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Week 16: the AFC East Title Game

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Saturday at 4:30 at Gillette. 

My model's projection:

Buffalo 29.28%
New England 70.72%

Notable stats:

Statistic BUF Offense NE Defense
Points 22 1
Penalty 1Ds 13 29
Score Rate 24 1
EXP 20 1
ANY/A 21 1
Pass EXP 21 1

Statistic NE Offense BUF Defense
Yards / Play 25 4
Score Rate 15 2
EXP 19 4
ANY/A 17 3
TO% 3 12
Rush YPA 27 14

These are the ones that stuck out the most to me, but especially of these:

  • Points, Expected Points and Scoring Rate The Patriots should keep Buffalo pretty low on the scoring front.
  • Penalty 1st Downs: This is the one area that the Pats' defense has really been bad. Hopefully that's not a huge issue tomorrow.
  • Yards per Play: The Patriots' offense is a dumpster fire at 25th in overall yards per play. They can't afford to turn the ball over with that bad a yardage mark.

 

I'm not so sure about this one, but I think we should pull it out for the AFC East title.

 

 

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Oof, sucks to see so much red in our O column. Also completely unlike us as a franchise compared to the last 10 years and more.

 

I think we win but it's going to frustrate us, we are going to think we are losing at points, Brady is going to look trash because no one will be open....we just have to do what we do : find a way to win. Heavy doses of James White and HAVE to get running game going.

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11 minutes ago, DoleINGout said:

so basically what we all know... dont turn the ball over on offense.

we usually don't. You have to love our chances for a win.

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1 minute ago, CP3MVP said:

NE 24-3. One Fumble recovery TD.

yeah, I'm honestly not all that concerned about this game. The Bills will be loose with the football and set up the Patriots in great field position if not outright defensive scores.

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30 minutes ago, SBLIII said:

yeah, I'm honestly not all that concerned about this game. The Bills will be loose with the football and set up the Patriots in great field position if not outright defensive scores.

Nervous about any game the way they’re playing rn but we should have this one

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How anyone can be overly confident about any game, let alone one against a really good team, is beyond me.

 

NE - 17  BUF - 10

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I totally forgot this was a Saturday game. I hope to come out of Star Wars to see the Patriots up by twenty. 

Come the playoffs people will be scared of Brady to Harry

Edited by scottishpatriot
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21 minutes ago, scottishpatriot said:

I totally forgot this was a Saturday game. I hope to come out of State Wars to see the Patriots up by twenty. 

Come the playoffs people will be scared of Brady to Harry

I think that might be the difference between SB and 1st round exit.

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3 minutes ago, Hunter2_1 said:

NFL network favor Bills 67%.

 

They are good, but that's a bit rich.

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