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Weekly Bets Thread


BStanRamFan

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Well Amen hit even if FVV got robbed of 7+ assists by so many open looks / missed layups.   +2.5U. 
 

One early hoops play - Tyrese Maxey O27.5 pts 2U / 35+ +350 1U / 40+ +1000 0.5U FD vs MIL - no real explanation needed.   Maxey great matchup vs Bucks perimeter D and usage galore.   Only times he usually goes below 25 since Embiid out are blowouts & CLE (lol).    He gets 35+ mins he gets to 30 so alt lines worth a stab.

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Well PHI got blown out but Maxey also didn’t shoot well.  -3.5U.  


Tonight it’s time to see if BKN means what they say - Mikael Bridges O20.5 pts 2U / 25+ pts +220 1U / 30+ pts +700 0.5U FD @ MEM - BKN risk on road is getting blown out but and they are 2-pt faves; this is Bridges’ lowest target total in eons.   Bridges having the mid range and 3 game makes him less vulnerable to JJJ and MEM bigs.

Edited by Broncofan
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1 hour ago, Broncofan said:

Well PHI got blown out but Maxey also didn’t shoot well.  -3.5U.  


Tonight it’s time to see if BKN means what they say - Mikael Bridges O20.5 pts 2U / 25+ pts +220 1U / 30+ pts +700 0.5U FD @ MEM - BKN risk on road is getting blown out but this is lowest target total in eons.   Bridges having the mid range and 3 game makes him less vulnerable to JJJ and MEM bigs.

I had his name written down after going over the games last night. 🤙

Not much to pick from so that's probably the only one I'll be on.. Tyler Herro is interesting for Miami @ Sac (they are on a back to back, Miami has rest, and Jimmy butler is serving a suspension.. but I would like it a lot better if the line were 19.5/-110 instead of 20.5 at -125

Edited by adamq
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So one more time to the well - he scored 13 pts in last 8 mins of game vs. OKC on 1st of back to back games  as team was trailing by 10-ish points 2 days ago.   Clearly their best matchup so they should feed Alperen Sengun O19.5 pts 2U / 25+ +290 1U / 30+ +900 0.5U FD @OKC.     The rotation outside of Sengun is in flux so can’t trust anyone else.

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2 hours ago, adamq said:

I like Michael Porter Jr up to 25 points at +700.. they have Sac coming to town, and Sabonis is a turnstile for someone with MPJs athleticism 

so annoying he sat on 14 for a quarter and a half lol I only played the 16.5 brutal.

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28 minutes ago, thebestever6 said:

so annoying he sat on 14 for a quarter and a half lol I only played the 16.5 brutal.

I didn't realize Fox was out, and Sac didn't even put up a fight after the 1st quarter... woof

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Prizepicks is offering props on combine numbers. Pick 2 for 3x

I was watching a YouTube stream when it opened and landed Corum o 4.39 in the 40, Benson o 4.37, jatavion sanders o4.57 and Nate Wiggins under 4.55

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On 3/1/2024 at 7:40 AM, adamq said:

Lol of course I was a day off on MPJ. I'm taking a break, getting frustrated by consistently missing these things by a game somehow

Well my break lasted about 12 hours, but Brook lopez came through with 3 and 4 three pointers. The trick is to stop posting, I guess. 😂

 

That said.. took a stab at Mike Evans to be a Jaguar. They have money and 13 would be a perfect compliment to Kirk/Engram. It's 50-1 on DK 

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Today I see one game with multiple correlated opportunities - Scottie Barnes is out with a broken hand so I’m not sure why Tor is a -7.   Charlotte +7 2U seems strong and I’m tempted by the +240 ML.   


On the prop side both Miles Bridges at O23.5 pts and Brandon Miller O20.5 pts  would have value.    Miller missing last game with a sore back is why I’ll lean Bridges for now (with 30-35 alt lines on FD).   Barnes is the one glue defender now that he’s gone it’s a really favorable matchup.    


On Raps side I’m going to see if Grady D.ick (gotta get around filter) pt props come out late.    He’s their bench scorer I imagine his time will go up.   No props for him.

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Wiggins is back tonight for GS.. ill take him to get 2+ 3's at +150. 

Should be a fairly high scoring game and he'll get some shots up for sure.

Would also like to take Brook Lopez but he's listed right now because Giannis is questionable 

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16 hours ago, adamq said:

Wiggins is back tonight for GS.. ill take him to get 2+ 3's at +150. 

Should be a fairly high scoring game and he'll get some shots up for sure.

Would also like to take Brook Lopez but he's listed right now because Giannis is questionable 

Welp I thought Wiggins would be a full go because he was out for "personal reason", not an injury. 13 minutes, 1-2 from 3 is not what i was hoping for 😂 Putting him on the shelf for a while. 

Also I did not give GS enough credit for their d. They closed on Lopez so quickly and almost never let him even get a shot up. Also.. Kuminga is going to be a great player 

 

 

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