Malfatron Posted September 5, 2020 Share Posted September 5, 2020 (edited) 1 minute ago, Malfatron said: if @RuskieTitan wins the next game, i have clinched because i have the tb over REY/SA if we all finish 9-6-1 and those teams play each other w15 Edited September 5, 2020 by Malfatron Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RuskieTitan Posted September 5, 2020 Share Posted September 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, pwny said: This week could not have gone better for me. I won, both of the teams closest to me in the wild card race lost, and malf got that sweet tie. Half game out on the #1 seed and a two game lead over the other WC teams. The playoffs are almost assuredly going to run through the winner of Knights vs Fire week 15. could both of you please experience slides heading into that matchup? Asking for a friend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted September 5, 2020 Share Posted September 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, pwny said: This week could not have gone better for me. I won, both of the teams closest to me in the wild card race lost, and malf got that sweet tie. Half game out on the #1 seed and a two game lead over the other WC teams. The playoffs are almost assuredly going to run through the winner of Knights vs Fire week 15. beating Brees 3 times in one year if no easy feat. the difference between playing ruskie or any other red team is huge gotta be the most important game of the regular season w15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SirA1 Posted September 5, 2020 Share Posted September 5, 2020 (edited) 1 hour ago, Malfatron said: gg @SirA1 GG Sir. Once again my kicker determines the game. Man I miss Tucker. Edited September 5, 2020 by SirA1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tk3 Posted September 5, 2020 Share Posted September 5, 2020 Week 13 rankings Egypt Starfall (10-3) - UP 1 Norway Knights (9-3-1) - DOWN 1 Phoenix Rattlers (9-4) - unchanged Chicago Fire (9-4) - UP 2 Rocket City Trash Pandas (8-5) - DOWN 1 Rio de Janeiro Pirates (8-5) - DOWN 1 Freiburg Venom (7-5-1) - UP 2 South Africa Woolley Mammoths (7-6) - unchanged Hanoi Viet Kong (7-6) - DOWN 2 Reykjavik Direwolves (7-6) - unchanged Scranton Papermakers (7-6) - unchanged Indianapolis Predators (6-7) - UP 1 Miami Sharks (6-7) - DOWN 1 Tacoma Thunder (6-7) - unchanged Iowa Jagwads (5-8) - UP 1 Seattle Sonics (4-8-1) - DOWN 1 Southview Saints (4-9) - unchanged Anchorage Eskimos (4-9) - unchanged Little Rock Uni Royals (3-10) - unchanged Richmond Flying Squirrels (2-10-1) - unchanged Another slight change in the calculation. Instead of using straight pythag w/l for the remaining 3 games, I gave odds to each game based on comparative pythag w/l in the specific matchup, with a small boost for the home team. Which is why a team like Rio is below RC, despite the much better PD. Rio has 1 home game vs RCs 2, and Rio has 2 tough opponents, while RC has 2 cupcakes. Might try to implement this sooner in future seasons. Playoff odds Norway Knights (9-3-1) (proj 11.6 wins) - >99% playoff chance Chicago Fire (9-4) (proj 10.8 wins) - >99% playoff chance Rio de Janeiro Pirates (8-5) (proj 9.7 wins) - 70% playoff chance South Africa Woolley Mammoths (7-6) (proj 8.8 wins) - 45% playoff chance Hanoi Viet Kong (7-6) (proj 8.8 wins) - 44% playoff chance Reykjavik Direwolves (7-6) (proj 8.5 wins) - 39% playoff chance Tacoma Thunder (6-7) (proj 7.2 wins) - 3% playoff chance Seattle Sonics (4-8-1) (proj 5.6 wins) - <1% playoff chance Anchorage Eskimos (4-9) (proj 4.7 wins) - eliminated Little Rock Uni Royals (3-10) (proj 4.2 wins) - eliminated I'm viewing this as a 3 team race for the 4 seed, with an outside chance of a Rio collapse creating a 4 team race for 2 spots. These teams play each other a lot here at the end, so I'm expecting carnage! I'm tentative predicting the Mammoths to win the race based on their schedule. Penciling in wins for them against the Royals and Sonics, so assuming that happens they either need to beat the Direwolves week 15, or even if they lose, it requires the Direwolves to ALSO beat the Sonics and the Pirates. It looks good for them if they handle their business Egypt Starfall (10-3) (proj 11.7 wins) - >99% playoff chance Phoenix Rattlers (9-4) (proj 11.1 wins) - >99% playoff chance Rocket City Trash Pandas (8-5) (proj 9.8 wins) - 75% playoff chance Freiburg Venom (7-5-1) (proj 9.1 wins) - 60% playoff chance Scranton Papermakers (7-6) (proj 8.5 wins) - 41% playoff chance Indianapolis Predators (6-7) (proj 7.6 wins) - 14% playoff chance Miami Sharks (6-7) (proj 7.5 wins) - 10% playoff chance Iowa Jagwads (5-8) (proj 6.3 wins) - <1% playoff chance Southview Saints (4-9) (proj 5.2 wins) - eliminated Richmond Flying Squirrels (2-10-1) (proj 3.1 wins) - eliminated Again, the top teams look great. Pandas falling off a little, but have a couple easy games to coast their way. The 4 spot is more interesting with a few teams still in it. Venom play ALL 3 of the teams trying to take their spot, so this is crazy fluid here. Predators have a super difficult schedule, but the Papermakers actually have a very favorable one. I actually think they have a reasonable shot. The week 14 game is huge TKs Week 14 odds Anchorage Eskimos (4-9) @ Norway Knights (9-3-1) - Knights 87% favorites Richmond Flying Squirrels (2-10-1) @ Miami Sharks (6-7) - Sharks 75% favorites Little Rock Uni Royals (3-10) @ South Africa Woolley Mammoths (7-6) - Mammoths 71% favorites Seattle Sonics (4-8-1) @ Reykjavik Direwolves (7-6) - Direwolves 65% favorites Iowa Jagwads (5-8) @ Phoenix Rattlers (9-4) - Rattlers 63% favorites Southview Saints (4-9) @ Rocket City Trash Pandas (8-5) - Pandas 61% favorites Scranton Papermakers (7-6) @ Freiburg Venom (7-5-1) - Venom 56% favorites ---- co-Game of the week! Egypt Starfall (10-3) @ Indianapolis Predators (6-7) - Starfall 53% favorites Rio de Janeiro Pirates (8-5) @ Hanoi Viet Kong (7-6) - Pirates 53% favorites ---- co-Game of the week! Chicago Fire (9-4) @ Tacoma Thunder (6-7) - Fire 53% favorites 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted September 5, 2020 Share Posted September 5, 2020 ah, so im the TK3 lock of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SirA1 Posted September 5, 2020 Share Posted September 5, 2020 10 minutes ago, Tk3 said: Venom play ALL 3 of the teams trying to take their spot, so this is crazy fluid here. The week 14 game is huge So the playoffs start this week for me. Thanks. We are riding the leg of Boswell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted September 5, 2020 Share Posted September 5, 2020 31,672 views when a malf based team is good, rating soar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tk3 Posted September 5, 2020 Share Posted September 5, 2020 Just now, Malfatron said: ah, so im the TK3 lock of the week. Don't let the 4 wins fool you, that team is likely to wind up bottom 10 all time in point differential. It's a 2 win team that somehow pulled out 4 wins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tk3 Posted September 5, 2020 Share Posted September 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, SirA1 said: So the playoffs start this week for me. Thanks. We are riding the leg of Boswell. 9-6-1 probably will be enough for you But any of the losses would require a little help elsewhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EaglesPeteC Posted September 5, 2020 Share Posted September 5, 2020 2 hours ago, El Ramster said: You’re a teacher? Oh my gawd. They really lowered the standards. I've read your posts. I'm aware of how sad the state of education is in America...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El Ramster Posted September 5, 2020 Share Posted September 5, 2020 25 minutes ago, EaglesPeteC said: I've read your posts. I'm aware of how sad the state of education is in America...... It’s cus they hired teachers like you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EaglesPeteC Posted September 5, 2020 Share Posted September 5, 2020 11 minutes ago, El Ramster said: It’s cus they hired teachers like you. I don’t teach a real subject. Don’t put that evil on me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El Ramster Posted September 5, 2020 Share Posted September 5, 2020 8 minutes ago, EaglesPeteC said: I don’t teach a real subject. Don’t put that evil on me PE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EaglesPeteC Posted September 5, 2020 Share Posted September 5, 2020 25 minutes ago, El Ramster said: PE? No not that useless.... Theatre. Just what you’d expect from a guy on a football website.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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