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Acgott

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On 6/13/2023 at 6:20 PM, seminoles1 said:

Tracking for The Flash is apparently in free fall. Had good initial sales after tickets were available, with some hoping for a $90+ million opening, but then Deadline came out with their $70 million projection (Deadline is notorious for underestimating) and the reviews weren't as good as WBD tried to sell them, and pre-sales have really taken a nosedive. Over/under is now at ~$60 million from what I can tell from a view trackers/forecasters from Box Office Theory. $90 million always seemed crazy to me considering the issues with Ezra and it being known DC is resetting everything, really leaving the movies already filmed out to die.

Uhh...this is going to be a big disappointment/borderline bomb. Not a Shazam: Fury of the Gods level bomb, but this won't even hit $400 million worldwide. If it doesn't have average legs, it might end up at like $120 million domestically closer to $300 million worldwide.

I get why WBD wanted to reset, but it's costing them SSOOOOOO much money and so many box office disappointments and bombs to get to the point of resetting.

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On 6/25/2023 at 6:05 PM, seminoles1 said:

Elemental showing some legs, so it won't be an outright disaster. But obviously it will still be a loss unless it legs out like Puss in Boots: The Last Wish.

Hopefully going from biggest bomb of the year to underperformer shows Pixar that the presentation was the issue, not it being an original story.

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The holds over the summer have been unimpressive overall. The Little Mermaid started off fine it's first 3 weeks, and then just tanked. Through 21 days it was neck and neck with Aladdin, but has been left in the dust since. It most likely won't hit $300 million, which is wild considering $325+ million seemed like an absolute lock less than 2 weeks ago. Aladdin ended up at $355 million for reference.

Transformers: Rise of the Beasts will crawl to $150 million, but that's unimpressive after a $60 million opening, especially for a summer movie.

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse has done fine, but with its opening weekend number, universal acclaim, and the summer competition just not really there and full of two massive bombs, it should have been a lock for $400+ million. It would have to have some all-time late legs to hit that at this point.

The Flash speaks for itself.

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Now even Indiana Jones can't bring people to theaters this summer. The budget for Dial of Destiny was Fast X levels of out of control at $300 million, making it borderline impossible to not lose money.

Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part 1 has some really low early ticket sales right now. Not showing a Top Gun: Maverick bump at all.

Barbie is our savior though. That thing is defying all my expectations in presales. At this rate it will open to over $100 million.

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5 hours ago, seminoles1 said:

Now even Indiana Jones can't bring people to theaters this summer. The budget for Dial of Destiny was Fast X levels of out of control at $300 million, making it borderline impossible to not lose money.

Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part 1 has some really low early ticket sales right now. Not showing a Top Gun: Maverick bump at all.

Barbie is our savior though. That thing is defying all my expectations in presales. At this rate it will open to over $100 million.

Barbie opening to 100 million is a surprise. Movie looks awful 

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Disney is not a powerhouse anymore. They are completely and irrevocably lost touch with their audience.

Too much cocaine and butt kissing, too little talent.

They need a top down refresh in their producers and decision makers.

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6 hours ago, MikeT14 said:

Looks like only 60 million this past weekend 

Tough way for Indy to go out. The first 4 all finished 2nd or 3rd at the box office for their year, and this probably won't finish top 10 and will be a huge bomb considering the budget.

Going to make less than Uncharted at this rate, both domestically and worldwide.

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