Week 6 TNF GDT: Tampa Bay @ Philadelphia

[thrILL!]

5 minutes ago, SkippyX said:

Brady finishes with an 80.9 completion % and a reporter asking him if his thumb was bothering him.

#BanSidelineReporters

[NYRaider]

2 minutes ago, TheRealMcCoy said:

Your win is @agarcia34's loss.

I just foreseen a situation where the game would be like 34-20 and the Eagles would score late. Was worried about the 7, but would've accepted the push. But I was pretty confident at +7.5 just because the Eagles have shown throughout the season they will still look to score late in games.

[TheRealMcCoy]

3 minutes ago, NYRaider said:

5 minutes ago, JAF-N72EX said:

Where we going?

Me you and @TheRealMcCoy going to the next Philly game.

Wonder what you guys will look like after this Gruden debacle/distraction.

[NYRaider]

Just now, TheRealMcCoy said:

Wonder what you guys will look like after this Gruden debacle/distraction.

I honestly have no idea. I could see this week going two ways:

1) We rally up and smack them

2) We completely crumble

Denver isn't very good though and they've given up a ton of explosive plays in the passing game so I think we have a real shot.

[Broncofan]

1 hour ago, NYRaider said:

I honestly have no idea. I could see this week going two ways:

1) We rally up and smack them

2) We completely crumble

Denver isn't very good though and they've given up a ton of explosive plays in the passing game so I think we have a real shot.

If we can't stop the run, or convert on 3rd down, going to be a dead-cat bounce game for the Raiders.

[ChazStandard]

18 hours ago, ChazStandard said:

Tampa hasn't put together a complete game in primetime in the Brady/Arians era (with the notable exception of the Superbowl), so could easily see them having a bad quarter/half. Maybe some dumb penalties. But still expect them to win 28-22. If the offense plays like it did against Miami it will not be close, but it will be fun.

Called it.

[Hunter2_1]

33 minutes ago, ChazStandard said:

Called it.

[Awsi Dooger]

It's interesting that game fell near the number. During all the years I bet the generic classification system, the cutoff point on Cream at Crowd was -7. You had a small historical edge giving the points. But when I put it in action it was trading dollars. Break even in that price range. You had a big edge at -3 or -4 but it really leveled off once it reaches -7. 

The decisive variable, as always, is what the road team did the week prior. Cream teams coming off a loss have big edge even in the -7 range. But if that Cream team is coming off a victory, and especially a string of victories, the energy level and therefore coverability really drop off.

BTW, when Cream at Crowd drops down to -3 or -4 range it's almost always when the Crowd team is overachieving over a short stretch and the Cream team had some down moments recently. Consequently the public starts hyping the underdog and actually bets against a team it normally savors. My all-time favorite Cream at Crowd game fit exactly that scenario. The Bears were legendary in 1985 but started 1986 in sluggish fashion. They were winning but not decisively. Then in Week 4 the Bears traveled to Cincinnati. The Bengals had won huge the prior week and were scoring a ton of points. Consequently both the wise guys and the public were pounding Cincinnati. The preseason projected number on that game was -11. But at kickoff it was down to -4. I was literally the only guy watching at the Churchill Downs sportsbook who had bet on the Bears. Everybody else sitting in stunned silence as suddenly the Bears made it look like 1985 again. One devastating play after another.

Naturally I was chirping. Then a young guy  from Tennessee my age named Randy stood up and screamed at me: "You get away with having the wrong side more than anybody else in town."

It was impossible not to laugh. "Yep, it certainly looks like the wrong side. There's another Bears touchdown. You guys took Crowd vs. Cream and somehow thought +4 was a bargain."

Two days later Randy had skipped town. Turns out he was betting for a local wagering group but had blown lots of their money wagering on his own picks. Randy was stuck and made a huge bet on the Bengals, trying to get even. Once that lost Randy bailed. I never saw him again. I learned the above details because a friend ran into Randy trying to hide in Laughlin, 90 miles away.

[evilpimp972]

Eagles need to trade Sanders if they are not going to use him lol

[Hunter2_1]

Didnt watch, but I've seen 3 people in this thread say 'Brady was off', then I see the 80% completion %. What's the true story? 

[JonMcC2018]

5 hours ago, thrILL! said:

#BanSidelineReporters

I mean, it's a perfectly reasonable question. I bet that thumb is a lot worse and impacting him a lot more than he is making out.

Brady has a bit of a history of underplaying injuries during the season. Just look at last year.

[WheatieMan]

2 hours ago, evilpimp972 said:

Eagles need to trade Sanders if they are not going to use him lol

LA needs a back, and they can stop the Cowboys from getting to a SB so ship him there.

[CP3MVP]

With the exception of the Super Bowl It seems like every time I watch Tampa especially in prime time they’re being outcoached. They either lose or they just out talent the other team and win 

[SBLIII]

2 hours ago, CP3MVP said:

With the exception of the Super Bowl It seems like every time I watch Tampa especially in prime time they’re being outcoached. They either lose or they just out talent the other team and win 

Arians is a pretty poor in game coach. It might not matter though.

[AFlaccoSeagulls]

What are Eagles fans' opinions of Jalen Hurts this year? Seems like he puts up great fantasy numbers but not great IRL numbers and also loses every week.