BDL 2021 Week 10 - New Orleans Jazz @ Raleigh Firebirds

[Whicker]

BDL 2021 Week 10

Match:  New Orleans Jazz @ Raleigh Firebirds

Away Owner:    @WFLukic

Home Owner:   @EaglesPeteC

Vote for who you think would win the game.

Rules:
One vote per person, duplicate accounts will be banned and action taken against those attempting to rig the results.

One vote per team involved in the match. Co-owners may vote in every match up except their own.

For members, who have been following along, and wish to vote.  Please join the conversation and maybe give a reason you voted as you did. This will alleviate any suspicions of unusual voting and will promote discussion.

Note: Players that have a (D) next to their name indicate that they are doubtful or unlikely to play. Players with (Q) are game-time decisions.

Good luck to you both

[Whicker]

Offense:

QB: Josh Allen
RB: James Conner
WR1: D.J. Moore
WR2: TY Hilton
Slot WR / OW: Deebo Samuel
TE: Mike Gesicki
LT: Taylor Decker
LG: Joel Bitonio
OC: Connor McGovern
RG: Brandon Scherff
RT: Jonah Williams

RB2: Melvin Gordon III
RB3: Devin Singletary
RB4: Nyheim Hines
WR4: Cole BeasleY
WR5: Zach Pascal
TE2: Jared Cook
OL6: Cam Robinson
OL7: Austin Corbett

 

Defense:

DE: Nick Bosa
DT: Grady Jarrett
DT: Jeffery Simmons
DE: Jason Pierre-Paul
LB: Demario Davis
LB: Jordyn Brooks
CB: Stephon Gilmore
CB: James Bradberry
DB: Micah Hyde
SS: Adrian Amos
FS: Darnell Savage

DE3: Randy Gregory
DE4: Jadeveon Clowney
DT3: Christian Wilkins
DT4: Star Lotulelei
LB3: Jamal Adams
LB4: Foyesade Oluokun
DB6: J.C. Jackson
DB6: Adoree Jackson

 

 

 

 

 

Offense

 

QB- Kirk Cousins

RB- Christian McCaffrey

RB- David Montgomery 

WR- Davante Adams

WR- Mike Williams 

TE- Mark Andrews

LT- Jordan Mailata

LG- Bradley Bozeman

C- Mitch Morse

RG- Andrew Norwell

RT- Jawaan Taylor

 

3rd WR- Nelson Agholor

4th WR- Marquez Callaway

5th Amari Rodgers 

RB- JD McKissic 

2nd TE- Will Dissly 

3rd TE- Jack Doyle

Backup C/G- Landon Dickerson

Swing G/T- Oli Udoh

 

Defense

 

EDGE- Bud Dupree

NT- Davon Godchaux

DE- David Onyemata

DE- BJ Hill 

EDGE- Tyus Bowser

LB/Rotational EDGE- Kenny Young

LB- Jordan Hicks

CB- Byron Jones

CB-  Ronald Darby 

FS- Mike Edwards

SS- Landon Collins

 

Rotational EDGE- Von Miller

Rotational EDGE- Ogbonnia Okoronkwo

Rotational DL- Alim McNeill

3rd LB- Anthony Walker Jr

SCB- Avonte Maddox

CB- Chris Harris Jr

DB- Mike Hilton

Backup FS- Rodney McLeod 

[Whicker]

Offense (60% pass 40% run):

-        We’re going to come out and try to beat Raleigh deep with Allen’s arm, before transitioning to a heavier run focused game as we look to wind out the clock and control the ball.

-        With Von Miller not quite 100% if he does play, we are confident that Allen will be able to have time in the pocket to work through his progressions and connect down field on big plays with our receivers.

-        TY Hilton’s return is timely given the absence of DeAndre Hopkins as he’s been one of the best deep threats in the league during his career, and we’ll have him immediately starting on the outside and working to take the top off the Raleigh defense.

-        With Marcus Maye ruled out for the year, we’ve sensed an opportunity to try and take advantage of potential miscommunications and for this reason we’ll look to have multiple receivers running deep on any given play.

-        Conner or Gordon will often line-up in the backfield but be motioned outside, with the intention of dragging an LB to the outside. If they do remain in the backfield, they’ll be utilised on swing or wheel routes to help draw the LB from the middle.

-        As a result, Raleigh will be in situations with limited defenders at the second level. Coupling this with their often heavy defensive lines, and we’ll see opportunities for Allen to escape to the outside and either scramble for good gains once he avoids the Raleigh rush or gun the ball downfield to a receiver who will eventually get open.

-        For the most part we’re going to run 3 WR sets with Gesicki in at TE. Occasionally we’ll have 4 WR sets with Beasley coming into the slot, and a bunch of no huddle type set ups too with Samuel at RB, Gesicki at TE and our other top WRs lining up out wide.

-        There’ll also be an increased number of 2 RB sets (Connor + Gordon at RB, Gesicki at TE and Moore + Samuel at WR) as the game goes along.

-        Read option running plays and pistol type looks to keep Raleigh on their toes with the threat of Allen running, along with Conner and Gordon’s ability to cut and work as receivers.

-        Given ball control will become our focus after putting some points up going deep early, the split second of hesitation should give our dominant offensive line the opportunity to get a good early push and allow for consistent 4+ yard gains on the ground up the middle.

Defense:

-        Usual rotation on the defensive line with no player playing more than 70% of the snaps and no player less than 30%.

-        With the unfortunate injury to Robert Woods, we suspect that we’ll see an increased number of snaps for McCaffrey as a receiver and a base 2 RB set featuring Montgomery and CMC.

-        We’re also assuming Kyler Murray will not be playing and Kirk Cousins will be in at QB. Kirk can be deadly downfield from a clean pocket, so our plan will be to ensure we aren’t beaten deep.

-        For this reason, we’re going to go with predominantly Cover 2-man looks, with Amos (and Adams) starting closer to the LOS before dropping back and Savage playing deeper down field.

-        Our coverages will be as follows:

Gilmore – Adams
Bradberry – Williams
Hyde – McCaffrey
Davis – Andrews
Brooks – Montgomery

-        If CMC lines up out wide more often than in the backfield, we’ll substitution J.C. Jackson in for Brooks and move him to coverage on CMC, with Hyde taking Montgomery.

-        If Raleigh chooses to go heavier, Adams will come in for Savage and move up to the LOS with Hyde moving deeper.

-        In 4 and 5 WR sets, Adoree Jackson will come in for Brooks.

-        Given the versatility the cover 2 man looks offer, we’ll run a few blitzes looking to take advantage of double teams that are required to slow down Bosa & Simmons, while also utilizing the strength of some our players in back 7 as blitzers such as Adams when he’s substituted in and Davis.

 

 

 

 

NO has their playoff spot locked up, meanwhile Raleigh is at Home very much in the mix for a playoff spot and desperately need a win. This all sets New Orleans up to fall victim to…...the dreaded….TRAP GAME

 

 

Week 9 Offensive Gameplan

With Kyler Murray banged up, questionable at the writing of this gameplan and limited mobility, we are giving Kirk Cousins his 2nd start of the season. Cousins is at almost 70% completions and 16 TD’s to only 2 INTS this season. We feel a 100% Cousins gives us a better chance to win this week.

 

Looking at New Orleans we see a very strong defense. We know we are going to have to get creative to move the ball consistently. We plan on starting with base 2 RB with both McCaffrey and Montgomery back and fully healthy. We plan on moving McCaffrey a lot playing him both at RB and slot WR. We want New Orleans to have to focus on him on almost every play and be forced to account for him on pretty much every play. I think this will keep the NO defense in reaction mode instead of attack mode. 

 

In the pass game, NO has some good CB’s but nobody who I think can shut down Davante Adams 1 on 1. We start the game manufacturing touching and catches for Adams with slants, drags and play action deep shots to make NO feel like they need to give extra attention to Adams, if they are not planning to right out of the gate. Once we dictate extra coverage to Adams, the primary targets will become Mark Andrews and Christian McCaffrey. We want to stress their LB’s and Safeties in coverage. The screen game to McCaffrey and Montgomery will be a major point of focus to keep the DL from being in full attack mode and pull the focus of the LB’s and Safeties to be able to go back to Adams and Mike Williams over the top if they try and pull extra focus to stop the RB pass game. Reverses and touch and shovel passes to both McCaffrey Nelson Agholor from the slot we think will also be a very effective change of pace play to catch NO off guard.

 

The running game will also be multiple. Lining up in shotgun and having McCaffrey and Montgomery on either side so that even on a simple running play giving doubt about where the ball is going and who is going to get it. With all of the movement of McCaffrey in and out of the backfield, giving it then to Montgomery on draws and inside runs will be an effective counter to NO giving extra attention to McCaffrey. Even against a strong NO front, by pulling support out when flexing McCaffrey in the slot can open up clear running space to a very good inside runner in Montgomery. 

 

DEFENSE

 

We are going back to a 3-4 look this week for a couple of reasons, with David Onematya back we think our best 11 on defense includes 3 interior players and we see the main threat of Rome’s offense in the run game. 

 

With Hopkins likely out this week, we feel good about our 1 on 1 matchups in man coverage. Byron Jones will cover Deebo Samuel and Ronald Darby will cover DJ Moore. Avonte Maddox takes Cole Beasley in the slot. Mike Edwards will play a lot of single high.

 

After that out plan is to really attack the line of scrimmage with our multiple 3-4 look on defense. We think that attacking with interior blitzes both attacks their weakest link on the oline and plugs their RB’s who are most effective inside. We want to keep the heat on Josh Allen and flush him out of the pocket against man coverage and have our Edges rush wide or drop so Allen is rolling right to them. This inside attacking will allow our edge players to be a little more read and react to prevent zone runs from Josh Allen and reverses and behind the line runs and passes for Deebo where he is dangerous. We want to force NO to keep RB’s and TE’s in for pass protection to minimize their impact on the passing game as well.

At the end of the day, Jacksonville beat Buffalo, Miami beat Baltimore, so life is pretty much random chaos. 

 

Vote Raleigh. 

[Scoundrel]

10 hours ago, Whicker said:

we see the main threat of Rome’s offense in the run game. 

Oh boy 

[Scoundrel]

10 hours ago, Whicker said:

Vote Raleigh. 

Enjoyed the campaign 

[VigilantZombie]

This week I think Josh Allen rebounds from a game, with the weapons NOLA has, Raleighs defense just doesn't match up well with this offense. Raleighs offense will score but not enough.

23-10 NOLA

Edited November 18, 2021 by wwhickok

[RuskieTitan]

Raleigh gets a good try, and keeps it competitive, but I believe New Orleans will have the lead into the half and extend in the second.

[Blue]

I don't think this is competitive at all. Kirk Cousins at QB is not inspiring, but I could maybe see them pulling the upset with all the weapons around him if the defense wasn't really underwhelming everywhere but corner.

[EaglesPeteC]

If I've said it once, I've said it a thousand times @PR is my favorite. 

[pheltzbahr]

The Jizz hitting on all cylinders.

[Jlash]

NO saw the 2 RB offense with CMC playing WR a bit coming a mile away, well done. 

[Scoundrel]

3 hours ago, Jlash said:

NO saw the 2 RB offense with CMC playing WR a bit coming a mile away, well done. 

Yep. Raleigh needed a gameplan edge to win this one and I don’t think they get it with how well Lukic prepared. New Orleans gets their 9th win. 

[SirA1]

Was going to post an in depth quarter by quarter break down of 6 out of 8 games but I have had a bad week and really don't care anymore.

 

[Ragnarok]

This was an annoyingly good gameplan by NOLA.

[rackcs]

I think people underrate Cousins a little bit but that Raleigh defense is not great right now and as others have pointed out, Lukic came prepared for what Raleigh wanted to do.