CWood21 Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 56 minutes ago, Leader said: What am I reading wrong here? Currently, we're picking 19th. The team picking 10th currently is the Chargers and Atlanta's picking 11th. Look at their records, not their actual draft slots. There are 4 AFC teams (Denver, Houston, Buffalo and Cincinnati) that are currently at 7-6, but picking before the Packers because the Packers are currently a playoff team. A win by one of Atlanta, New Orleans, LA Rams, or Seattle combined with a Packers' loss (or tie) would knock the Packers out of a playoff spot. IF we make the assumption that the Packers lose to the Buccaneers, they'd be 6-8 and the only teams that are currently 6-7 with a worse SOS is Atlanta (.416) and New Orleans (.425) which is worse than Green Bay (.471). In theory, the Packers pick would jump from 19 to 13 if that scenario unfolded. In theory, that Packer pick would go higher depending on the outcome of the games. In a "best case" scenario, you'd have wins by NY Jets (over Miami), New Orleans (over NY Giants), Atlanta (over Carolina), Tennessee (over Houston), LA Rams (over Washington), Chicago (over Cleveland), and Seattle (over Philadelphia). Assuming my math is correct and there are no other upsets, the draft order would be: 1.) Chicago (from Carolina) 2.) New England 3.) Arizona 4.) Washington 5.) LA Chargers (if Las Vegas wins) otherwise NY Giants 6.) Las Vegas (if Los Angeles wins) otherwise NY Giants 7.) Chicago** 8.) Green Bay** Green Bay and Chicago are close enough in SoS that they could in theory flip depending on how the outcome of the games go. It's more likely that Chicago has a slightly worse SoS than Green Bay. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leader Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 10 minutes ago, CWood21 said: Look at their records, not their actual draft slots. There are 4 AFC teams (Denver, Houston, Buffalo and Cincinnati) that are currently at 7-6, but picking before the Packers because the Packers are currently a playoff team. A win by one of Atlanta, New Orleans, LA Rams, or Seattle combined with a Packers' loss (or tie) would knock the Packers out of a playoff spot. IF we make the assumption that the Packers lose to the Buccaneers, they'd be 6-8 and the only teams that are currently 6-7 with a worse SOS is Atlanta (.416) and New Orleans (.425) which is worse than Green Bay (.471). In theory, the Packers pick would jump from 19 to 13 if that scenario unfolded. In theory, that Packer pick would go higher depending on the outcome of the games. In a "best case" scenario, you'd have wins by NY Jets (over Miami), New Orleans (over NY Giants), Atlanta (over Carolina), Tennessee (over Houston), LA Rams (over Washington), Chicago (over Cleveland), and Seattle (over Philadelphia). Assuming my math is correct and there are no other upsets, the draft order would be: 1.) Chicago (from Carolina) 2.) New England 3.) Arizona 4.) Washington 5.) LA Chargers (if Las Vegas wins) otherwise NY Giants 6.) Las Vegas (if Los Angeles wins) otherwise NY Giants 7.) Chicago** 8.) Green Bay** Green Bay and Chicago are close enough in SoS that they could in theory flip depending on how the outcome of the games go. It's more likely that Chicago has a slightly worse SoS than Green Bay. Damn. Good post. I can see you've given this far more consideration than I have. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CWood21 Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 1 minute ago, Leader said: Damn. Good post. I can see you've given this far more consideration than I have. Too many rabbit holes to go down. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fattlipp Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 (edited) yeah, whether or not the Packers make the playoffs or not will come down to the last game, we know it, they will either **** the bed, or win and get in and **** the bed in round one.... Just enough to get our hopes up.... Edited December 13, 2023 by fattlipp Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacReady Posted December 17, 2023 Author Share Posted December 17, 2023 Streaky team. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikebpackfan Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 2nd and long. Can we possibly get a stop? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikebpackfan Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 Just now, mikebpackfan said: 2nd and long. Can we possibly get a stop? Ha ha we all knew the answer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikebpackfan Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 Wrong thread but I don’t care. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
minnypackerfan Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 We're pick 11 now in the first round. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mdpackfan22 Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 Need to lose out to get into Joe Alt range 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ReasonablySober Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 Jayden Daniels is in range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
minnypackerfan Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 3 minutes ago, ReasonablySober said: Jayden Daniels is in range. Let someone else take him. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beekay414 Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 4 minutes ago, ReasonablySober said: Jayden Daniels is in range. And why would we want him? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brat&Beer Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, beekay414 said: And why would we want him? Apparently he's not really ReasonablySober 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Packerraymond Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 Man there really isn't any benefit other than more trade down value to being at 11 vs 16. Alt and Fashanu will be gone, the top CBs are a horse a piece between Arnold, McKinstry and Wiggins, too early for Kinchens, DeJean, Fuaga, Latham at 11. Really the value there is if you want an EDGE or WR as you can probably get WR3 and EDGE2 there at 11, and not 16. So not the end of the world to win 2 more based on our needs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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