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Week 13 Thread: Rivalry Week!


MikeT14

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2 minutes ago, candyman93 said:

If Texas loses next week, then OSU could backdoor their way in

I've been playing around with the ESPN playoff machine and it had Ohio St with higher odds even with a loss today but I can see the systematical error. One loss Big 12 champ vs one loss OSU team should lean towards champ.

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56 minutes ago, jetjuice said:

I've been playing around with the ESPN playoff machine and it had Ohio St with higher odds even with a loss today but I can see the systematical error. One loss Big 12 champ vs one loss OSU team should lean towards champ.

It should.  But Ohio State has been consistently either #1 or #2 in the rankings.  Texas has 1 loss to what is likely a top 10 Oklahoma team, while Ohio State will have 1 loss to what is going to likely be the #2 ranked team.  In terms of "best" losses, Ohio State has Texas beat.  Texas has the best win with their win over Alabama.  The problem is outside of Alabama, their only quality win is Kansas State and Kansas.  Both are fringe top-25 teams.  Ohio State has wins over Penn State (likely top 10) and Notre Dame (probably top 15).  This feels like one of those "eye test" where Ohio State gets the nod over Texas.  Since their loss to Oklahoma, the Longhorns' margin of victory has been 10.4 PPG before the Texas Tech game.  Ohio State has been 24 PPG over that same time period.

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