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2020 Top 10 Defenses (DVOA)


BayRaider

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34 minutes ago, BayRaider said:

Disagree. Their defensive metrics are vastly inflated from playing the NFCE in the first 4 out of 5 games, when all four were bottom dwellers of the NFL. DVOA doesn’t take into account at what point they played them. They also had one of the easiest schedules in the NFL. 

Their weighted DVOA is #1 in the NFL....

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Weighted DVOA: A version of DVOA that gives recent games more weight than games early in the season to try to get an idea of how teams have improved or declined over time

 

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6 hours ago, BayRaider said:

Disagree. Their defensive metrics are vastly inflated from playing the NFCE in the first 4 out of 5 games, when all four were bottom dwellers of the NFL. DVOA doesn’t take into account at what point they played them. They also had one of the easiest schedules in the NFL. 

As already pointed out, LAR are #1 in weighted DVOA and DVOA already accounts for schedule strength. Further, the Rams had the 10th most difficult schedule.

https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/nfl/team-efficiency/2020

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On 1/5/2021 at 3:23 PM, BayRaider said:

Disagree. Their defensive metrics are vastly inflated from playing the NFCE in the first 4 out of 5 games, when all four were bottom dwellers of the NFL. DVOA doesn’t take into account at what point they played them. They also had one of the easiest schedules in the NFL. 

They played the Cowboys before Dak got injured, so this isn't really true. They got Kyle Allen + Alex Smith in his first game back so that's one small advantage they got, but the PHI and NYG offenses were basically just butt all year so idk that timing really mattered. If anything playing Philly early on in the season when they were healthiest made it a tougher matchup. 

Edited by SalvadorsDeli
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37 minutes ago, Asciimo said:

bucs have a bottom 5 secondary.. shouldnt be sniffing top10 overall 

Lol.

10th hardest offensive schedule in the league and still had the 5th best pass defense and #1 rush defense by a large margin (31.4% larger than average and 5.8% better than 2nd best). 

 

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On 1/8/2021 at 1:25 PM, SalvadorsDeli said:
On 1/5/2021 at 2:23 PM, BayRaider said:

Disagree. Their defensive metrics are vastly inflated from playing the NFCE in the first 4 out of 5 games, when all four were bottom dwellers of the NFL. DVOA doesn’t take into account at what point they played them. They also had one of the easiest schedules in the NFL. 

They played the Cowboys before Dak got injured, so this isn't really true. They got Kyle Allen + Alex Smith in his first game back so that's one small advantage they got, but the PHI and NYG offenses were basically just butt all year so idk that timing really mattered. If anything playing Philly early on in the season when they were healthiest made it a tougher matchup. 

Not only that, it was a solid close game. Both teams played pretty well. It was within 4 points the entire game.

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On 1/10/2021 at 1:50 AM, Matts4313 said:

Not only that, it was a solid close game. Both teams played pretty well. It was within 4 points the entire game.

Yeah I remember it being a pretty mistake free game? Man what could have been for the boys if Dak stayed healthy...poor kid

Edited by Riftty
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On 1/10/2021 at 2:14 AM, JAF-N72EX said:

Lol.

10th hardest offensive schedule in the league and still had the 5th best pass defense and #1 rush defense by a large margin (31.4% larger than average and 5.8% better than 2nd best). 

 

Honestly, I'm really shocked by the Tampa defense being a top pass defense. I only watched/followed them a handful of games, but it looked like they were getting smoked most of the time. I can only think of their Green Bay game as a game where they bullied a top passing offense.

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On 1/5/2021 at 10:21 PM, incognito_man said:

As already pointed out, LAR are #1 in weighted DVOA and DVOA already accounts for schedule strength. Further, the Rams had the 10th most difficult schedule.

https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/nfl/team-efficiency/2020

 

Thank you for saving me the trouble - I thought we had one of the more difficult schedules

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