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2022 Cowboys Offseason News and Notes


Matts4313

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It would be nice if we could get compensatory picks for amari and DLaw.  Instead, we’ll cut them.  Get under the cap enough to keep Schultz, Gallup and maybe Gregory.  No extra compensation.  2 big talent losses.  And unless we hit home runs in the draft, I’m expecting a drop off in talent next year.

 

gregory and Schultz would at least get us decent compensatory picks.  Maybe Gallup too.  
 

For long term, it would make sense to cut Amari and DLaw and NOT restructure Dak’s stupid contract.  Let all FAs walk.  Get well under the cap.  Load up with compensatory picks in 2023 draft.  Take our lumps next year which isn’t truly a contending roster anyway.  2023 we’d tons of picks, high first and second round picks.  And the cap will finally catch up to Dak’s contract where we could make a run in 2023 and 2024.  
 

instead, we will probably be a very mediocre team for the foreseeable future (unless we absolutely dominate the draft).

Edited by The_Slamman
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I'm not going to defend Stephen or act like I know the cap. But could Dallas be choosing to cut Tank and Cooper instead of doing restructures. Be a sign that they think they are closer to needing to retool than contending and don't want to restructure contracts?

Realistically we probably in the next 2 years need a LT, LG, C and maybe RT. Need a DT, LBer, Safety and a TE.

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@chumpy

 
 
Reply
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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Replying to
After week 6 and the Cowboys late win at the Patriots, Dak was arguably the favorite to win NFL MVP. One of the reasons why – he is very good against the blitz, and yet, #NFL opponents continued to blitz him at a very high rate.
 
 
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Some numbers to back this up… Weeks 1-6, Dak was blitzed 32% of the time, and yet, he had a 115 QB rating and 16 touchdown passes to that point, completing 73% of his passes (8.4 yards per attempt). He was sacked only 9 times in those 6 games. That’s when two things changed.
 
 
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First, as I heard on show discuss, the Jets hired QB guru John Beck on Nov 2nd. Beck is Dak’s QB trainer. Prescott has credited Beck often for his development – in and out of season.
 
 
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Beck’s hiring was right after the Cowboys game at New England, as Dallas had a bye, then Dak (calf) did not play vs Minnesota in Week 8.
 
 
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When Dak returned to play in Week 9 vs Denver, something else changed pretty drastically. Teams stopped blitzing him at as high a rate (down from 32-25% -- the equivalent of about 3 blitzes per game).
 
 
1
 
 
 
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-NGXMvRY_bigger.jpg
 
 
Instead, opponents (Vic Fangio would like credit, please) sat back in confusing coverages, taking “the top off” more often, and allowed their pass rush to do its work.
 
 
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-NGXMvRY_bigger.jpg
 
 
With this change, Dak had MORE time to throw in the back half of the season compared to weeks 1-6, and yet, he was sacked at a higher rate (21 times from week 9 on). His QB rating dropped from 115 to 98.1. His yards per attempt dropped from 8.4 to 6.9.
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12 hours ago, WizardHawk said:

LOL. What happened to $6m/yr??

Dallas is great at painting themselves into a corner with these negotiations. They spill the beans on what their intentions are and therefore all the leverage goes to the players. 

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12 hours ago, Matts4313 said:

@chumpy

 
 
Reply
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-NGXMvRY_bigger.jpg
 
 
Replying to
After week 6 and the Cowboys late win at the Patriots, Dak was arguably the favorite to win NFL MVP. One of the reasons why – he is very good against the blitz, and yet, #NFL opponents continued to blitz him at a very high rate.
 
 
1
 
 
 
2
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-NGXMvRY_bigger.jpg
 
 
Some numbers to back this up… Weeks 1-6, Dak was blitzed 32% of the time, and yet, he had a 115 QB rating and 16 touchdown passes to that point, completing 73% of his passes (8.4 yards per attempt). He was sacked only 9 times in those 6 games. That’s when two things changed.
 
 
2
 
1
 
3
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-NGXMvRY_bigger.jpg
 
 
First, as I heard on show discuss, the Jets hired QB guru John Beck on Nov 2nd. Beck is Dak’s QB trainer. Prescott has credited Beck often for his development – in and out of season.
 
 
1
 
 
 
1
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-NGXMvRY_bigger.jpg
 
 
Beck’s hiring was right after the Cowboys game at New England, as Dallas had a bye, then Dak (calf) did not play vs Minnesota in Week 8.
 
 
1
 
 
 
1
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-NGXMvRY_bigger.jpg
 
 
When Dak returned to play in Week 9 vs Denver, something else changed pretty drastically. Teams stopped blitzing him at as high a rate (down from 32-25% -- the equivalent of about 3 blitzes per game).
 
 
1
 
 
 
1
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-NGXMvRY_bigger.jpg
 
 
Instead, opponents (Vic Fangio would like credit, please) sat back in confusing coverages, taking “the top off” more often, and allowed their pass rush to do its work.
 
 
1
 
1
 
1
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-NGXMvRY_bigger.jpg
 
 
With this change, Dak had MORE time to throw in the back half of the season compared to weeks 1-6, and yet, he was sacked at a higher rate (21 times from week 9 on). His QB rating dropped from 115 to 98.1. His yards per attempt dropped from 8.4 to 6.9.

The point of my post was DAK's generally confusion and discomfort on too many pass plays.  He often seemed to panic and not make the proper reads.  A veteran QB should not be experiencing that as much as DAK did the latter half of the year.  I should have said pressure as opposed to being blitzed.  I realize that our OL needs some retooling.  Anyone who has followed my vantage point understands that I believe in a strong OL.  The Cowboys had way too many breakdowns in both the running game and with pass protection.  Still there were too many times imo, that DAK when he had time, made poor passes.

Edited by chumpy
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4 minutes ago, chumpy said:

The point of my post was DAK's generally confusion and discomfort on too many pass plays.  He often seemed to panic and not make the proper reads.  A veteran QB should not be experiencing that as much as DAK did the latter half of the year.

Drop back in coverage and force him to read said coverage to find a WR. That’s where he looks replacement level.

He does well with quick pressure and has WRs who can beat 1 on 1s(well he did last year anyway). But if you bracket his WRs and force him to make tight throws, you’ll beat him if you have a good pass rusher or two.

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14 minutes ago, DaBoys said:

Drop back in coverage and force him to read said coverage to find a WR. That’s where he looks replacement level.

He does well with quick pressure and has WRs who can beat 1 on 1s(well he did last year anyway). But if you bracket his WRs and force him to make tight throws, you’ll beat him if you have a good pass rusher or two.

The relationship between a player's single-season NGS Passing Score and winning percentage is quite strong. A score around 85 serves as an indicator of a winning percentage near the .500 mark. A score above 85, and your team is more than likely winning with, rather than in spite of, their quarterback. A score of 90-plus -- those are the players you win because of.

We group single-season scores into five-point buckets at the single-season level, with clear thresholds for quality of play. The distribution of passing score points to 80 as a rough Mendoza Linefor starting-level QB performance. Quarterbacks falling below that line are often young players acclimating to the league, or replacement-level talent that teams will look to upgrade from in the following season. 

Prescott put up a passing score below 77 in five of six games from Weeks 9 through 14. The only other playoff quarterback to have even four such games this season is Ben Roethlisberger (8).

https://www.nfl.com/news/ranking-the-14-playoff-quarterbacks-based-on-ngs-new-passing-score-metric

 

https://www.nfl.com/news/next-gen-stats-intro-to-passing-score-metric

Edited by DaBoys
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