CWood21 Posted October 15, 2018 Share Posted October 15, 2018 20 minutes ago, RandyMossIsBoss said: If UCF goes undefeated, they will probably get in (I will say ~60% chance). Make no mistake, a lot of that will be because of their accomplishments last season, committee will no doubt pay more attention and feel more pressure to include them precisely because this would now be their 2nd undefeated regular season.... but the key will be how the rest of the field shapes up, which is looking pretty good for UCF. You can count Bama in, safe to assume they run the table. Bama running the table means LSU and Georgia both have at least 2 losses. Pac-12 likely produce at best a 2 loss team. Big 12 already is also likely producing a 2 loss team. That leave Clemson, ND and OSU as biggest threats. UCF has to go undefeated to get in. Not a chance they'll put a one-loss non-P5 team into the playoffs. In the ACC, only NC State and Clemson have less than two losses, so they're the only two teams who are going to get in. Clemson and NC State will face each other this weekend, so that one will sort itself out. At the end of this week, we're likely down to just one of Clemson or NC State, most likely Clemson. The Big 12 has West Virginia, Oklahoma, and Texas as 1-loss teams. If Oklahoma wins out, they'll get a chance to redeem themselves in the Big 12 championship against Texas, which would go a LONG way into putting themselves in a position to make the playoffs. West Virginia and Texas control their own destiny as well. Worst case would be a repeat of 2008 when there was a 3-way tie. This would happen if West Virginia beat Texas, but was beat by Oklahoma. West Virginia and Texas would essentially be eliminated by virtue of a 2nd loss, and Oklahoma would have to win out to get in. At this point, Michigan and Ohio State are competing for the same spot. Winner gets in the playoffs. Notre Dame controls their own destiny. Pac 12 is almost eliminated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tom cody Posted October 15, 2018 Share Posted October 15, 2018 Because of the variance between schedules I don't think you'll ever get a real true ranking. It's to bad. Hopefully they can tweak that as well if they expand the college football playoffs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATX hombre Posted October 15, 2018 Share Posted October 15, 2018 UCF's win over Memphis on the road is definitely more impressive than Texas at home vs Baylor. Obviously OU shouldn't have jumped them and UGA doesn't have the SOS to stay ahead of them(or Texas & OU for that matter) after losing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THE DUKE Posted October 15, 2018 Share Posted October 15, 2018 UCF needs Notre Dame to lose in the worst way. 0 chance they get in over an undefeated Notre Dame, and they don't get in over a 1 loss, B1G, Big 12, or ACC champ either. I'm dubious they even get in over a 1 loss Notre Dame really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IDOG_det Posted October 15, 2018 Share Posted October 15, 2018 3 hours ago, Nozizaki said: But we have to schedule a blue blood school like Alabama. Pitt isn't good enough. Maryland isn't good enough. South Carolina wouldn't be good enough. UCF would schedule anyone that would do a home and home with them, but no one will. No one wants just the home game. They are scheduling Power 5 competition and beating them by similar margins as the other powers of CFB, so I don't understand these argumenets of "they don't play anybody." They play what's schedule, as we saw last week they overcome adversity, and they win. If you guys played more teams like South Carolina and not South Carolina State then people would respect your team and their record more. UCF is a group of 5 team trying to prove they belong in the conversation with the top power 5 teams. Demanding a home and home with top programs before you prove yourself ain't gonna happen. I seem to recall that you guys scheduled a single game against Michigan in 2016 and got whooped. Schedule a game like that again but win it this time. No one is going to schedule a home and home if you aren't either a glorified preseason game or a legit game on the schedule. The hype is completely based on the record, so once you lose a game that hype is going to go away. If there were a little more substance behind that record you would be viewed as a legit game. You guys beat Auburn in a bowl game, which is great. But then it was followed up by losing your coach, some of your better players, and a poor schedule. UCF would have peoples respect if they played an away game against a legit program early in the season and won. Simple as that. Winning is great. Winning against good/great teams is what gets you in the playoff conversation. Only 4 teams get in. A group of 5 team with a weak schedule will not get in, record and margin of victory be damned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Supersuavesky Posted October 15, 2018 Share Posted October 15, 2018 22 hours ago, thrILL! said: UCF gets one imaginary championship and become total divas. I agree but it's technically not imaginary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ronjon1990 Posted October 15, 2018 Share Posted October 15, 2018 On 10/14/2018 at 1:44 PM, Cheesehawk said: While I agree the polls are trash I’m not sure UCF this week is a great example. That was not an impressive W against a very mediocre Memphis team. Army would loveto be mediocre. Don't see Oklahoma suffering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nozizaki Posted October 15, 2018 Author Share Posted October 15, 2018 8 minutes ago, ronjon1990 said: Army would loveto be mediocre. Don't see Oklahoma suffering. They thumped Bye this past week though, and they're pretty good. They play most teams at least once! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winitall Posted October 15, 2018 Share Posted October 15, 2018 1 hour ago, ronjon1990 said: Army would loveto be mediocre. Don't see Oklahoma suffering. Army would love to be mediocre? They went 10-3 last year and are probably going to put up a similar record this year. They aren’t world beaters but they aren’t a cupcake anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ramssuperbowl99 Posted October 15, 2018 Share Posted October 15, 2018 On 10/14/2018 at 4:27 PM, thrILL! said: UCF gets one imaginary championship and become total divas. Public Service Announcement: In 1941, Alabama finished ranked No. 20 in the final AP poll and 3rd in the SEC, going 9-2. They were shutout twice. 3 teams finished the year undefeated. They claimed a national title that year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thrILL! Posted October 15, 2018 Share Posted October 15, 2018 16 minutes ago, ramssuperbowl99 said: Public Service Announcement: In 1941, Alabama finished ranked No. 20 in the final AP poll and 3rd in the SEC, going 9-2. They were shutout twice. 3 teams finished the year undefeated. They claimed a national title that year. Says the fan of the school whose sole “championship” in 1942 is fake. LoL How’s 5 in the last 9 years for a PSA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ramssuperbowl99 Posted October 15, 2018 Share Posted October 15, 2018 Just now, thrILL! said: Says the fan of the school whose sole “championship” in 1942 is fake. LoL How’s 5 in the last 9 years for a PSA? Truthfully, I was unaware we have claimed a national title tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CWood21 Posted October 15, 2018 Share Posted October 15, 2018 4 hours ago, ATX hombre said: UCF's win over Memphis on the road is definitely more impressive than Texas at home vs Baylor. Obviously OU shouldn't have jumped them and UGA doesn't have the SOS to stay ahead of them(or Texas & OU for that matter) after losing What makes anything about beating Memphis impressive? They're 4-3 including 1-3 in conference play. Baylor is 4-3 and 2-2 in conference play. UCF's best wins area home game against Pittsburgh (3-4) and a road game against Memphis (4-3). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Texansfan713 Posted October 16, 2018 Share Posted October 16, 2018 memphis is mediocre at best. like i said, the only way ucf would get serious consideration is if they had a schedule similar to UH's a few seasons ago and even then that probably wouldnt be good enough given how the AAC is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CWood21 Posted October 16, 2018 Share Posted October 16, 2018 Just now, Texansfan713 said: memphis is mediocre at best. like i said, the only way ucf would get serious consideration is if they had a schedule similar to UH's a few seasons ago and even then that probably wouldnt be good enough given how the AAC is. I mean, if they scheduled a legitimate P5 team or two, this would be a totally different schedule. But their OOC schedule is a joke, and they're not going to get any benefits with their conference schedule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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