EagleBlueDon Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 Ppl gonna let the recent Cowboys Eagles game affect their predictions too much. I love it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LAOJoe Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 The dumb machine still doesn't account for 5 seed tiebreakers LMAO. At least most of the glitches are gone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LAOJoe Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 The Tua situation has me with the Patriots in at 8-9. If the Jags win this week and somehow lose to the Titans then they are the 7. I have Washington in despite Seattle winning out because Commanders win out as Dallas rests. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aceinthehouse Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 The ESPN Playoff simulator is either broken, or wrong. I Just ran a week 17 & 18, to see who would get in for the NFC. Washington loses to Browns, but beat Dallas. Finish 8-8-1 Giants lose to Colts & Philly. Finish 8-8-1 Packers win week 17 & 18 vs Lions. Finish 9-8 Lions win week 17 & lose week 18 vs Packers. Lions finish 8-9 Seattle loses to jets & win week 18. Seattle finishes 8-9 They had Packers as 6 seed & Giants as #7 seed. Seems legit, right. The machine would be wrong. Why? Because although the Giants & Commanders finished 8-8-1…? And Giants tied 1st matchup & won 2nd matchup? Washington still has a better Divisional record. Washington would be 2-3-1 (wins over Philly & Dallas) Vs Giants would be 1-4-1 (win over Washington) How the hell, is the Giants listed as the 7th seed over Washington. Go a head....try it. That machine is wrong. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steelersfan43 Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 (edited) 5 hours ago, aceinthehouse said: The ESPN Playoff simulator is either broken, or wrong. I Just ran a week 17 & 18, to see who would get in for the NFC. Washington loses to Browns, but beat Dallas. Finish 8-8-1 Giants lose to Colts & Philly. Finish 8-8-1 Packers win week 17 & 18 vs Lions. Finish 9-8 Lions win week 17 & lose week 18 vs Packers. Lions finish 8-9 Seattle loses to jets & win week 18. Seattle finishes 8-9 They had Packers as 6 seed & Giants as #7 seed. Seems legit, right. The machine would be wrong. Why? Because although the Giants & Commanders finished 8-8-1…? And Giants tied 1st matchup & won 2nd matchup? Washington still has a better Divisional record. Washington would be 2-3-1 (wins over Philly & Dallas) Vs Giants would be 1-4-1 (win over Washington) How the hell, is the Giants listed as the 7th seed over Washington. Go a head....try it. That machine is wrong. The head to head matchup is always the first tiebreaker,no matter what Edited December 29, 2022 by Steelersfan43 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmittyBacall Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 6 hours ago, aceinthehouse said: Washington loses to Browns You think Washington loses this week? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aussie_eagle Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 6 hours ago, aceinthehouse said: The ESPN Playoff simulator is either broken, or wrong. I Just ran a week 17 & 18, to see who would get in for the NFC. Washington loses to Browns, but beat Dallas. Finish 8-8-1 Giants lose to Colts & Philly. Finish 8-8-1 Packers win week 17 & 18 vs Lions. Finish 9-8 Lions win week 17 & lose week 18 vs Packers. Lions finish 8-9 Seattle loses to jets & win week 18. Seattle finishes 8-9 They had Packers as 6 seed & Giants as #7 seed. Seems legit, right. The machine would be wrong. Why? Because although the Giants & Commanders finished 8-8-1…? And Giants tied 1st matchup & won 2nd matchup? Washington still has a better Divisional record. Washington would be 2-3-1 (wins over Philly & Dallas) Vs Giants would be 1-4-1 (win over Washington) How the hell, is the Giants listed as the 7th seed over Washington. Go a head....try it. That machine is wrong. Pretty simple, if 2 teams are tied first tiebreaker is always head to head 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
minutemancl Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 2 hours ago, Steelersfan43 said: The head to head matchup is always the first tiebreaker,no matter what I love when Ace makes long, rambling posts that could be avoided by taking 10 seconds to run a google search. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinerNation21 Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 https://next.playoffpredictors.com/football/nfl This is better. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
minutemancl Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 I think there is a scenario that all 4 NFC East teams make the playoffs, AND all 4 rest their starters in week 18. Giants win week 17 v Colts, clinching a playoff spot. Eagles win week 17 v Saints, clinching the division and the #1 seed as they hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Vikings. This would also lock in the Cowboys to the 5 seed, regardless of what they do over the final 2 weeks. Commanders win week 17 v Browns, ensuring a worst case record of 8-8-1. Then, all the NFC wild card hopefuls need to lose. The Bears beat the Lions taking them to 7-9, the Jets beat the Seahawks taking them to 7-9, and the Vikings beat the Packers taking them to 7-9. So: Giants (-250), Eagles (-267), Commanders (-125), Bears (+215), Jets (-120), and Vikings (+158). Only 2 underdogs in there right now. If that all happens, the Eagles would be locked into the 1 seed, while the Cowboys, Giants, Commanders would be locked into the 5,6, 7 seeds respectively going into week 18 with no way that could change. It's actually not that crazy. Then those 4 teams all play each other in week 18, meaning you'd see NFC East JV. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillSabre Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 2 hours ago, minutemancl said: I think there is a scenario that all 4 NFC East teams make the playoffs, AND all 4 rest their starters in week 18. Giants win week 17 v Colts, clinching a playoff spot. Eagles win week 17 v Saints, clinching the division and the #1 seed as they hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Vikings. This would also lock in the Cowboys to the 5 seed, regardless of what they do over the final 2 weeks. Commanders win week 17 v Browns, ensuring a worst case record of 8-8-1. Then, all the NFC wild card hopefuls need to lose. The Bears beat the Lions taking them to 7-9, the Jets beat the Seahawks taking them to 7-9, and the Vikings beat the Packers taking them to 7-9. So: Giants (-250), Eagles (-267), Commanders (-125), Bears (+215), Jets (-120), and Vikings (+158). Only 2 underdogs in there right now. If that all happens, the Eagles would be locked into the 1 seed, while the Cowboys, Giants, Commanders would be locked into the 5,6, 7 seeds respectively going into week 18 with no way that could change. It's actually not that crazy. Then those 4 teams all play each other in week 18, meaning you'd see NFC East JV. I’m praying that this scenario doesn’t happen. Go Saints!!! Let’s make Week 18 important heading into the playoffs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
minutemancl Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 20 minutes ago, BillSabre said: I’m praying that this scenario doesn’t happen. Go Saints!!! Let’s make Week 18 important heading into the playoffs. There will almost certainly be some degree of resting for at least some NFC East teams in week 18. If the Eagles win, they will almost certainly rest Hurts and maybe some others in the last week, and the Cowboys will almost certainly rest some players as well. If the Giants win, they will almost certainly rest Saquon, Dexter Lawrence, and a few others in week 18. Washington would need a lot to go their way to rest players in week 18, but for the Giants/Eagles/Cowboys, I'd probably expect it. The only case where you see all these teams go all out and both of these games be dog fights is if the Giants and Eagles lose and the Cowboys and Washington win. Then the NFC East division title is on the line in the final week, as well as wild card spots. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillSabre Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 2 hours ago, minutemancl said: There will almost certainly be some degree of resting for at least some NFC East teams in week 18. If the Eagles win, they will almost certainly rest Hurts and maybe some others in the last week, and the Cowboys will almost certainly rest some players as well. If the Giants win, they will almost certainly rest Saquon, Dexter Lawrence, and a few others in week 18. Washington would need a lot to go their way to rest players in week 18, but for the Giants/Eagles/Cowboys, I'd probably expect it. The only case where you see all these teams go all out and both of these games be dog fights is if the Giants and Eagles lose and the Cowboys and Washington win. Then the NFC East division title is on the line in the final week, as well as wild card spots. I’m fully aware of what you explained. That’s why I said go Saints!!! I specifically want the last week to mean something to Philly and Dallas. I don’t see the Giants letting both games slip away so I think they’re locked in. I’d prefer the Packers take the 7 seed over the other teams. I was pulling for the Lions but after that no show last week, they don’t deserve it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 On 11/18/2022 at 7:57 PM, Malfatron said: Jags and lions both make it if you use the offense rank to predict the games http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine/_/factor/offrank All the way back here, they had a good shot Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bolts223 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 I’m not going to bother doing playoff predictions, as I believe that predicting more than one round at a time is kind of pointless. But here is how I think the seeding will go down. NFC 1) Bills (14-3-0) 2) Chiefs (14-3-0) 3) Bengals (12-5-0) 4) Jaguars (9-8-0) 5) Chargers (11-6-0) 6) Ravens (10-7-0) 7) Steelers (9-8-0) NFC 1) Eagles (14-3-0) 2) 49ers (13-4-0) 3) Vikings (13-4-0) 4) Buccaneers (9-8-0) 5) Cowboys (13-4-0) 6) Giants (9-7-1) 7) Packers (9-8-0) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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