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2022 GB Packer playoff chances


squire12

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here are the current standings with overall record, conference record and remaining schedules

  • As of now, GB is down to 3 spots with being eliminated from the division title and playoff birth
  • wild card options
    • Dallas would need to lose out and GB to win out to surpass them (head to head tiebreaker favors GB)
    • NYG:  needs to lose 4 of 5 games (would finish at 8-8-1) and GB would need to win out to get to 9-8
    • SEA:  needs to lose 3 of 5 (would finish 9-8) and GB would need to win out to go 9-8)
      • tiebreaker would be common opponents
        • GB would get to 3-3 with winning out and.... would need 2 of the seattle losses to be NYJ and LAR for both teams to be 3-3
        • next tiebreaker goes to strength of victory... GB holds a nice edge currently, but how other teams do the rest of the year can change that
    • WAS: Needs to lose 3 of 4 (would finish 8-8-1) and GB would need to win out to go 9-8

Its not win out or no playoffs, but it's not far away either.  Regardless, GB needs multiple teams to lose 3-4+ games to close out the season

 

seed TEAM Record Conf record 14 15 16 17 18
1 PHI 11 - 1 6 - 1 @NYG @CHI @DAL NO NYG
2 MIN 10 - 2 6 - 2 @DET IND NYG @GB @CHI
3 SF 8 - 4 6 - 2 TB @SEA WSH @LV ARI
4 TB 5 - 6 5 - 2 @SF CIN @ARI CAR @ATL
5 DAL 9 - 3 7 - 3 HOU @JAX PHI @TEN @WSH
6 NYG 7 - 4 - 1 3 - 4 - 1 PHI @WSH @MIN IND @PHI
7 SEA 7 - 5 5 - 4 CAR SF @KC NYJ LAR
8 WSH 7 - 5 - 1 4 - 4 - 1 BYE NYG @SF CLE DA
9 DET 5 - 7 4 - 4 MIN @NYJ @CAR CHI @GB
10 ATL 5 - 8 4 - 5 BYE @NO @BAL ARI TB
11 GB 5 - 8 4 - 5 BYE LAR @MIA MIN DET
Edited by squire12
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11 minutes ago, Packerraymond said:

Is there a way we can be eliminated from contention during the bye week? If the Giants and Seattle win?

 

no.

NYG would be 8-4-1 if they win and GB winning out would get to 9 wins (if NYG were to lose out after that)

SEA would be 8-5 with a win and GB winning out would get to 9 wins (if SEA were to lose out after that)

Now, in week 15, with GB playing Monday night, if NYG and SEA were to win 2 games, GB would only be able to get to a tie with Seattle in record (Seattle winning 2, then losing there last 3).   Both GB and SEA would be 9-8, conference record would be tied, record vs common opponents would be tied and then it goes to strength of victory (assuming it is a 2 team tie)

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On 12/4/2022 at 9:38 PM, squire12 said:

Both GB and SEA would be 9-8, conference record would be tied, record vs common opponents would be tied and then it goes to strength of victory (assuming it is a 2 team tie)

Depending on which games seattle loses we win tiebreaker

I ran a bunch of espn playoff things and we usually beat them out tied at 9-8

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1 minute ago, Malfatron said:

Depending on which games seattle loses we win tiebreaker

I ran a bunch of espn playoff things and we usually beat them out tied at 9-8

yeah, GB has the edge vs SEA in the strength of victory tie breaker.   that only happens if the conference records are the same, which means SEA needs to lose their remaining NFC games

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1 minute ago, squire12 said:

yeah, GB has the edge vs SEA in the strength of victory tie breaker.   that only happens if the conference records are the same, which means SEA needs to lose their remaining NFC games

They can beat one of the nfc teams they face but thats it

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The game to watch is Minnesota coming to Detroit this weekend. If Detroit can win, it's a possibility, they may have to beat us week 18 to get into the playoffs. Laugh all you want, but Detroit is playing some pretty good football right now and Jameson Williams likely plays this week for the first time. 

I'll take the Lions as my long shot to run the table and jump in, if they sneak by the Vikings at Ford Field.

Edited by Old Guy
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2 minutes ago, ChaRisMa said:

Washington has to lose 3/4. Seattle has to lose 3/4. And we have to win out. The rest of the teams between take care of themselves.

Or the giants could lose 4/5

They play

PHI
   @WAS
   @MIN

    IND
   @PHI

 

 

Edited by Malfatron
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