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2023 NFC Championship: 3) Detroit Lions @ 1) San Francisco 49ers


notthatbluestuff

Who wins the NFC?  

63 members have voted

  1. 1. Who wins the NFC?

    • Detroit Lions
    • San Francisco 49ers

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  • Poll closed on 01/28/2024 at 11:40 PM

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Just now, Forge said:

Badgely career 59% from 45-49 yards. People have to stop acting like the field goals are automatic

Prior to tonight, Detroit had been in plus territory with 4th and 3 or less 24 times on the season. They went for it 20 times and converted on 17 of those previous attempts.

Going for it in those high stress situations tonight makes me think more of Dan Campbell, not less. His teams were focused and prepared for each and every playoff game and he stayed true to what he preaches on a daily basis. 

 

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Just now, Pugger said:

The 4th down conversion percentage with 3 yards to go is 47.4%.

Thats across all 32 teams. Detroits success rate is much higher, and they were gashing the Niners

Oh and it worked. Reynolds just dropped the ball

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3 minutes ago, Pugger said:

The 4th down conversion percentage with 3 yards to go is 47.4%.

And on 4th and 2 (the first go for it), it's 57%. Before accounting for team specifics. With the possibility of the additional points with success, it's not nearly as egregious as people are making it

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Just now, adamq said:

Thats across all 32 teams. Detroits success rate is much higher, and they were gashing the Niners

Oh and it worked. Reynolds just dropped the ball

And it's not just that everything went wrong for Detroit after that, it's that the 9ers capitalized on every single mistake.

Going dropped pass on 4th down to dropped INT  turned 50+ yard completion a few plays later was the game.

That's an extremely hard swing to come back from for any team  and especially an inexperienced one. 

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8 minutes ago, Forge said:

Badgely career 59% from 45-49 yards. People have to stop acting like the field goals are automatic

Once again a situation when No one cares about Kickers until it's crystal clear, you don't have one! 

That's a pathetic average inside 50.

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1 hour ago, SodeeWater_Cheezburger said:

People can second guess Dan Campbell or blame the Detroit receivers, etc., but everybody should also give the 49ers a lot of credit.  They held tough after the half, and did what they had to do to come back.

It's kind of like the Chargers/Jaguars game last year.  Every break went the Chargers way in the first half, and it would have been easy for the Jags to just give up and say "Oh well, we tried."  Like the Niners this year, the Jags scored each time they got the ball, played within themselves, and their defense held the Chargers from scoring for the rest of the game.

In both cases, the result came about because one team did what they had to do and won the game, rather than the other teams "losing it." 

This whole thing has drained me.  The Lions aren't even my team, but I was really wanting them to win.  I don't have anything against the 49ers, but it still feels almost the same as after a Bears playoff loss. 

It's the main reason why I have come to enjoy the draft more than the playoffs, because after the draft, just about every team leaves feeling hopeful.  In the playoffs, it always ends with all but one team's fan base being disappointed.

 

Yup and Staley and Campbell are two of the same,  have to go up 3 score in the POs on the road especially….

Edited by fattlipp
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The worst decision made by Campbell today was running it on 3rd & goal at the end of the game. They didn't make it & had to take a TO. Under 2 minutes, you have to preserve all 3 TO's. 

They would have been better off kicking a FG with 3 TO's then what actually happened - a TD & 2 TO's. Once you have to rely on an onside, the game is effectively over

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30 minutes ago, Forge said:

Badgely career 59% from 45-49 yards. People have to stop acting like the field goals are automatic

I see. 37/48 or 77% 40-49, the first kick would have been 44

18/21 in the last 4 years and 100% this year,,,,

 

Edited by fattlipp
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13 minutes ago, Forge said:

Like, Kyle kicked it 4th and 5 on that first drive and I was flipping livid

Livid until the end of the game and you realize those measly 3pts, won you the game and a SB appearance.

Momentum is a real thing. Not getting any points on a time consuming drive when most NFL games are decided by 3 pts or less, is a real thing. 

You take points. Worked for decades until this analytics BS. Now everyone wants to reinvent the wheel. Prove their genius. 

 

Edited by Nabbs4u
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6 minutes ago, fattlipp said:

Yup and Staley and Campbell are two of the same 

Not even in the same universe, let alone planet. 

3 minutes ago, 49ersfan said:

The worst decision made by Campbell today was running it on 3rd & goal at the end of the game. They didn't make it & had to take a TO. Under 2 minutes, you have to preserve all 3 TO's. 

They would have been better off kicking a FG with 3 TO's then what actually happened - a TD & 2 TO's. Once you have to rely on an onside, the game is effectively over

Then you'd have to believe the worst decision DC made tonight was letting his hotshot OC that's destined to be a HC call that play. 

Narratives are funny that way, no? 

Edited by Jameson_Neat
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3 minutes ago, Nabbs4u said:

Livid until the end of the game and you realize those measly 3pts, won you the game and a SB appearance.

Momentum is a real thing. Not getting any points on a time consuming drive when most NFL games are decided by 3 pts or less, is a real thing. 

You take points. Worked for decades until this analytics BS.

 

Moody missed that kick 

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