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Week 16 TNF: San Francisco 49ers (8-6) at Tennessee Titans (9-5)


TecmoSuperJoe

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18 hours ago, Dr A W Niloc said:

In the same sense that a medical opinion from a rando is the same as one from an examining physician, yes.  Personal whim versus logical conclusion based on evidence.  How does it help to conflate these two?

"The 1972 Miami Dolphins were better than the 2008 Detroit Lions" is just an opinion, right?

The 1975 Miami Sound Machine were a better football team than the 2008 Detroit Lions.

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15 minutes ago, notthatbluestuff said:

Trevor Lawrence = first overall. Josh Allen = seventh overall. 

Makes sense to me. 

Laviska = 2nd round pick

Stefon diggs = 5th round pick.

Carlos Hyde - 2nd round

Singletary, moss = 3rd round 

I'll be damned. 

 

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12 minutes ago, notthatbluestuff said:

And the Patriots clearly have the more talented group of players on offense than the Packers, Chiefs, Chargers, Bengals, Cardinals etc. 

Yes, but the success rates (roughly:  "talent") aren't concentrated at the skill positions, as with the five other teams.  It is a flat file look at a three dimensional topography.  A geek thing, not for everyone.

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9 minutes ago, Forge said:

It's a smart person thing, apparently

DE: Jon Greenard, Jamie Martin

DT: Maliek Collins, Ross Blacklock

OLB: Kamau Grugier-Hill, Kevin Pierre-Louis

MLB: Christian Kirksey

CB: Terrance Mitchell, Desmond King

S: Justin Reid, Eric Murray

... someone, this collection of players is the 8th most talented collection of players in the NFL. Only takeaway I have after this? Smart people don't understand football, because this isn't a top 10 defensive roster based on players.

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3 minutes ago, Dr A W Niloc said:

Quite right.  That should be 32nd, not 8th.  Transcription error.  I'll check the rest tomorrow.

It still feels like there's significant subjectivity - and no real weight for a player "fitting" a scheme (let alone variances from scheme to scheme).

It's a novel attempt, but it doesn't seem to take a lot into consideration when you're weighing who has the most talent and the least talent...

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9 minutes ago, ET80 said:

It still feels like there's significant subjectivity - and no real weight for a player "fitting" a scheme (let alone variances from scheme to scheme).

It's a novel attempt, but it doesn't seem to take a lot into consideration when you're weighing who has the most talent and the least talent...

Yeah, no criteria has been given. Unsure it's accounting for health. If it does, it makes a #1 ranking for a team starting Josh Norman and Dre Kirkpatrick at corner for most of the year a little dubious. If it doesn't, you can't tell me that the pats get a bump over a team like Green Bay when a healthy Green Bay oline is pretty good with Bakhtiari and Jenkins. Feels like maybe there is a fantasy component as well, tbh. 

Probably needs positional weight confirmation and maybe a breakdown on depth vs superstar calculations. 

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4 minutes ago, ET80 said:

It still feels like there's significant subjectivity - and no real weight for a player "fitting" a scheme (let alone variances from scheme to scheme).

It's a novel attempt, but it doesn't seem to take a lot into consideration when you're weighing who has the most talent and the least talent...

     To be clear, the rating service provides the evaluations for each player.  One could use any such data source.  Hell, even  Stratomatic 0-to-6 ratings.  (Anyone remember those?)

    The unweighted data allows the user to apply whatever formula they wish.  How much is a QB worth compared to, say, a LT or Strong Safety?  How much more important is a team's #1 WR than its #2 or #3 WR?

     The flat file numbers are useful in apples to apples component comparisons (e.g. Cleveland's top 3 WRs to Green Bay's).  It's also good for destinations:  will such-and-such a new QB fare better in Atlanta or Detroit?  The O-Line [and opponent's D-Line] configs show at a glance how often a team should run and where.  Ditto the DB configs for opponent's pass targeting.

     (It would be nice to have a non-proportional font option here.)

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6 minutes ago, Dr A W Niloc said:

    On the part of the original rating service, you mean?

These ratings you provided. The player evaluations from the original rating service are certainly subjective. 

But you said:

16 minutes ago, Dr A W Niloc said:

The unweighted data allows the user to apply whatever formula they wish

So the original service gives whatever data without context (important), their own evaluations (subjective, though I'm assuming supported by data) and then the user just creates whatever system they want to establish a ranking

 

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