, but Bosa wasn't that high on Bovada. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BStanRamFan Posted January 21, 2020 Author Share Posted January 21, 2020 13 minutes ago, MikeT14 said: I'll have to look again, but Bosa wasn't that high on Bovada. As of right now on FD Sportsbook, Bosa is 35-1. I might have to throw $20 on it in the off chance he just wrecks the game completely. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeT14 Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Bosa is only +1600 on bovada. Mostert is +550. Mahomes +115. Kittle +1200. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BStanRamFan Posted January 21, 2020 Author Share Posted January 21, 2020 13 minutes ago, MikeT14 said: Bosa is only +1600 on bovada. Mostert is +550. Mahomes +115. Kittle +1200. I better get this Bosa bet in sooner rather than later. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny/Patrick Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 Anyone know if they take parlays on what announcers say during the game? im guessing joe buck 49ers Miami 1984 O/U 10 Joe Montana 49ers chiefs 8 Brady Jimmy 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeotheLion Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 On 1/20/2020 at 11:28 AM, SmittyBacall said: I locked in a sizable bet on the over (54.5 total points). I think this game is going to be silly high-scoring. I can't really imagine either team stopping each other. The over is the right bet but with both defensive lines being really strong at rushing the passer I could see defenses getting off the field/forcing a FG attempt. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BayRaider Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 I have 130 in the 49ers ML at +100 odds (130 to win 130). Besides that, I think I’ll not be betting on any props. Kittle as SB MVP looks real interesting though... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Titans_Matt Posted January 21, 2020 Share Posted January 21, 2020 I always do the props for coin toss, anthem, and first player to score. I was looking at doing Gatorade color this year, but the odds of that bet compared to every other bet seem so much worse, I think it's quite literally a shot in the dark. Going Tails and Under on the anthem this year. Also Chiefs -1. Haven't decided on first player to score yet, gotta look at the odds first. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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