LETSGOBROWNIES Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 8 minutes ago, mistakey said: Well, a fraction of these people will obviously going to the hospital, so if cases rise. . . The number of hospitalizations will definitely increase, the real question is will they increase to a point the strain the system? That’s my main reason for preferring a measured, slower reopening. With a 14 day incubation period, that’s a hard bell to unring if things go sideways. Measure twice, cut once, etc, etc. The last few days, at least here in my corner of the world, the wheels have fallen off. Went to ACE hardware and nobody was wearing masks, employees included. People are acting like this is over. I just hope the 20 something year old kids working the entry level job know more than the worlds leading virologists. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Forge Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 I guess I will soon discover whether or not heat will get the better of this thing, Vegas hitting 105 and above middle of next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mistakey Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 6 minutes ago, LETSGOBROWNIES said: The number of hospitalizations will definitely increase, the real question is will they increase to a point the strain the system? That’s my main reason for preferring a measured, slower reopening. With a 14 day incubation period, that’s a hard bell to unring if things go sideways. Measure twice, cut once, etc, etc. The last few days, at least here in my corner of the world, the wheels have fallen off. Went to ACE hardware and nobody was wearing masks, employees included. People are acting like this is over. I just hope the 20 something year old kids working the entry level job know more than the worlds leading virologists. If people arent wearing masks then its gonna blow t f up again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mistakey Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 5 minutes ago, Forge said: I guess I will soon discover whether or not heat will get the better of this thing, Vegas hitting 105 and above middle of next week. Well cases in fla tx and ga are rising. . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LETSGOBROWNIES Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 Just now, mistakey said: If people arent wearing masks then its gonna blow t f up again Preaching to the choir my man. I just wish people could do the simple little things to make this work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LETSGOBROWNIES Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 7 minutes ago, Forge said: I guess I will soon discover whether or not heat will get the better of this thing, Vegas hitting 105 and above middle of next week. I didn’t think anything could make me appreciate the rain flooding my basement. Well done. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WizeGuy Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 25 minutes ago, mistakey said: Huge news you bring the good stuff I try to find optimistic studies that have some merit to them! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mistakey Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 6 minutes ago, LETSGOBROWNIES said: I didn’t think anything could make me appreciate the rain flooding my basement. Well done. Gets cold at night too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mistakey Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 Just now, mistakey said: Gets cold at night too Well at least phx did in october and april Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rob_shadows Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 17 minutes ago, mistakey said: Well cases in fla tx and ga are rising. . . To be fair isn't that largely because of significantly increased testing? If I remember correctly last I saw the percentage of tests coming back positive wasn't actually increasing just that there are a lot more tests being done. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vikesfan89 Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 44 minutes ago, Xenos said: You're confusing the US (with its warts and all) with actual authorian government like the Chinese. You would probably never even survive in a place like New Zealand either. Speaking of which, can the MOL include the Kiwis? @mission27 I'm I'd rather the us not start going down that road Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mistakey Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 23 minutes ago, rob_shadows said: To be fair isn't that largely because of significantly increased testing? If I remember correctly last I saw the percentage of tests coming back positive wasn't actually increasing just that there are a lot more tests being done. If 5% of 100 tests are positive you obv get 5 if you have 4% of 200 tests you get 8 Thats a 60% increase even tho tests went up and percentage of tests positive went down. tbh the answer is wed need to do math Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LETSGOBROWNIES Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 14 minutes ago, mistakey said: If 5% of 100 tests are positive you obv get 5 if you have 4% of 200 tests you get 8 Thats a 60% increase even tho tests went up and percentage of tests positive went down. tbh the answer is wed need to do math If I’m understanding the math, we need to stop testing. bam. No new cases. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rob_shadows Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 21 minutes ago, mistakey said: If 5% of 100 tests are positive you obv get 5 if you have 4% of 200 tests you get 8 Thats a 60% increase even tho tests went up and percentage of tests positive went down. tbh the answer is wed need to do math And yet had testing not increased the number wouldn't have gone up but those people were still infected regardless. That's the point people are trying to make when they argue looking at the percentage of positive tests vs the cumulative number of positive tests. I'm just pointing out that there are multiple ways to look at it. Ultimately it's not really possible for us to know if the number of cases is actually climbing or if we're just finding more because we're testing a lot more... At least short of testing literally every person in the country which obviously isn't going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xenos Posted May 21, 2020 Share Posted May 21, 2020 1 hour ago, vikesfan89 said: I'm I'd rather the us not start going down that road I think there's a good balance. New Zealand did a good job of it IMO. And no one will ever accuse them of being a fascist or authoritarian government. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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