Jump to content

Playoffs - Wild Card Round


Leader

Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, Kenrik said:

Maybe I should rephrase since the absolute absurdity of such a statement. King gets targeted a lot because hes our weakest link in the secondary. Improving the #2 cb position could make make the defense that much better that they could have a chance at top 3 defense. 

Jaire Alexander has played 900 snaps and been targeted 80 times. 11.25 snaps/target.

Kevin King has played 664 snaps and been targeted 57 times. 11.65 snaps/target. 

King isn't the problem. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

41 minutes ago, ThatJerkDave said:

You are supposed to switch, but I have never really understood why.  I don't like statistics tricks like that.  It is supposed to increase your odds from 33% to something.  

say we have:

1.  Car

2.  Goat

3.  Goat

I choose door 1.  Monte shows me door 2 has a goat.  Probability says I am supposed to switch (unfortunately I get goat in this example) because there is a 66% chance that I picked goat first.  What I have a very difficult time wrapping my head around is why I should switch because no matter what, I am really making a 1/2 choice because Monte is going to show me a door with a goat after my first choice.  It tells me nothing about my choice, only that I didn't choose one of the goats with my first choice, but I already know that I can't choose both goats because I only get one choice.  

2 easy ways to understand it:

- Play all 3 choices in your head (door 1, door 2, door 3). If you don't switch, you will win 1/3 times (when you choose door 1). If you switch your choice, you win 2/3 times (when you choose doors 2 or 3).

- Do the same problem with 1000 doors. You choose 1 out of 1000, then they reveal 998 wrong doors. Would you keep yours or switch to the other? It's more evident with more doors.

Edited by Packer_ESP
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...