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The AFC is Buffalo’s to lose


Slingin' Sammy

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On 10/31/2021 at 11:59 PM, Malfatron said:

AFC feels like a tossup to me

For sure. The Bills have their weaknesses just like any team in the AFC. Our interior line offensive line is really bad, and our offense can take a few quarters to get going. Offensive play calling can be iffy, too.  We're an elite team, but I don't think we're a tier above the rest in our conference. I will say- last year it took us until week 10 (ish) to really hit our stride. I have faith that will happen again. Still, at this point in time- it's a toss up. 

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12 hours ago, iknowcool said:

Still time left in the season, but boy was I wrong about the Bills.  I didn't think they would be terrible or anything, but I expected the passing game to regress and the team as a whole to fall back from where they were last year (which still makes them a wildcard or so team).  

Well, tbh, their passing game has regressed, but they’ve been playing bottom of the barrel teams so they have been able to get away with it.

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Pats just beat the Chargers, and 3 of their four losses have been 6 points or fewer. A couple of coin flips go the other way and they're 7-1 right now. Buffalo need to focus on winning the division before anyone can call them the best team in the conference.

It all might be moot anyway, because between the Cowboys, Bucs, Rams, Cards and Packers, it could be argued the best 5 teams in the league are in the NFC.

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Yea I do not see Bills as the only team in the AFC. Ravens are on the same level. Titans would be argued to be up there I am interested to see how they do with out Henry, tannehill has his work cut out for him and will prove that he is either the same tannehill on the dolphins when has an inferior rb or he has grown from it in which he can carry the team when needed. They currently have a 3 game lead over the colts and they may do enough to win the division and that is all that you need when it comes to making a playoff run. I wiII also will not sleep on the Pats and would like to see how they square off as the bills still have to play them twice. Raiders have a tough schedule ahead but I can see them being up there as well.

What I do think is that there are some teams who started out hot and kind of fizzled or were brought back down to reality and shows that the teams still need time to grow with the Chargers and Bengals. While they may make the playoffs they are still a young team whether it is coaching staff or main players they showed promise but still need time to develop. 

I am shocked with the Chiefs while I thought they would regress with the oline changes I didnt think they would require a last minute fg to beat a giants team. I am not sure what is up with them but they are still an option to find a rhythm and make the playoffs. The defense will continue to hold them back though.

What I said last year and it is proving this year an easy schedule for the Browns led to the success of their playoff run last year. Having a top 5 easiest schedule and making the playoffs with a -11 point differential is what is hurting them this year. While they have had some key injuries Baker just doesnt seem like the qb that can carry them when they need it. He has to be in a situation in which everything has to be going for them in order for him to be on his game. Steelers while having one of the worst offenses in the nfl right now they are still managing to win games and that is because of a good defense and HC. 

Bills, Ravens, Titans, Raiders are leading their division and I would put Pats, Chargers, Chiefs, Steelers, and Bengals fighting for those 3 playoff spots.

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The Bills lead the NFL in : point differential (+120), turnover differential (+13), points per game (32.7), scoring efficiency (51.9%), opponent yards per play (4.58) and points allowed per game (15.6). 

their loss to the Steelers week 1 is the weird week 1 matchup (that and the Packers/Saints result), I wouldn't hold that much against them. 

The titans game, the bills are a Josh Allen 4th & 1 away from most likely winning the game. Great defensive play but Allen was 13-14 on sneaks before that play so I don't hate the call, just the result. 

Regardless of that, Vegas sure seems to think the same way. Currently, the Bills are +125 in the AFC to get the #1 seed, and +220 to win the entire AFC. 

I don't know if I'm that confident in it but between the Bills schedule, and the AFC North teams beating up on each other, I think the #1 seed is theirs to lose. 

Edited by The BILLievers
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9 hours ago, ClutchDJ said:

Well, tbh, their passing game has regressed, but they’ve been playing bottom of the barrel teams so they have been able to get away with it.

Well stats wise they a tad better than last year passing.Theyre on pace to be to have same yardage, more TDs, less INTs

Not sure were you get that theyve regressed... 

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4 minutes ago, Kmart128 said:

Well stats wise they a tad better than last year passing.Theyre on pace to be to have same yardage, more TDs, less INTs

Not sure were you get that theyve regressed... 

Yea it's wild how people are saying Allen or the Bills O has regressed LOL. They are the #1 offense in the NFL and Allen is on pace for 4500 passing yards, 47 total TDs, 7 INTs and 700 rushing yards. Idk if it's media driven but Bills fans are used to this with Josh Allen vs the media / blue check marks. 

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6 hours ago, The BILLievers said:

. Regardless of that, Vegas sure seems to think the same way. Currently, the Bills are +125 in the AFC to get the #1 seed, and +220 to win the entire AFC. 

Thank you for providing those numbers. The Bills are anything but odds on favorites, as those numbers reveal. I have no idea why the term odds on favorite is thrown around so frequently where it doesn't belong. 

-220 is odds on favorite. +220 is not remotely close to odds on favoritism.

Regardless, the Bills pass defense has really improved this season. That is easily their greatest strength in relation to the league. And it is a pivotal area. Buffalo is allowing 5.6 YPA with only one other AFC team below 6.9. The Raiders are allowing 6.3. It is amazing how the NFC is dominating that stat.

Buffalo is allowing an opposing passer rating of 61.4. Second best in the AFC are the Patriots at 82.5

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12 minutes ago, Awsi Dooger said:

Thank you for providing those numbers. The Bills are anything but odds on favorites, as those numbers reveal. I have no idea why the term odds on favorite is thrown around so frequently where it doesn't belong. 

-220 is odds on favorite. +220 is not remotely close to odds on favoritism.

Regardless, the Bills pass defense has really improved this season. That is easily their greatest strength in relation to the league. And it is a pivotal area. Buffalo is allowing 5.6 YPA with only one other AFC team below 6.9. The Raiders are allowing 6.3. It is amazing how the NFC is dominating that stat.

Buffalo is allowing an opposing passer rating of 61.4. Second best in the AFC are the Patriots at 82.5

Yeah I meant it as they have the best odds of any AFC team so they are the "favorite"; which would be accurate. But yeah all it takes is a loss to the Jags or Jets in the next two weeks and I'm sure another team would be the "favorite" when you check sportsbooks.

Edited by The BILLievers
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